Germany Business Forecast Report

Published: January 11 2010 Quarterly   

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The Germany Business Forecast Report provides essential macroeconomic, political and financial analysis for companies doing business in Germany.

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Report Description

The Germany Business Forecast Report helps businesses with German market assessment, strategic planning and decision making to promote growth and profitability in Germany and is an essential tool for CEOs, Chairmen, Finance Directors/CFOs, Managing Directors, Marketing/Sales Directors with commercial interests in this emerging market.

An influential new analysis of Germany's political, economic and financial prospects through end-2013, just published by award-winning forecasters, Business Monitor International.

Key Uses

  • Forecast the pace and stability of Germany's economic and industry growth through end- 2013
  • Identify and evaluate adverse political and economic trends in Germany, to facilitate risk mitigation strategies
  • Assess critical shortcomings of Germany's business environment that pose hidden barriers and costs to corporate profitability
  • Contextualise Germany's country risks against European regional peers using BMI's country comparative risk ratings system
  • Target business opportunities in Germany's high-growth industry sectors
  • Evaluate external threats to doing business in Germany, including currency volatility, the commodity price boom and protectionist policies

The Germany Business Forecast Report by Business Monitor International includes these sections: Germany's Political Outlook, Germany's Economic Outlook, Germany's Monetary Policy and Eurozone Outlook.

Germany's Political Outlook:

What are the political risks to doing business in Germany over the next 5-years?

BMI's Germany Country Risk Ratings evaluate the short- and medium-term threats posed by government instability, adverse economic policy-making, deterioration in the business environment and external shocks.

We examine Germany's political stability and risk assessment, administration and policy-making and German foreign policy.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark Germany's risk profile against its neighbours, the global and regional average, allowing easy comparison of risks between key business markets.
  • Identify, evaluate and anticipate political and security risks to the business environment in Germany, and to your company's current operations and future plans.
  • Gain valuable insights into the German government and policy-making, through BMI's specialist team of analysts and economists, and their exclusive network of private and public sector sources.

Germany's Economic Outlook:

How will German economic policy-making and performance impact corporate profitability over 2009-13?

BMI provides our fully independent 5-year forecasts for through end- 2013 for more than 35 macroeconomic variables. We evaluate German growth, and also forecast the impact of economic management, including central bank policy, on profitability.

Germany Economic Outlook Contents

The Germany Business Forecast Report features explicit BMI economic forecasts for Germany, with supporting commentary and analysis, for end-2009, 2010, 2011, 2012 and 2013 set against German government views. Underpinning our forecasts are key assumptions for the global economy through end- 2013 , covering growth, inflation, employment, trade and investment, interest and exchange rates in the US, Japan and the Euro-zone.

Coverage of Key Economic Issues in Germany

  • Economic Activity in Germany
    Real GDP growth; industrial growth; employment growth; inflation and consumer prices; consumption (indicative wages, retail sales, consumer confidence)
  • Fiscal Policy in Germany
    Current macroeconomic strategy and implementation policies; government finance (revenue, expenditure, budget balance); tax reforms
  • Monetary Policy in Germany
    Interest rate trends (bank lending and deposit rates); inflation (retail price inflation, consumer price inflation); exchange rate policy in Germany; German currency controls; influence of foreign direct investment inflows; exchange rates and foreign exchange reserves
  • Balance of Payments in Germany
    Merchandise trade (exports, imports, trade balance); current account balance
  • Foreign Direct Investment in Germany
    Foreign direct investment approvals and inflows; the foreign investment climate
  • German External Debt
    Debt profile (short- and long-term debt; public and private sector exposure)

Key Benefits

  1. Rely upon BMI's 100% independent Forecast Scenarios for Germany and underlying assumptions - we take no advertising and are privately-owned.
  2. Exploit the benefits of BMI's comprehensive and reliable macroeconomic database, sourced and fully maintained by BMI from an extensive network of private sector, government and multilateral contacts.
  3. Gain key insights into the current and future direction of German government economic policy

Germany Monetary Policy / Eurozone Outlook

Who buys European Business Forecast Reports?

The Germany Business Forecast Report is an essential tool for CEOs, Chairmen, Finance Directors/CFOs, Managing Directors, Marketing/Sales Directors with commercial interests in Germany.

Our Business Forecast Reports are relied upon by corporates, banks, government departments and multinational organisations around the world.

Read about our other Country Forecast Reports

Business Monitor International
A Market Leader in Country Risk, Industry Intelligence and Company Research


BUSINESS MONITOR INTERNATIONAL's country risk analysis and forecasts, market research on leading industries, and multinational company research is relied upon by corporates, banks, government departments and multilateral organisations in over 125 countries around the world.