At a time when BMI’s automotives analysts believe that vehicle sales will substantially affected by oil prices – which we believe will remain above US$70/bbl for the next decade - BMI presents a new report; Carrying The Load: The Role of The Middle East and Africa’s Commercial Vehicles Market. With our automotives analysts anticipating that the region’s commercial vehicle segment will grow by over 33% by 2012, highlighting the importance of early market access, we assess:

  • Key industry trends and growth dynamics for each market, including BMI’s independent 5-year industry forecasts to end-2012.
  • Industry developments within the commercial vehicle segment, including regulatory changes and key player projects
  • Market prospects via our Company Profiles and competitive intelligence on all major commercial vehicle producers in each state (see full list below).

The potential is impressive: Turkey, South Africa, Egypt and, to a lesser extent, Iran, are among the markets experiencing a rapid rise in production and sales of trucks and buses, with projected sales growth ranging from 25% to 73% for the four markets over the next five years.

But growth potential is not uniform across the region: Aside from the oil industry, Gulf states have a relatively small industrial base, with most of the non-oil economy focussed on the service sector, which reduces demand for haulage and related vehicles in the non-oil industrial sector.

Furthermore, there are risks: While BMI’s Automotives analysts believe that output and sales in the commercial vehicle segment will be strong, industry growth is vulnerable to fuel prices and infrastructure investment.

CONTENTS

MEA’s Commercial Success

  • Table: Regional Commerc ial Vehicle Production, 2006
  • Table: Recent And Planned Investments In The Middle East And Africa

Market Data Analysis

  • Egypt
    • Table: Commerc ial Vehicle Market By Segment: Egypt 2005
    • Table: Bus Market By Segment: Egypt, 2005
    • Table: Commercial Vehicle Producers: Egypt
  • Iran
    • Table: Iran’s Commercial Vehicle Production, Share Of Production By Segment And Manufacturer
  • Israel
    • Table: Israel LCV Market: Top Five Brands, 2006
    • Table: Israel Truck Market: Top Five Brands By Market Share, 2006
    • Table: Israel Bus Market: Top Five Brands By Share Of Registered Vehicles
    • Table: Israel Minibus Market: Top Brands By Share Of Registered Vehicles
  • South Africa
    • Table: South Africa Light Commercial Vehicle Sales–December 2006
    • Table: South Africa Medium Commerc ial Vehicle Sales–December 2006
    • Table: South Africa Heavy Commerc ial Vehicle Sales–December 2006
  • Turkey
    • Table: Turkish Light Commerc ial Vehicle Production (CBUs), Top Five Manufacturers, 2006
    • Table: Turkish Heavy Commerc ial Vehicle Production (CBUs), Manufacturers, 2006
    • Table: Turkish Bus Production (CBUs), Top Five Manufacturers, 2005

Commercial Vehicle Five Year Forecast

  • Egypt
    • Table: Egypt Automotive Sector Historical Data And Forecasts
    • Table: Egypt Automotive Sector Historical Data And Forecasts
  • Iran
    • Table: Iran Autos Sector–Historical Data And Forecasts
    • Table: Iran Automotive Sector Historical Data And Forecasts
  • Israel
    • Table: Israel Automotive Industry Historical Data & Forecasts (CBUs unless otherwise specified)
  • South Africa
    • Table: South Africa Autos Sector–Historical Data And Forecasts
    • Table: South Africa Autos Sector–Historical Data And Forecasts
    • Table: South Africa–Total Exports by Commerc ial Vehicle Manufacturer (fob value, ZARmn)
  • Turkey
    • Table: Turkey Autos Sector–Historical Data And Forecasts
    • Table: Turkey Automobile Sector–Historical Data And Forecasts (CBUs, unless otherwise specified)
    • Table: turkey - Top Five Automotive Exporters, 2007

Industry Developments

  • South Africa
  • Turkey

Company Profiles - Egypt

  • General Motors Egypt
  • Manufacturing Commercial Vehicles (MCV)

Company Profiles - Iran

  • Iran Khodro Diesel Company
  • SAIPA Diesel
  • Zamyad

Company Profiles - Israel

  • Delek Motors - Mazda & Ford
  • Colmobil Group

Company Profiles - South Africa

  • MAN Truck And Bus (South Africa)
  • Volkswagen

Company Profiles - Turkey

  • Toyota
  • Otosan
  • Hyundai Assan

Economic Activity

  • Egypt
    • Table: EGYPT - MACROECONOMIC DATA AND FORECASTS
  • Iran
    • Table: IRAN - ECONOMIC ACTIVITY
  • Israel
    • Table: ISRAEL - ECONOMIC ACTIVITY
  • South Africa
  • Turkey
    • Table: TURKEY - ECONOMIC ACTIVITY

Key Benefits of the Report

  • Identify and evaluate the scale of growth opportunities across five key Middle East and African markets for commercial vehicle producers – including small, growing and little understood markets
  • Benchmark competitors and peers in each market using recently researched company profiles, featuring latest intelligence on almost 20 automotives companies, analysing competitive positioning, opportunities, risks and strategies of each company
  • Benchmark your own views and forecasts for market performance against BMI’s independent 5-year industry forecasts for commercial vehicle sales, production and trade

We believe this Report is required reading for the following senior executives in your business:

  • Strategists – Gain an insight into the commercial opportunities available in the Middle East and Africa’s commercial vehicles market, using our clearly-explained medium-term economic forecasts (2008-2012) to benchmark your own growth projections.
  • Risk Managers – Discover the key Industry, Political, Economic and Operational risks facing companies in these rapidly developing states, and exploit BMI’s quantitatively-based risk assessment model to stress-test your own assumptions.
  • Country Managers - Gain an insight into the country-specific growth trajectories and the key strengths of your clients and competitors.
  • Financial Planners – Critically evaluate the assumptions underpinning your medium-term financial projections using BMI’s growth projections for the future direction and value of the currency and key domestic interest rates; the principal determinant of business investment and consumer spending growth.

Companies included in this Report:
Ford, Nissan, Toyota, Mercedes-Benz, General Motors, Manufacturing Commercial Vehicles (MCV), SAIPA Diesel, Zamyad, Colmobil, MAN, Volkswagen, Volvo, DAF

BMI's Affiliates and Partners in the Middle East and Africa

[TOP]

Arab Bankers Association of North America  

ArabFinance.Com

German-Arab Chamber of Industry and Commerce   The Corporate Council on Africa
The West African Business Association (WABA)   businessforecasts Brokers Council - South Africa

Read about our other Aggregate Commercial Vehicles Reports  

Asia

Central & Eastern Europe

Middle East & Africa

Latin America

 

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