At a time when BMI’s automotives analysts believe that vehicle sales will substantially affected by oil prices – which we believe will remain above US$70/bbl for the next decade - BMI presents a new report; Carrying The Load: The Role of Latin America’s Commercial Vehicles Market. With our automotives analysts anticipating that the region’s commercial vehicle segment will grow by over 60% by 2012, highlighting the importance of early market access, we assess:

  • Key industry trends and growth dynamics for each market, including BMI’s independent 5-year industry forecasts to end-2012.
  • Industry developments within the commercial vehicle segment, including regulatory changes and key player projects
  • Market prospects via our Company Profiles and competitive intelligence on all major commercial vehicle producers in each state (see full list below).

The potential is impressive: In the region’s largest market, Brazil, BMI is forecasting total commercial vehicle demand to approach 700,000 units by the end of the decade, more than double its 2004 level.

But growth potential is not uniform across the region: As the Colombian government favours small cars in its local fiscal policy, BMI expects sales growth to be hampered, with the commercial segment’s share of total vehicle sales rising little from the current 24%.

Furthermore, there are risks: While BMI’s Automotives analysts believe that output and sales in the commercial vehicle segment will be strong, industry growth is vulnerable to fuel prices and infrastructure investment.

CONTENTS

Commercial Vehicle Sector Attracts Key Players

Market Data Analysis

  • Argentina
    • Table: Argentina Commercial Vehicle Market (CBUs)
    • Table: Argentina Commercial Vehicle Production (CBUs)
    • Table: Argentina Commercial Vehicle Production, January-September 2007
    • Table: Argentina Commercial Vehicle Sales, January-September 2007
    • Table: Argentina Light Commercial Vehicle Sales January-September 2007
    • Table: Argentina Light Commercial Vehicle Production, January-September 2007
    • Table: Argentina Heavy Vehicle Sales, January-September 2007
    • Table: Argentina Heavy Commercial Vehicle Production By Manufacturer (CBUs)
    • Table: Argentina Bus Sales, January-September 2007
    • Table: Argentina Bus Production By Manufacturer (CBUs)
  • Brazil
    • Table: Brazil Commercial Vehicle Market By Vehicle Type, 2000-2005
    • Table: Brazil Commercial Vehicle Production By Vehicle Type, 2000-2005
    • Table: Brazil Light Commercial Vehicle Sales January-September 2007
    • Table: Brazil Light Commercial Vehicle Production, January-September 2007
    • Table: Brazil Heavy Commercial Vehicle Demand By Segment, 2000-2005
    • Table: Brazil Truck Sales, January-September 2007
    • Table: Brazil Truck Production, January-September 2007
    • Table: Brazil Bus Sales, January-September 2007
    • Table: Brazil Bus Production, January-September 2007
  • Mexico
    • Table: Mexico Commercial Vehicle Market By Vehicle Type, 2000-2005
    • Table: Mexico Commercial Vehicle Production By Vehicle Type, 2000-2005
    • Table: Mexico Heavy Commercial Vehicle Sales By Type
    • Table: Mexico Heavy Vehicle Sales, Jan-August 2007
    • Table: Mexico Heavy Vehicle Production, 2007
    • Table: Mexico Vehicle Production By Company
  • Venezuela
    • Table: Venezuela Vehicle Market By Segment, 2000-2005 (CBUs)
    • Table: Venezuela Vehicle Production By Segment, 2000-2005 (CBUs)
    • Table: Venezuela Commercial Vehicle Registrations, Domestic Production Versus Imports
    • Table: Venezuela Light Commercial Vehicle Registrations, Domestic Production Versus Imports, 2000-2005 (CBUs)
    • Table: Venezuela Light Commercial Vehicle Registrations By Manufacturer, 2000-2005 (CBUs)
    • Table: Venezuela Light Commercial Vehicle Production By Manufacturer, 2002-2005 (CBUs)
    • Table: Venezuela Light Commercial Vehicle Market Shares, 2004-2005 (%)
    • Table: Venezuela Heavy Commercial Vehicle Registrations By Manufacturer, 2000-2005 (CBUs)
    • Table: Venezuela Heavy Commercial Vehicle Registrations, Domestic Production Versus Imports, 2000-2005 (CBUs)
    • Table: Venezuela Heavy Commercial Vehicle Production By Manufacturer, 2002-2005 (CBUs)
    • Table: Venezuela Heavy Commercial Vehicle Market Shares, 2004-2005 (%)
    • Table: Venezuela Bus Registrations By Manufacturer, 2000-2005 (CBUs)
    • Table: Venezuela Bus Market Shares, 2004-2005 (%)

Commercial Vehicle Five Year Forecast

  • Argentina
    • Table: Argentina Aut os Sector Ov erview–Historical Data And Forecasts
    • Table: Argentina Aut os Sector–Trade, Imports And Exports Historical Data And Forecasts
    • Table: Argentina Aut o Sector Economic Contribution–Historical Data And Forecasts
  • Brazil
    • Table: Brazil Truck And Bus Sales, 2004-2012
    • Table: Brazil Truck And Bus Production, 2004-2012
  • Mexico
    • Table: Mexico Autos Sector–Historical Data And Forecasts
    • Table: Mexico Sales Of Trucks And Buses By Segment
    • Table: Mexico Production Of Trucks And Buses By Segment
    • Table: Mexico Autos Sector–Historical Data And Forecasts
    • Table: Mexico Autos Sector–Historical Data And Forecasts
  • Venezuela
    • Table: Venezuela Sales Forecast Of Trucks And Buses By Vehicle Type
    • Table: Venezuela Production Forecast Of Trucks And Buses By Vehicle Type
    • Table: Venezuela Autos Sector–Historical Data And Forecasts
    • Table: Venezuela Autos Sector–Historical Data & Forecasts (CBUs unless otherwise stated)

Industry Developments

  • Argentina
  • Brazil
  • Mexico

Company Profiles - Argentina

  • General Motors
  • Volkswagen

Company Profiles - Brazil

  • Fiat
  • Volkswagen

Company Profiles - Mexico

  • DaimlerChrysler
  • Toyota

Company Profiles - Venezuela

  • Toyota
  • Ford

Economic Activity

  • Argentina
    • TABLE: Argentina ECONOMIC ACTIVITY
  • Brazil
    • TABLE: Brazil ECONOMIC ACTIVITY
  • Mexico
    • TABLE: Mexico ECONOMIC ACTIVITY
  • Venezuela
    • TABLE: Venezuela ECONOMIC ACTIVITY

Key Benefits of the Report

  • Identify and evaluate the scale of growth opportunities across four key Latin American markets for commercial vehicle producers – including small, growing and little understood markets
    • >
  • Benchmark competitors and peers in each market using recently researched company profiles, featuring latest intelligence on almost 20 automotives companies, analysing competitive positioning, opportunities, risks and strategies of each company
    • >
  • Benchmark your own views and forecasts for market performance against BMI’s independent 5-year industry forecasts for commercial vehicle sales, production and trade

We believe this Report is required reading for the following senior executives in your business:
Strategists – Gain an insight into the commercial opportunities available in Latin America’s commercial vehicles market, using our clearly-explained medium-term economic forecasts (2008-2012) to benchmark your own growth projections.

Risk Managers – Discover the key Industry, Political, Economic and Operational risks facing companies in these rapidly developing states, and exploit BMI’s quantitatively-based risk assessment model to stress-test your own assumptions.

Country Managers - Gain an insight into the country-specific growth trajectories and the key strengths of your clients and competitors.

Financial Planners – Critically evaluate the assumptions underpinning your medium-term financial projections using BMI’s growth projections for the future direction and value of the currency and key domestic interest rates; the principal determinant of business investment and consumer spending growth.

Companies included in this Report:
Volkswagen, Ford, General Motors, Daimler, Toyota, Nissan, Daihatsu, Mercedes-Benz, Fiat, PSA, Iveco, Scania, Mitsubishi, Renault, Honda, Agrale, Volvo, MAN, Isuzu, Hino

BMI's Affiliates and Partners in Latin America

[TOP]

AV News
 

Mexico Energy Intelligence

The British Caribbean Chamber of Commerce
 

Frecuencia

Caribbean Association of Indigenous Banks
 

Caribbean Tourism Organization

Chamber of the Americas

 

Canning House

Read about our other Aggregate Commercial Vehicles Reports  

Asia

Central & Eastern Europe

Middle East & Africa

Latin America

 

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