Japan Business Forecast Report

Published: January 11 2010 Quarterly   

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The Japan Business Forecast Report provides essential macroeconomic, political and financial analysis for companies doing business in Japan.

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Report Description

The Japan Business Forecast Report helps businesses with Japanese market assessment, strategic planning and decision making to promote growth and profitability in Japan and is an essential tool for CEOs, Chairmen, Finance Directors/CFOs, Managing Directors, Marketing/Sales Directors with commercial interests in this emerging market.

An influential new analysis of Japan's political, economic and financial prospects through end-2013, just published by award-winning forecasters, Business Monitor International.

Key Uses

  • Forecast the pace and stability of Japan 's economic and industry growth through end- 2013
  • Identify and evaluate adverse political and economic trends in Japan , to facilitate risk mitigation strategies
  • Assess critical shortcomings of Japan 's business environment that pose hidden barriers and costs to corporate profitability
  • Contextualise Japan 's country risks against Asia regional peers using BMI's country comparative risk ratings system
  • Target business opportunities in Japan 's high-growth industry sectors
  • Evaluate external threats to doing business in Japan , including currency volatility, the commodity price boom and protectionist policies

The Japan Business Forecast Report by Business Monitor International includes four major sections: Japan 's Political Outlook, Japan 's Economic Outlook, Japan 's Business Environment and Japan 's Key Industry Sectors.

Japan 's Political Outlook:

What are the political risks to doing business in Japan over the next 5-years?

BMI's Japan Country Risk Ratings evaluate the short- and medium-term threats posed by government instability, adverse economic policy-making, deterioration in the business environment and external shocks.

Japan Political Outlook Contents

  • SWOT Analysis for the Japanese Market
    Political Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats facing Japan .
  • Political Stability and Risk Assessment for Japan
    BMI's Risk Ratings assess explicit short and long-term risks to political stability; latest ratings, rankings and trends for Japan 's risk are compared with Asia regional and global averages.
  • Current Administration and Policy-making in Japan
    BMI profiles key policy-makers and power-brokers in the Japanese government, assessing threats to the continuity of Japanese economic policy, and likely changes to the business operating environment through end- 2013 .
  • Japanese Foreign Policy
    BMI examines key trends and shifts in Japan 's foreign relations and alignments with Asia neighbours, the United States and Europe, focusing on external influences.

Key Benefits

  1. Benchmark Japan 's risk profile against its neighbours, the global and regional average, allowing easy comparison of risks between key business markets.
  2. Identify, evaluate and anticipate political and security risks to the business environment in Japan , and to your company's current operations and future plans.
  3. Gain valuable insights into the Japanese government and policy-making, through BMI's specialist team of analysts and economists, and their exclusive network of private and public sector sources.

Japan 's Economic Outlook:

How will Japanese economic policy-making and performance impact corporate profitability over 2009-13?

BMI provides our fully independent 5-year forecasts for Japan through end- 2013 for more than 35 macroeconomic variables. We evaluate Japanese growth, and also forecast the impact of economic management, including central bank policy, on profitability.

Japan Economic Outlook Contents

The Japan Business Forecast Report features explicit BMI economic forecasts for Japan , with supporting commentary and analysis, for end-2009, 2010, 2011, 2012 and 2013 set against Japanese government views. Underpinning our Japan forecasts are key assumptions for the global economy through end- 2013 , covering growth, inflation, employment, trade and investment, interest and exchange rates in the US, Japan and the Euro-zone.

Coverage of Key Economic Issues in Japan

  • Economic Activity in Japan
    Real GDP growth; industrial growth; employment growth; inflation and consumer prices; consumption (indicative wages, retail sales, consumer confidence)
  • Fiscal Policy in Japan
    Current macroeconomic strategy and implementation policies; government finance (revenue, expenditure, budget balance); tax reforms
  • Monetary Policy in Japan
    Interest rate trends (bank lending and deposit rates); inflation (retail price inflation, consumer price inflation); exchange rate policy in Japan ; Japanese currency controls; influence of foreign direct investment inflows; exchange rates and foreign exchange reserves
  • Balance of Payments in Japan
    Merchandise trade (exports, imports, trade balance); current account balance
  • Foreign Direct Investment in Japan
    Foreign direct investment approvals and inflows; the foreign investment climate
  • Japanese External Debt
    Debt profile (short- and long-term debt; public and private sector exposure)

Key Benefits

  1. Rely upon BMI's 100% independent Forecast Scenarios for Japan and underlying assumptions - we take no advertising and are privately-owned.
  2. Exploit the benefits of BMI's comprehensive and reliable macroeconomic Japan database, sourced and fully maintained by BMI from an extensive network of private sector, government and multilateral contacts.
  3. Gain key insights into the current and future direction of Japanese government economic policy

Japan Business Environment:

How internationally competitive is Japan 's regulatory environment, and what changes can be expected?

BMI assesses levels of transparency, flexibility of labour market, tax burden, development of the banking sector and credit availability, infrastructure and IT,foreign investment regime and trade liberalisation in Japan .

Japan Business Environment Contents

  • Japan 's Business Environment Risk Rating with SWOT Analysis
    Short and long-term business environment risk ratings for Japan , benchmarked against ratings for Asia neighbouring countries.
  • Country Competitiveness for Japan
    Competitiveness of Japan 's business operating environment in supporting corporate growth and profitability over the 5-year forecast horizon, compared with regional neighbours.

Coverage of Key Business Environment Issues in Japan 's Domestic Environment

  • Transparency, cronyism and corruption; labour market flexibility; corporate tax burden; interest rate levels; access of private sector to lines of credit; sophistication of banking sector and stock market; levels of business confidence; infrastructure and IT
  • Foreign Direct Investment in Japan
    Analysis of foreign investment regime, foreign ownership laws; attractiveness of business environment to foreign investors; review of major foreign direct investments over the last 24 months, and of strategic sectors attracting most interest
  • Foreign Trade with Japan
    Analysis of trading environment, government trade policy, liberalisation measures, tariffs and membership of trade areas

Japan 's Key Industry Sectors

Which industry sectors in Japan will grow fastest, and where are the major investment opportunities in the Japanese market?

BMI targets investment opportunities in Japan 's high growth industries, including automotives, food and drink, infrastructure, oil and gas, pharmaceuticals and healthcare, telecommunications and IT.

Japan 's Key Industry Sectors Contents

BMI's independent 5-year forecasts to end- 2013 and industry trend analyses for Japan 's leading industry sectors, including a selection from:

- Automotive - Defence & Security - Food & Drink - Freight Transport - Infrastructure - Oil & Gas - Pharmaceuticals & Healthcare - Telecommunications

Coverage of Japan 's Key Industry Sectors - Japanese Market Overview

  • Market Overview Size, value and structure of industry; impact of liberalisation and privatisation on sector performance and prospects; friendliness of business environment
  • Latest Developments in Japan
    Review of latest projects, deals, privatisations, mergers and acquisitions, and implications for sector performance; company rankings for national and multinational companies in Japan ; main industry players by local sales, employee size, market share and main brands, products and services
  • 5-year Industry Forecast for Japan
    Historic dataset (2004-2008 and BMI forecasts through end- 2013 , covering headline industry data broken out by sub sector

Key Benefits

  1. Target strategic sector-by-sector opportunities in Japan 's high growth industries, attracting public expenditure and foreign investment; identify key players and competitors driving growth, investment and business opportunities.
  2. Benefit from competitive intelligence on top national and multinational companies operating in Japan 's major industry sectors, including analysis of recent trends in sales and market share, company strategies, product launches and latest deals.

Who buys the Asia Business Forecast Reports?

The Japan Business Forecast Report is an essential tool for CEOs, Chairmen, Finance Directors/CFOs, Managing Directors, Marketing/Sales Directors with commercial interests in Japan .

Our Business Forecast Reports are relied upon by corporates, banks, government departments and multinational organisations around the world.

Read about our other Country Forecast Reports

Business Monitor International
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BUSINESS MONITOR INTERNATIONAL's country risk analysis and forecasts, market research on leading industries, and multinational company research is relied upon by corporates, banks, government departments and multilateral organisations in over 125 countries around the world.