Country Risk Blogs

Pages

Three Key Geopolitical Developments

The past few days have seen three key geopolitical developments. Iran and the 'Great Powers': Iran and the so-called P5+1 powers clinched a landmark interim deal on the Islamic Republic's nuclear...

Read blog ›

Global Currencies: Pound Strong, Yen Weak

Sterling has been range-bound against the US dollar for most of the past four years, and although we have a short-term bullish bias towards cable, it still faces stiff resistance in the US$1.63/GBP...

Read blog ›

Mexico: What Next For Energy Reform?

There have recently been indications that Mexico's final energy reform bill could be far more wide-reaching and investor-friendly than initially expected. Should this prove to be the case, we would...

Read blog ›

Sino-Japanese Conflict Risk Scenarios

A skirmish or even limited conflict between Japanese and Chinese military forces over the disputed Senkaku/Diaoyu Islands cannot be ruled out over the coming years. In a special feature published on...

Read blog ›

Global Equities: DM Surging Against EM

Over the long run, we continue to favour developed market (DM) over emerging market (EM) stocks, as the structural underpinnings in DM turn into tailwinds, while those of EM turn into headwinds. In...

Read blog ›

Venezuela: Another Blow To Businesses

The economic situation in Venezuela continues to deteriorate, with the black market exchange rate now standing at more than 10 times the official rate, inflation at 54.3%, and reserves continuing to...

Read blog ›

BMI Launches Frontier Markets Monitor

Business Monitor International (BMI) has just launched Frontier Markets Monitor (FMM), a monthly newsletter that provides readers with our views and analysis of political and economic...

Read blog ›

ECB Pushing On A String

Hamstrung by a restrictive mandate that prevents discretionary intervention, the European Central Bank (ECB) has, in recent years, been forced to exploit loopholes in its statute and adopt a gritted...

Read blog ›

Pages