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Good Correa / Korea Moves

As we anticipated, Ecuador’s President Rafael Correa was decisively re-elected in a first round victory on February 17. Moreover, his Alianza PAIS (AP) party increased its dominance of the unicameral...

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Commodities Outlook: A Year Of Two Halves

Business Monitor International (BMI) expects industrial commodity price strength in the first half (H1) of 2013 before renewed weakness in H2. The global economy will continue to gather steam in the...

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Learning To Live With Geopolitical Shocks

Geopolitical shocks are reasonably frequent occurrences, but most are mitigated by prudent behaviour on the part of the main decision-makers, and very few crises escalate into regional wars. The fact...

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What Would An Israel-Iran War Look Like?

Without doubt, one of the biggest political risks in the world going into 2013 is the possibility that Israel will attack Iran to halt its nuclear programme. With this in mind, Business Monitor...

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