Vietnam Business Forecast Report

Published: February 26 2010 Quarterly   

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The Vietnam Business Forecast Report provides essential macroeconomic, political and financial analysis for companies doing business in Vietnam.

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Report Description

The Vietnam Business Forecast Report helps businesses with Vietnamese market assessment, strategic planning and decision making to promote growth and profitability in Vietnam and is an essential tool for CEOs, Chairmen, Finance Directors/CFOs, Managing Directors, Marketing/Sales Directors with commercial interests in this emerging market.

An influential new analysis of Vietnam's political, economic and financial prospects through end-2014, just published by award-winning forecasters, Business Monitor International.

Key Uses

  • Forecast the pace and stability of Vietnam's economic and industry growth through end-2014
  • Identify and evaluate adverse political and economic trends in Vietnam, to facilitate risk mitigation
  • Assess the critical shortcomings of Vietnam's business environment that pose hidden barriers and costs to corporate profitability
  • Contextualise Vietnam's country risks against regional peers using BMI's country comparative risk ratings system
  • Target business opportunities in Vietnam's high-growth industry sectors
  • Evaluate external threats to doing business in Vietnam, including currency volatility, the commodity price boom and protectionist policies

The Vietnam Business Forecast Report by Business Monitor International includes four major sections: Vietnam's Political Outlook, Vietnam's Economic Outlook, Vietnam's Business Environment, and Vietnam's Key Industry Sectors,

Vietnam's Political Outlook:

What are the political risks to doing business in Vietnam over the next 5-years?

BMI's Vietnam Country Risk Ratings evaluate the short- and medium-term threats posed by government instability, adverse economic policy-making, deterioration in the business environment and external shocks.

Vietnam Political Outlook Contents

  • SWOT Analysis for the Vietnamese Market
    Political strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats facing Vietnam.
  • Political Stability and Risk Assessment for Vietnam
    BMI's Risk Ratings assess explicit short and long-term risks to political stability; latest ratings, rankings and trends for Vietnam's risk are compared with regional and global averages.
  • Current Administration and Policy-making in Vietnam
    BMI profiles key policy-makers and power-brokers in the Vietnamese government, assessing threats to the continuity of Vietnamese economic policy, and likely changes to the business operating environment through end-2014.
  • Vietnamese Foreign Policy
    BMI examines key trends and shifts in Vietnam's foreign relations and alignments with regional neighbours, the United States and Europe, focusing on external influences.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark Vietnam's risk profile against its neighbours, the global and regional average, allowing easy comparison of risks between key business markets.
  • Identify, evaluate and anticipate political and security risksto the business environment in Vietnam, and to your company's current operations and future plans.
  • Gain valuable insights into the Vietnamese government and policy-making, through BMI's specialist team of analysts and economists, and their exclusive network of private and public sector sources.

Vietnam's Economic Outlook:

How will Vietnamese economic policy-making and performance impact on corporate profitability over 2009-2014?

BMI provides our fully independent 5-year forecasts for Vietnam through end-2014 for more than 35 macroeconomic variables. We evaluate Vietnamese growth, and also forecast the impact of economic management, including central bank policy, on profitability.

Vietnam Economic Outlook Contents

The Vietnam Business Forecast Report features explicit BMI economic forecasts for country, with supporting commentary and analysis, for end-2010, 2011, 2012, 2013 and 2014 set against Vietnamese government views. Underpinning our Vietnam forecasts are key assumptions for the global economy through end-2014, covering growth, inflation, employment, trade and investment, interest and exchange rates in the US, Japan and the Euro-zone.

Coverage of Key Economic Issues in Vietnam

  • Economic Activity in Vietnam
    Real GDP growth; industrial growth; employment growth; inflation and consumer prices; consumption (indicative wages, retail sales, consumer confidence)
  • Fiscal Policy in Vietnam
    Current macroeconomic strategy and implementation policies; government finance (revenue, expenditure, budget balance); tax reforms
  • Monetary Policy in Vietnam
    Interest rate trends (bank lending and deposit rates); inflation (retail price inflation, consumer price inflation); exchange rate policy in country; currency controls; influence of foreign direct investment inflows; exchange rates and foreign exchange reserves
  • Balance of Payments in Vietnam
    Merchandise trade (exports, imports, trade balance); current and capital account balances
  • Foreign Direct Investment in Vietnam
    Foreign direct investment approvals and inflows; the foreign investment climate
  • Vietnamese External Debt
    Debt profile (short- and long-term debt; public and private sector exposure)

Key Benefits

  • Rely upon BMI's 100% independent Forecast Scenarios for Vietnam and underlying assumptions - we take no advertising and are privately-owned.
  • Exploit the benefits of BMI's comprehensive and reliable macroeconomic database on Vietnam, sourced and fully maintained by BMI from an extensive network of private sector, government and multilateral contacts.
  • Gain key insights into the current and future direction of Vietnamese government economic policy

Vietnam Business Environment:

Vietnam's Business Environment Risk Rating with SWOT Analysis
Short- and long-term business environment risk ratings for Vietnam, benchmarked against ratings for regional neighbours.

Country Competitiveness for Vietnam
Competitiveness of Vietnam's business operating environment in supporting corporate growth and profitability over the 5-year forecast horizon, compared with regional neighbours.

Vietnam Business Environment Contents

  • Vietnam's Domestic Environment.
    Transparency, cronyism and corruption; labour market flexibility; corporate tax burden; interest rate levels; access of private sector to lines of credit; sophistication of banking sector and stock market; levels of business confidence; infrastructure and IT
  • Foreign Direct Investment in Vietnam
    Analysis of foreign investment regime, foreign ownership laws; attractiveness of business environment to foreign investors; review of major foreign direct investments over the last 24 months, and of strategic sectors attracting most interest
  • Foreign Trade with Vietnam
    Analysis of trading environment, government trade policy, liberalisation measures, tariffs and membership of trade areas

Vietnam's Key Industry Sectors

Which industry sectors in Vietnam will grow fastest, and where are the major investment opportunities in the Vietnamese market?

BMI’s identifies investment opportunities in Vietnam's high growth industries including automotives, defence & security, food & drink, freight transport, infrastructure, oil & gas, pharmaceuticals & healthcare and IT.

Vietnam's Key Industry Sectors Contents

BMI’s independent 5-year forecasts to end-2014's and industry trend analyses for Vietnam leading industry sectors, including a selection from:


Automotive - Defence & Security - Food & Drink - Freight Transport - Infrastructure
- Oil & Gas - Pharmaceuticals & Healthcare - Telecommunications

Coverage of Vietnam's Key Industry Sectors

  • Market Overview
    Size, value and structure of industry; impact of liberalisation and privatisation on sector performance and prospects; friendliness of business environment
  • Latest Developments in Vietnam
    Review of latest projects, deals, privatisations, mergers and acquisitions, and implications for sector performance; company rankings for national and multinational companies in country; main industry players by local sales, employee size, market share and main brands, products and services
  • Company Rankings
    Main industry players by local sales, employee size, market share and main brands, products and services
  • 5-year Industry Forecast for Vietnam
    Historic dataset 2005-2009 and BMI forecasts through end-2014, covering headline industry data broken out by sub sector

Key Benefits

  1. Target strategic sector-by-sector opportunities in Vietnam's high growth industries, attracting public expenditure and foreign investment; identify key players and competitors driving growth, investment and business opportunities.
  2. Benefit from competitive intelligence on top national and multinational companies operating in Vietnam's major industry sectors, including analysis of recent trends in sales and market share, company strategies, product launches and latest deals.

Who buys the Vietnam Business Forecast Reports?

The Vietnam Business Forecast Report is an essential tool for CEOs, Chairmen, Finance Directors/CFOs, Managing Directors, Marketing/Sales Directors with commercial interests in Vietnam.

Our Business Forecast Reports are relied upon by corporates, banks, government departments and multinational organisations around the world.

Read about our other Country Forecast Reports

Business Monitor International
A Market Leader in Country Risk, Industry Intelligence and Company Research


BUSINESS MONITOR INTERNATIONAL's country risk analysis and forecasts, market research on leading industries, and multinational company research is relied upon by corporates, banks, government departments and multilateral organisations in over 125 countries around the world.