Bulgaria's Political Outlook:
What are the political risks to doing business in Bulgaria over the next 5
years?
BMI's Bulgaria Country Risk Ratings evaluate the short and medium-term threats
posed by government instability, adverse economic policy-making,
deterioration in the business environment and external shocks.
Bulgaria Political Outlook Contents
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SWOT Analysis for the Bulgarian Market
Political Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats facing Bulgaria.
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Political Stability and Risk Assessment for Bulgaria
BMI's Risk Ratings assess explicit short and long-term risks to political
stability; latest ratings, rankings and trends for Bulgaria's risk are compared
with Europe regional and global averages.
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Current Administration and Policy-making in Bulgaria
BMI profiles key policy-makers and power-brokers in the Bulgarian government,
assessing threats to the continuity of Bulgarian economic policy, and likely
changes to the business operating environment through end-2012.
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Bulgarian Foreign Policy
BMI examines key trends and shifts in Bulgaria's foreign relations and
alignments with Europe neighbours, the United States and Europe, focusing on
external influences.
Key Benefits
- Benchmark Bulgaria's risk profile against its neighbours, the global and
regional average, allowing easy comparison of risks between key business
markets.
- Identify, evaluate and anticipate political and security risks to the
business environment in Bulgaria, and to your company's current operations and
future plans.
- Gain valuable insights into the Bulgarian government and policy-making,
through BMI's specialist team of analysts and economists, and their
exclusive network of private and public sector sources.
Bulgaria's Economic Outlook:
How will Bulgarian economic policy-making and performance impact corporate
profitability over 2008-12?
BMI provides fully independent 5-year forecasts for Bulgaria through
end-2012 for more than 35 macroeconomic variables. We evaluate Bulgarian
growth, and also forecast the impact of economic management, including
central bank policy, on profitability.
Bulgaria Economic Outlook Contents
The Bulgaria Business Forecast Report features explicit BMI economic forecasts
for Bulgaria, with supporting commentary and analysis, for end-2008, 2009,
2010, 2011 and 2012 set against Bulgarian government views. Underpinning our
Bulgaria forecasts are key assumptions for the global economy through end-2012,
covering growth, inflation, employment, trade and
investment, interest and exchange rates in the US, Japan and the Euro-zone.
Coverage of Key Economic Issues in Bulgaria
- Economic Activity in Bulgaria
Real GDP growth; industrial growth; employment growth; inflation and
consumer prices; consumption (indicative wages, retail sales, consumer
confidence)
- Fiscal Policy in Bulgaria
Current macroeconomic strategy and implementation policies; government
finance (revenue, expenditure, budget balance); tax reforms
- Monetary Policy in Bulgaria
Interest rate trends (bank lending and deposit rates); inflation (retail
price inflation, consumer price inflation);
exchange rate policy in Bulgaria;
Bulgarian currency controls; influence of foreign direct investment inflows;
exchange rates and foreign exchange reserves
- Balance of Payments in Bulgaria
Merchandise trade (exports, imports, trade balance); current account balance
- Foreign Direct Investment in Bulgaria
Foreign direct investment approvals and inflows; the foreign investment
climate
- Bulgarian External Debt
Debt profile (short- and long-term debt; public and private sector exposure)
Key Benefits
- Rely upon BMI's 100% independent Forecast Scenarios for Bulgaria and
underlying assumptions - we take no advertising and are privately-owned.
- Exploit the benefits of BMI's comprehensive and reliable macroeconomic
Bulgaria
database, sourced and fully maintained by BMI from an extensive network of
private sector, government and multilateral contacts.
- Gain key insights into the current and future direction of Bulgarian government economic policy
Bulgaria's Business Environment:
How internationally competitive is Bulgaria's regulatory environment,
and what changes can be expected?
BMI assesses levels of transparency, flexibility of labour market, tax
burden, development of the banking sector and credit availability,
infrastructure and IT, foreign investment regime and trade liberalisation in
Bulgaria.
Bulgaria Business Environment Contents
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Bulgaria's Business Environment Risk Rating with SWOT Analysis
Short and long-term business environment risk ratings for Bulgaria, benchmarked
against ratings for Europe and neighbouring countries.
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Country Competitiveness for Bulgaria
Competitiveness of Bulgaria's business operating environment in supporting
corporate growth and profitability over the 5-year forecast horizon,
compared with regional neighbours.
Coverage of Key Business Environment Issues in Bulgaria's Domestic Environment
Transparency, cronyism and corruption; labour market flexibility; corporate
tax burden; interest rate levels; access of private sector to lines of
credit; sophistication of banking sector and stock market; levels of
business confidence; infrastructure and IT
- Foreign Direct Investment in Bulgaria
Analysis of foreign investment regime, foreign ownership laws;
attractiveness of business environment to foreign investors; review of major
foreign direct investments over the last 24 months, and of strategic sectors
attracting most interest
- Foreign Trade with Bulgaria
Analysis of trading environment, government trade policy, liberalisation
measures, tariffs and
membership of trade areas
Bulgaria's Key Industry Sectors
Which industry sectors in Bulgaria will grow fastest, and where are the
major investment opportunities in the Bulgarian market?
BMI targets investment opportunities in Bulgaria's high growth industries,
including automotives, food and drink, infrastructure, oil and gas,
pharmaceuticals and healthcare, telecommunications and IT.
Coverage of Bulgaria's Key Industry Sectors -
Bulgarian Market Overview
Size, value and structure of industry; impact of liberalisation and
privatisation on sector performance and prospects; friendliness of business
environment
- Latest Developments in Bulgaria
Review of latest projects, deals, privatisations, mergers and acquisitions,
and implications for sector performance;
company rankings for national and multinational companies in Bulgaria; main industry players by local sales, employee size, market share and main
brands, products and services
- 5-year Industry Forecast for Bulgaria
Historic dataset (2003-2007) and BMI forecasts through end-2012, covering
headline industry data broken out by sub sector
Key Benefits
- Target strategic sector-by-sector opportunities in Bulgaria's high growth
industries, attracting public expenditure and foreign investment; identify
key players and competitors driving growth, investment and business
opportunities.
- Benefit from competitive intelligence on top national and multinational
companies operating in Bulgaria's major industry sectors, including analysis of
recent trends in sales and market share, company strategies, product
launches and latest deals.
Who buys the Europe Business Forecast Reports?
The Bulgaria Business Forecast Report is an essential tool for CEOs,
Chairmen, Finance Directors/CFOs, Managing Directors, Marketing/Sales Directors
with commercial interests in Bulgaria.
Our Business Forecast Reports are relied upon by corporates, banks, government
departments and multinational organisations around the world.
Business Monitor International's Business Forecast Report subscribers include:
Abbott International,
Air Liquide,
Akzo Nobel,
Alcatel,
Alpha Cement Group,
Atlas Copco,
BASF,
British American Tobacco Company,
Coca-Cola HBC,
Colgate Palmolive Romania,
Deloitte & Touche,
Ericsson Telecommunications Bulgaria Ltd,
Ernst & Young,
Exxonmobil Ltd,
Heineken Brewery,
Hewlett- Packard Slovakia, S.r.o,
Indesit Company,
Microsoft Software,
Novartis Pharma Services Inc,
Omnitel,
Opus Land Development SA,
Provident Financial,
Raiffeisen Bank,
Robert Bosch Elektronika Kft.,
Siemens Srl,
Xerox Ltd
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