Cote d'Ivoire Businessforecast Industry Forecast

The Cote d'Ivoire Business Forecast Report provides essential macroeconomic, political and financial analysis for companies doing business in Cote d'Ivoire. The Cote d'Ivoire Business Forecast Report helps businesses with market assessment, strategic planning and decision making to promote growth and profitability in Cote d'Ivoire and is an essential tool for CEOs, Chairmen, Finance Directors/CFOs, Managing Directors, Marketing/Sales Directors with commercial interests in this emerging market.

An influential new analysis of Cote d'Ivoire's political, economic and financial prospects through end-2012, just published by award-winning forecasters, Business Monitor International.

 

 

 

Key Uses of the Cote d'Ivoire Business Forecast Report | Cote d'Ivoire's Political Outlook | Cote d'Ivoire's Economic Outlook | Cote d'Ivoire's Business Environment | Key Cote d'Ivoire Industry Sectors | Cote d'Ivoire BMI's Executive Summary | Our Africa Subscribers | Full Range of BMI's Business Forecast Reports

Key Uses for the Cote d'Ivoire Business Forecast Report

  • Forecast the pace and stability of Cote d'Ivoire's economic and industry growth through end-2012
  • Identify and evaluate adverse political and economic trends in Cote d'Ivoire, to facilitate risk mitigation strategies
  • Assess critical shortcomings of Cote d'Ivoire's business environment that pose hidden barriers and costs to corporate profitability
  • Contextualise Cote d'Ivoire's country risks against Africa regional peers using BMI's country comparative risk ratings system
  • Target business opportunities in Cote d'Ivoire's high-growth industry sectors
  • Evaluate external threats to doing business in Cote d'Ivoire, including currency volatility, the commodity price boom and protectionist policies

The Cote d'Ivoire Business Forecast Report by Business Monitor International includes four major sections: Cote d'Ivoire's Political Outlook, Cote d'Ivoire's Economic Outlook, Cote d'Ivoire's Business Environment and Cote d'Ivoire's Key Industry Sectors.

Cote d'Ivoire's Political Outlook:

What are the political risks to doing business in Cote d'Ivoire over the next 5 years?

BMI's Cote d'Ivoire Country Risk Ratings evaluate the short and medium-term threats posed by government instability, adverse economic policy-making, deterioration in the business environment and external shocks.

Cote d'Ivoire Political Outlook Contents

  • SWOT Analysis for the Market
    Political Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats facing Cote d'Ivoire.
  • Political Stability and Risk Assessment for Cote d'Ivoire
    BMI's Risk Ratings assess explicit short and long-term risks to political stability; latest ratings, rankings and trends for Cote d'Ivoire's risk are compared with Africa regional and global averages.
  • Current Administration and Policy-making in Cote d'Ivoire
    BMI profiles key policy-makers and power-brokers in the government, assessing threats to the continuity of economic policy, and likely changes to the business operating environment through end-2012.
  • Foreign Policy
    BMI examines key trends and shifts in Cote d'Ivoire's foreign relations and alignments with Africa neighbours, the United States and Europe, focusing on external influences.

Key Benefits

  1. Benchmark Cote d'Ivoire's risk profile against its neighbours, the global and regional average, allowing easy comparison of risks between key business markets.
  2. Identify, evaluate and anticipate political and security risks to the business environment in Cote d'Ivoire, and to your company's current operations and future plans.
  3. Gain valuable insights into the government and policy-making, through BMI's specialist team of analysts and economists, and their exclusive network of private and public sector sources.

Cote d'Ivoire's Economic Outlook:

How will economic policy-making and performance impact corporate profitability over 2008-12?

BMI provides fully independent 5-year forecasts for Cote d'Ivoire through end-2012 for more than 35 macroeconomic variables. We evaluate growth, and also forecast the impact of economic management, including central bank policy, on profitability.

Cote d'Ivoire Economic Outlook Contents

The Cote d'Ivoire Business Forecast Report features explicit BMI economic forecasts for Cote d'Ivoire, with supporting commentary and analysis, for end-2008, 2009, 2010, 2011 and 2012 set against government views. Underpinning our Cote d'Ivoire forecasts are key assumptions for the global economy through end-2012, covering growth, inflation, employment, trade and investment, interest and exchange rates in the US, Japan and the Euro-zone.

Coverage of Key Economic Issues in Cote d'Ivoire

  • Economic Activity in Cote d'Ivoire
    Real GDP growth; industrial growth; employment growth; inflation and consumer prices; consumption (indicative wages, retail sales, consumer confidence)
  • Fiscal Policy in Cote d'Ivoire
    Current macroeconomic strategy and implementation policies; government finance (revenue, expenditure, budget balance); tax reforms
  • Monetary Policy in Cote d'Ivoire
    Interest rate trends (bank lending and deposit rates); inflation (retail price inflation, consumer price inflation); exchange rate policy in Cote d'Ivoire; currency controls; influence of foreign direct investment inflows; exchange rates and foreign exchange reserves
  • Balance of Payments in Cote d'Ivoire
    Merchandise trade (exports, imports, trade balance); current account balance
  • Foreign Direct Investment in Cote d'Ivoire
    Foreign direct investment approvals and inflows; the foreign investment climate
  • External Debt
    Debt profile (short- and long-term debt; public and private sector exposure)

Key Benefits

  1. Rely upon BMI's 100% independent Forecast Scenarios for Cote d'Ivoire and underlying assumptions - we take no advertising and are privately-owned.
  2. Exploit the benefits of BMI's comprehensive and reliable macroeconomic Cote d'Ivoire database, sourced and fully maintained by BMI from an extensive network of private sector, government and multilateral contacts.
  3. Gain key insights into the current and future direction of government economic policy

Cote d'Ivoire's Business Environment:

How internationally competitive is Cote d'Ivoire's regulatory environment, and what changes can be expected?

BMI assesses levels of transparency, flexibility of labour market, tax burden, development of the banking sector and credit availability, infrastructure and IT, foreign investment regime and trade liberalisation in Cote d'Ivoire.

Cote d'Ivoire Business Environment Contents

  • Cote d'Ivoire's Business Environment Risk Rating with SWOT Analysis
    Short and long-term business environment risk ratings for Cote d'Ivoire, benchmarked against ratings for Africa and neighbouring countries.
  • Country Competitiveness for Cote d'Ivoire
    Competitiveness of Cote d'Ivoire's business operating environment in supporting corporate growth and profitability over the 5-year forecast horizon, compared with regional neighbours.

Coverage of Key Business Environment Issues in Cote d'Ivoire's Domestic Environment

Transparency, cronyism and corruption; labour market flexibility; corporate tax burden; interest rate levels; access of private sector to lines of credit; sophistication of banking sector and stock market; levels of business confidence; infrastructure and IT

  • Foreign Direct Investment in Cote d'Ivoire
    Analysis of foreign investment regime, foreign ownership laws; attractiveness of business environment to foreign investors; review of major foreign direct investments over the last 24 months, and of strategic sectors attracting most interest
  • Foreign Trade with Cote d'Ivoire
    Analysis of trading environment, government trade policy, liberalisation measures, tariffs and membership of trade areas

Cote d'Ivoire's Key Industry Sectors

Which industry sectors in Cote d'Ivoire will grow fastest, and where are the major investment opportunities in the market?

BMI targets investment opportunities in Cote d'Ivoire's high growth industries, including automotives, food and drink, infrastructure, oil and gas, pharmaceuticals and healthcare, telecommunications and IT.

Coverage of Cote d'Ivoire's Key Industry Sectors - Market Overview

Size, value and structure of industry; impact of liberalisation and privatisation on sector performance and prospects; friendliness of business environment

  • Latest Developments in Cote d'Ivoire
    Review of latest projects, deals, privatisations, mergers and acquisitions, and implications for sector performance; company rankings for national and multinational companies in Cote d'Ivoire; main industry players by local sales, employee size, market share and main brands, products and services
  • 5-year Industry Forecast for Cote d'Ivoire
    Historic dataset (2003-2007) and BMI forecasts through end-2012, covering headline industry data broken out by sub sector

Key Benefits

  1. Target strategic sector-by-sector opportunities in Cote d'Ivoire's high growth industries, attracting public expenditure and foreign investment; identify key players and competitors driving growth, investment and business opportunities.
  2. Benefit from competitive intelligence on top national and multinational companies operating in Cote d'Ivoire's major industry sectors, including analysis of recent trends in sales and market share, company strategies, product launches and latest deals.

Who buys the Africa Business Forecast Reports?

The Cote d'Ivoire Business Forecast Report is an essential tool for CEOs, Chairmen, Finance Directors/CFOs, Managing Directors, Marketing/Sales Directors with commercial interests in Cote d'Ivoire.

Our Business Forecast Reports are relied upon by corporates, banks, government departments and multinational organisations around the world.

Business Monitor International's Business Forecast Report subscribers include:

3M, Abbott Laboratories, Accenture, Access Bank Plc, ADNEC, American Express (Middle East) BSC, Arab Swiss Engineering Co ASEC Group, Astra Zeneca, Bahrain Petroleum Company, BNP Paribas, British American Tobacco SA (pty) Ltd, Crown Industries, Ernst & Young, GE International Inc, Gulf Holding Company, Hyder Consulting, Impact/BBDO, Intercontinental Bank Plc, Kellogg, Mobinil, PricewaterhouseCoopers, Samsung Engineering & Construction, Telkom Wholesale Services, Tesco Corporation, Tetra Pak Egypt Ltd, Visa International 

 

" Out of all the research publications that my organisation has purchased and used recently, BMI's is by far the most comprehensive. The reports are underpinned by in-depth study of the industry and an unparalleled analytical process. We use the reports to obtain an understanding of the underlying economic situation within our country, as well as looking at opportunities for the future. "
Director, Capital Africa Group, South Africa.

BMI's Executive Summary for Côte d'Ivoire

[TOP]

Political Risk To Remain Prime Concern

While Cote d'Ivoire has come a long way over the course of 2007, we caution that the risks to political stability will remain to the downside in 2008. Aside from the possibility that elections will be further delayed beyond June 2008, we warn that the threat of a renewed outbreak of violence in the run-up and the aftermath of the polls will be considerably high, especially in the event of perceived electoral fraud. Certainly, at face value, recent developments haven give rise to optimism that the government and the New Forces could be able to overcome the remaining hurdles standing in the way of peaceful elections and further improvements in political stability. Assuming the political situation will remain stable, Cote d'Ivoire's growth outlook will be much brighter in 2008 and 2009, following a lacklustre real GDP growth figure of an estimated 1.7% in 2007.

Despite noticeable improvements in government-rebel relations and the potential for further progress, we believe that there are several key risks which could possibly undermine peace efforts. Indeed, since the end of large scale fighting in 2003, the Ouagadougou accord has been the sixth peace deal attempting to bring an end to the political crisis and create a stable platform for peaceful elections. Although there was a renewed emphasis on disarmament and voter registration in the Ouagadougou peace accord, it was these very two components that have caused the past three postponements of elections since December 2005 and could yet again represent the main stumbling block in 2008.

Aside from rising capital inflows, we believe that the country's exports will also represent an important driver of growth over the course of 2008. Although still weak on a relative basis, we forecast that export growth is likely to recover noticeably over the coming two years. As highlighted in our cocoa and coffee commodity forecast, high demand (fuelled by strong growth in Asia and rising interest from investment funds) and supply side pressure will keep prices elevated. In a similar fashion, we project that international oil prices are likely to remain elevated in 2008, with our new average 2008 Brent Crude price forecast standing at US$85.00/bbl.

In order to improve the transportation system, the Ivorian government announced in November 2007 that it will allocate US$52mn into rural development, which will be partly earmarked to pave an additional 1,335km of bush roads over the coming years. This is encouraging, as the large amount of dirt roads, of which many represent the only means of access to cocoa plantations, cause extensive problems to the transportation system during the wet season (June to October). Furthermore, at the end of September 2007, the authorities drew up plans to invest more than US$230mn into Abidjan's state-controlled port, to deepen the canal that connects the lagoon-side port with the open sea, in order to enable the passage of larger container ships.

Read about our other Business Forecast Reports  

Asia

Australia, Bangladesh, China, Hong Kong, India, Indonesia, Malaysia, Pakistan, Philippines, Singapore, South Korea, Sri Lanka, Taiwan, Thailand, Vietnam

Europe

Bosnia & Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Caucasus, Croatia, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Estonia, Greece, Hungary, Kazakhstan & Central Asia, Latvia, Lithuania, Macedonia, Poland, Romania, Russia, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Turkey, Ukraine

Middle East

Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Lebanon & Syria, Kuwait, Oman & Yemen, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, UAE

Africa

Angola, Botswana, Cameroon, Cote d'Ivoire, Egypt, Ethiopia, Francophone West Africa, Ghana, Kenya, Mozambique, Namibia, Nigeria, North Africa, South Africa, Sudan, Tanzania, Uganda, Zambia, Zimbabwe

North & South America

Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, East Caribbean, Mexico, Peru, Trinidad & Tobago, Venezuela, West Caribbean

 

Business Monitor International

Business Monitor International
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