Middle East Blogs

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New Oil Era: Impact For MENA

As a decade of rising oil prices comes to an end, OPEC's decision to leave production unchanged has brought BMI's 'Brent at USD60/bbl' risk scenario to the fore. The trajectory of oil prices will be...

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OPEC's Decision: Global Implications

Our expectation that OPEC would coordinate modest cuts in production has not played out, with the group deciding to maintain the 30mn b/d ceiling and let the markets take their course. Our risk...

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Global Risks Coming To A Head In 2017

Although it is still more than two years away, it seems clear to us that 2017 will be a politically important year, due to the busy schedule of events in key countries. United States' Next President...

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US Likely To Attack Islamic State In Syria

It has become increasingly apparent in recent days that the US will attack Islamic State (IS) targets in Syria, most probably in the coming weeks. The militant group has a strong presence in north-...

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Obama's Foreign Policy 'Tetralemma'

US President Barack Obama's administration faces a major 'tetralemma' in terms of prioritising its foreign policy challenges. The four main geopolitical challenges for the US are (in west to east...

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