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Putin Facing Greater Risks From MH17

Russian President Vladimir Putin's hitherto 'successful' efforts to destabilise Ukraine have now – following the destruction of flight MH17 – had much greater consequences than could have been...

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The Short Distance To A Global War Scare

The distance to a truly global geopolitical crisis is not as far as most people would think. In recent years, we have seen several regional crises, but not a truly global one – at least, not since 9/...

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Maintain Vigilance On Ukraine

So far, the crisis in Ukraine has broadly followed the core scenario we outlined in early March, with Russian military activity contained to the Crimean peninsula, the threat of sanctions limited to...

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