The East Caribbean's Political Outlook:
What are the political risks to doing business in the East Caribbean over the next 5
years?
BMI's East Caribbean Country Risk Ratings evaluate the short and medium-term threats
posed by government instability, adverse economic policy-making,
deterioration in the business environment and external shocks.
the East Caribbean Political Outlook Contents
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SWOT Analysis for the East Caribbean Market
Political Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats facing the East Caribbean.
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Political Stability and Risk Assessment for the East Caribbean
BMI's Risk Ratings assess explicit short and long-term risks to political
stability; latest ratings, rankings and trends for the East Caribbean's risk are compared
with North and South America regional and global averages.
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Current Administration and Policy-making in the East Caribbean
BMI profiles key policy-makers and power-brokers in the East Caribbean government,
assessing threats to the continuity of East Caribbean economic policy, and likely
changes to the business operating environment through end-2012.
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East Caribbean Foreign Policy
BMI examines key trends and shifts in the East Caribbean's foreign relations and
alignments with North and South America neighbours, the United States and Europe, focusing on
external influences.
Key Benefits
- Benchmark the East Caribbean's risk profile against its neighbours, the global and
regional average, allowing easy comparison of risks between key business
markets.
- Identify, evaluate and anticipate political and security risks to the
business environment in the East Caribbean, and to your company's current operations and
future plans.
- Gain valuable insights into the East Caribbean government and policy-making,
through BMI's specialist team of analysts and economists, and their
exclusive network of private and public sector sources.
The East Caribbean's Economic Outlook:
How will East Caribbean economic policy-making and performance impact corporate
profitability over 2008-12?
BMI provides fully independent 5-year forecasts for the East Caribbean through
end-2012 for more than 35 macroeconomic variables. We evaluate East Caribbean
growth, and also forecast the impact of economic management, including
central bank policy, on profitability.
the East Caribbean Economic Outlook Contents
The East Caribbean Business Forecast Report features explicit BMI economic forecasts
for the East Caribbean, with supporting commentary and analysis, for end-2008, 2009,
2010, 2011 and 2012 set against East Caribbean government views. Underpinning our
East Caribbean forecasts are key assumptions for the global economy through end-2012,
covering growth, inflation, employment, trade and
investment, interest and exchange rates in the US, Japan and the Euro-zone.
Coverage of Key Economic Issues in the East Caribbean
- Economic Activity in the East Caribbean
Real GDP growth; industrial growth; employment growth; inflation and
consumer prices; consumption (indicative wages, retail sales, consumer
confidence)
- Fiscal Policy in the East Caribbean
Current macroeconomic strategy and implementation policies; government
finance (revenue, expenditure, budget balance); tax reforms
- Monetary Policy in the East Caribbean
Interest rate trends (bank lending and deposit rates); inflation (retail
price inflation, consumer price inflation);
exchange rate policy in the East Caribbean;
East Caribbean currency controls; influence of foreign direct investment inflows;
exchange rates and foreign exchange reserves
- Balance of Payments in the East Caribbean
Merchandise trade (exports, imports, trade balance); current account balance
- Foreign Direct Investment in the East Caribbean
Foreign direct investment approvals and inflows; the foreign investment
climate
- East Caribbean External Debt
Debt profile (short- and long-term debt; public and private sector exposure)
Key Benefits
- Rely upon BMI's 100% independent Forecast Scenarios for the East Caribbean and
underlying assumptions - we take no advertising and are privately-owned.
- Exploit the benefits of BMI's comprehensive and reliable macroeconomic
the East Caribbean
database, sourced and fully maintained by BMI from an extensive network of
private sector, government and multilateral contacts.
- Gain key insights into the current and future direction of East Caribbean government economic policy
The East Caribbean's Business Environment:
How internationally competitive is the East Caribbean's regulatory environment,
and what changes can be expected?
BMI assesses levels of transparency, flexibility of labour market, tax
burden, development of the banking sector and credit availability,
infrastructure and IT, foreign investment regime and trade liberalisation in
the East Caribbean.
the East Caribbean Business Environment Contents
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the East Caribbean's Business Environment Risk Rating with SWOT Analysis
Short and long-term business environment risk ratings for the East Caribbean, benchmarked
against ratings for North and South America and neighbouring countries.
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Country Competitiveness for the East Caribbean
Competitiveness of the East Caribbean's business operating environment in supporting
corporate growth and profitability over the 5-year forecast horizon,
compared with regional neighbours.
Coverage of Key Business Environment Issues in the East Caribbean's Domestic Environment
Transparency, cronyism and corruption; labour market flexibility; corporate
tax burden; interest rate levels; access of private sector to lines of
credit; sophistication of banking sector and stock market; levels of
business confidence; infrastructure and IT
- Foreign Direct Investment in the East Caribbean
Analysis of foreign investment regime, foreign ownership laws;
attractiveness of business environment to foreign investors; review of major
foreign direct investments over the last 24 months, and of strategic sectors
attracting most interest
- Foreign Trade with the East Caribbean
Analysis of trading environment, government trade policy, liberalisation
measures, tariffs and
membership of trade areas
The East Caribbean's Key Industry Sectors
Which industry sectors in the East Caribbean will grow fastest, and where are the
major investment opportunities in the East Caribbean market?
BMI targets investment opportunities in the East Caribbean's high growth industries,
including automotives, food and drink, infrastructure, oil and gas,
pharmaceuticals and healthcare, telecommunications and IT.
Coverage of the East Caribbean's Key Industry Sectors -
East Caribbean Market Overview
Size, value and structure of industry; impact of liberalisation and
privatisation on sector performance and prospects; friendliness of business
environment
- Latest Developments in the East Caribbean
Review of latest projects, deals, privatisations, mergers and acquisitions,
and implications for sector performance;
company rankings for national and multinational companies in the East Caribbean; main industry players by local sales, employee size, market share and main
brands, products and services
- 5-year Industry Forecast for the East Caribbean
Historic dataset (2003-2007) and BMI forecasts through end-2012, covering
headline industry data broken out by sub sector
Key Benefits
- Target strategic sector-by-sector opportunities in the East Caribbean's high growth
industries, attracting public expenditure and foreign investment; identify
key players and competitors driving growth, investment and business
opportunities.
- Benefit from competitive intelligence on top national and multinational
companies operating in the East Caribbean's major industry sectors, including analysis of
recent trends in sales and market share, company strategies, product
launches and latest deals.
Who buys the North and South America Business Forecast Reports?
The East Caribbean Business Forecast Report is an essential tool for CEOs,
Chairmen, Finance Directors/CFOs, Managing Directors, Marketing/Sales Directors
with commercial interests in the East Caribbean.
Our Business Forecast Reports are relied upon by corporates, banks, government
departments and multinational organisations around the world.
Business Monitor International's Business Forecast Report subscribers include:
ABB Mexico, SA de CV,
American Express Argentina,
American Honda Motor Co Inc,
Ansa Technologies Ltd,
Antigua Commercial Bank,
ATCO Structures Inc,
Atlas Copco Chilena,
Banco de Mexico,
BASF Interservicios SA de CV,
Bristol Myers Squibb,
Carl Zeiss de Mexico SA de CV,
Chrysler LLC,
Coca-Cola Servicios de Colombia,
Colgate-Palmolive CA,
Glaxosmithkline Chile Ltda,
Hyatt International,
Lafarge SA,
Levi Strauss Mexico,
Merck SA,
Merrill Lynch - Brazil,
Siemens S.A. de C.V.,
Sony Ericsson,
Standard Chartered Bank,
Unilever Caribbean,
West Indies Oil Company
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