East Caribbean Business Forecast Report

Published: 27 May 2010 Quarterly   

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The East Caribbean Business Forecast Report provides essential macroeconomic, political and financial analysis for companies doing business in Barbados, Guyana, Trinidad and Tobago, Antigua and Barbuda, Dominica, Grenada, Guadeloupe, St Kitts and Nevis, St Lucia and Suriname.

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Report Description

The East Caribbean Business Forecast Report helps businesses with Caribbean market assessment, strategic planning and decision making to promote growth and profitability in East Caribbean and is an essential tool for CEOs, Chairmen, Finance Directors/CFOs, Managing Directors, Marketing/Sales Directors with commercial interests in this emerging market.

This report covers Antigua & Barbuda, Barbados, Dominica, Grenada, Guadeloupe, Guyana, St Kitts and Nevis, St Lucia, Suriname and Trinidad & Tobago.

An influential new analysis of East Caribbean's political, economic and financial prospects through end-2014, just published by award-winning forecasters, Business Monitor International.

Key Uses

  • Forecast the pace and stability of East Caribbean's economic and industry growth through end-2014
  • Identify and evaluate adverse political and economic trends in East Caribbean, to facilitate risk mitigation
  • Assess the critical shortcomings of East Caribbean's business environment that pose hidden barriers and costs to corporate profitability
  • Contextualise East Caribbean's country risks against regional peers using BMI's country comparative risk ratings system
  • Target business opportunities in East Caribbean's high-growth industry sectors
  • Evaluate external threats to doing business in East Caribbean, including currency volatility, the commodity price boom and protectionist policies

The East Caribbean Business Forecast Report by Business Monitor International (BMI) includes two major sections: East Caribbean's Political Outlook and East Caribbean's Economic Outlook.

East Caribbean's Political Outlook:

What are the political risks to doing business in East Caribbean over the next 5-years?

BMI's East Caribbean Country Risk Ratings evaluate the short- and medium-term threats posed by government instability, adverse economic policy-making, deterioration in the business environment and external shocks.

East Caribbean Political Outlook Contents

  • SWOT Analysis for the Caribbean Market
    Political strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats facing East Caribbean.
  • Political Stability and Risk Assessment for East Caribbean
    BMI's Risk Ratings assess explicit short and long-term risks to political stability; latest ratings, rankings and trends for East Caribbean's risk are compared with regional and global averages.
  • Current Administration and Policy-making in East Caribbean
    BMI profiles key policy-makers and power-brokers in the Caribbean government, assessing threats to the continuity of Caribbean economic policy, and likely changes to the business operating environment through end-2018.
  • Caribbean Foreign Policy
    BMI examines key trends and shifts in East Caribbean's foreign relations and alignments with regional neighbours, the United States and Europe, focusing on external influences.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark East Caribbean's risk profile against its neighbours, the global and regional average, allowing easy comparison of risks between key business markets.
  • Identify, evaluate and anticipate political and security risks to the business environment in East Caribbean, and to your company's current operations and future plans.
  • Gain valuable insights into the Caribbean government and policy-making, through BMI's specialist team of analysts and economists, and their exclusive network of private and public sector sources.

East Caribbean's Economic Outlook:

How will Caribbean economic policy-making and performance impact on corporate profitability over 2009-2014?

BMI provides our fully independent 5-year forecasts for East Caribbean through end-2014 for more than 35 macroeconomic variables. We evaluate Caribbean growth, and also forecast the impact of economic management, including central bank policy, on profitability.

East Caribbean Economic Outlook Contents

The East Caribbean Business Forecast Report features explicit BMI economic forecasts for country, with supporting commentary and analysis, for end-2010, 2011, 2012, 2013 and 2014 set against Caribbean government views. Underpinning our East Caribbean forecasts are key assumptions for the global economy through end-2014, covering growth, inflation, employment, trade and investment, interest and exchange rates in the US, Japan and the Euro-zone.

Coverage of Key Economic Issues in East Caribbean

  • Economic Activity in East Caribbean
    Real GDP growth; industrial growth; employment growth; inflation and consumer prices; consumption (indicative wages, retail sales, consumer confidence)
  • Fiscal Policy in East Caribbean
    Current macroeconomic strategy and implementation policies; government finance (revenue, expenditure, budget balance); tax reforms
  • Monetary Policy in East Caribbean
    Interest rate trends (bank lending and deposit rates); inflation (retail price inflation, consumer price inflation); exchange rate policy in country; currency controls; influence of foreign direct investment inflows; exchange rates and foreign exchange reserves
  • Balance of Payments in East Caribbean
    Merchandise trade (exports, imports, trade balance); current and capital account balances
  • Foreign Direct Investment in East Caribbean
    Foreign direct investment approvals and inflows; the foreign investment climate
  • Caribbean External Debt
    Debt profile (short- and long-term debt; public and private sector exposure)

Key Benefits

  • Rely upon BMI's 100% independent Forecast Scenarios for East Caribbean and underlying assumptions - we take no advertising and are privately-owned.
  • Exploit the benefits of BMI's comprehensive and reliable macroeconomic database on East Caribbean, sourced and fully maintained by BMI from an extensive network of private sector, government and multilateral contacts.
  • Gain key insights into the current and future direction of Caribbean government economic policy

Read about our other Country Forecast Reports

Business Monitor International
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BUSINESS MONITOR INTERNATIONAL's country risk analysis and forecasts, market research on leading industries, and multinational company research is relied upon by corporates, banks, government departments and multilateral organisations in over 125 countries around the world.