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Ukraine On The Brink

The situation in Ukraine is worsening, amid reports of dozens of people having been killed in clashes between security forces and protestors. The three-month old uprising appears to be reaching a...

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Russia: Growth Model Under Pressure

We believe that the sharp slowdown in Russia's economic activity so far this year is structural and not cyclical in nature. This means that there are no easy fixes in sight, and that growth will...

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Russia: Who Will Eventually Succeed Putin?

In two weeks’ time, Vladimir Putin will mark 14 years as Russia’s top political leader, either as prime minister (1999-2000, 2008-2012) or president (2000-2008, 2012- present). He is now post-...

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Why Russia Supports Syria’s Assad

Since the start of the Arab Spring, Russia and to a lesser degree, China, has come under heavy criticism for its support for Syrian President Bashar al-Assad and Libya’s former leader Muammar...

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Russia’s Economy Facing Downside Risks

Russian President Vladimir Putin’s recent hawkish rhetoric implies tighter fiscal and monetary policies than we have anticipated. This has prompted us to lower our 2013 real GDP growth forecast from...

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