Fed Ups The Ante On Easing

United States - Global Strategy

Jan 26 2012 - The Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting of January 24-25 resulted in several significant shifts in US monetary policy that will keep rates low and keep the dollar on the back foot. We have also reduced our rate hike outlook and have more conviction in our expectation of a third round of quantitative easing to take place by April, if not March. Here are the main points from the Fed's move to improve its communication ...

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Fed Sets An Official Inflation Target At 2.0%

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Base Metals: Outlook For 2012

Global - Commodities

Jan 25 2012 - Although a strong start to the year could be sustained in Q112, we expect base metals to experience a difficult and volatile year as macro headwinds continue to weigh on equities and metals. Below we outline our key views on the metals sector in 2012. ...

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Domestic Mismanagement Amplifies Impact Of Global Slowdown

Ukraine - Economic Activity

Jan 26 2012 - On the back of stagnating exports, rising import bills, a crippled banking sector and our expectations for a hryvnia devaluation, we have downgraded our real GDP growth expectation for Ukraine to 2.5% in 2012 (from 4.1%) and 4.2% in 2013 (from 4.7%). While the ongoing global growth slowdown is largely to blame, domestic economic mismanagement by the government is also damaging growth prospects....

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Rising Risk Of Civil War In 2012

Iraq - Political Risk

Jan 26 2012 - BMI View: Iraq faces rising instability in 2012, as Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki's bid to increase his power raises the prospect of renewed sectarian violence. In addition, virtually all of Iraq's other risks - such as growing calls for provincial autonomy, the relationship between Baghdad and the Kurdish Regional Government, and the interests of neighbouring powers - are affected by the sectarian issue. If Iraq succumbs to civil war, the crisis could become intertwined with unrest in Syria, sharply increasing geopolitical risks in the Middle East....

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