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Emerging Market Currencies On The Edge

Two weeks ago in our online service, we outlined the degree to which emerging markets (EMs) remained vulnerable to rising US yields even after a significant sell-off between May and September. With...

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Global Currencies: Pound Strong, Yen Weak

Sterling has been range-bound against the US dollar for most of the past four years, and although we have a short-term bullish bias towards cable, it still faces stiff resistance in the US$1.63/GBP...

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Global Equities: DM Surging Against EM

Over the long run, we continue to favour developed market (DM) over emerging market (EM) stocks, as the structural underpinnings in DM turn into tailwinds, while those of EM turn into headwinds. In...

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Venezuela: Another Blow To Businesses

The economic situation in Venezuela continues to deteriorate, with the black market exchange rate now standing at more than 10 times the official rate, inflation at 54.3%, and reserves continuing to...

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BMI Launches Frontier Markets Monitor

Business Monitor International (BMI) has just launched Frontier Markets Monitor (FMM), a monthly newsletter that provides readers with our views and analysis of political and economic...

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ECB Pushing On A String

Hamstrung by a restrictive mandate that prevents discretionary intervention, the European Central Bank (ECB) has, in recent years, been forced to exploit loopholes in its statute and adopt a gritted...

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US Congressional Deal: Key Implications

After 16 days of government shutdown, US political leaders have reached a deal to end the fiscal and debt stalemate in Washington. The deal will fund the government through to January 15, 2014, and...

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