Lithuania Businessforecast Industry Forecast

The Lithuania Business Forecast Report provides essential macroeconomic, political and financial analysis for companies doing business in Lithuania. The Lithuania Business Forecast Report helps businesses with Lithuanian market assessment, strategic planning and decision making to promote growth and profitability in Lithuania and is an essential tool for CEOs, Chairmen, Finance Directors/CFOs, Managing Directors, Marketing/Sales Directors with commercial interests in this emerging market.

An influential new analysis of Lithuania's political, economic and financial prospects through end-2012, just published by award-winning forecasters, Business Monitor International.

 

 

 

Key Uses of the Lithuania Business Forecast Report | Lithuania's Political Outlook | Lithuania's Economic Outlook | Lithuania's Business Environment | Key Lithuania Industry Sectors | Lithuania BMI's Executive Summary | Our Europe Subscribers | Full Range of BMI's Business Forecast Reports

Key Uses for the Lithuania Business Forecast Report

  • Forecast the pace and stability of Lithuania's economic and industry growth through end-2012
  • Identify and evaluate adverse political and economic trends in Lithuania, to facilitate risk mitigation strategies
  • Assess critical shortcomings of Lithuania's business environment that pose hidden barriers and costs to corporate profitability
  • Contextualise Lithuania's country risks against Europe regional peers using BMI's country comparative risk ratings system
  • Target business opportunities in Lithuania's high-growth industry sectors
  • Evaluate external threats to doing business in Lithuania, including currency volatility, the commodity price boom and protectionist policies

The Lithuania Business Forecast Report by Business Monitor International includes four major sections: Lithuania's Political Outlook, Lithuania's Economic Outlook, Lithuania's Business Environment and Lithuania's Key Industry Sectors.

Lithuania's Political Outlook:

What are the political risks to doing business in Lithuania over the next 5 years?

BMI's Lithuania Country Risk Ratings evaluate the short and medium-term threats posed by government instability, adverse economic policy-making, deterioration in the business environment and external shocks.

Lithuania Political Outlook Contents

  • SWOT Analysis for the Lithuanian Market
    Political Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats facing Lithuania.
  • Political Stability and Risk Assessment for Lithuania
    BMI's Risk Ratings assess explicit short and long-term risks to political stability; latest ratings, rankings and trends for Lithuania's risk are compared with Europe regional and global averages.
  • Current Administration and Policy-making in Lithuania
    BMI profiles key policy-makers and power-brokers in the Lithuanian government, assessing threats to the continuity of Lithuanian economic policy, and likely changes to the business operating environment through end-2012.
  • Lithuanian Foreign Policy
    BMI examines key trends and shifts in Lithuania's foreign relations and alignments with Europe neighbours, the United States and Europe, focusing on external influences.

Key Benefits

  1. Benchmark Lithuania's risk profile against its neighbours, the global and regional average, allowing easy comparison of risks between key business markets.
  2. Identify, evaluate and anticipate political and security risks to the business environment in Lithuania, and to your company's current operations and future plans.
  3. Gain valuable insights into the Lithuanian government and policy-making, through BMI's specialist team of analysts and economists, and their exclusive network of private and public sector sources.

Lithuania's Economic Outlook:

How will Lithuanian economic policy-making and performance impact corporate profitability over 2008-12?

BMI provides fully independent 5-year forecasts for Lithuania through end-2012 for more than 35 macroeconomic variables. We evaluate Lithuanian growth, and also forecast the impact of economic management, including central bank policy, on profitability.

Lithuania Economic Outlook Contents

The Lithuania Business Forecast Report features explicit BMI economic forecasts for Lithuania, with supporting commentary and analysis, for end-2008, 2009, 2010, 2011 and 2012 set against Lithuanian government views. Underpinning our Lithuania forecasts are key assumptions for the global economy through end-2012, covering growth, inflation, employment, trade and investment, interest and exchange rates in the US, Japan and the Euro-zone.

Coverage of Key Economic Issues in Lithuania

  • Economic Activity in Lithuania
    Real GDP growth; industrial growth; employment growth; inflation and consumer prices; consumption (indicative wages, retail sales, consumer confidence)
  • Fiscal Policy in Lithuania
    Current macroeconomic strategy and implementation policies; government finance (revenue, expenditure, budget balance); tax reforms
  • Monetary Policy in Lithuania
    Interest rate trends (bank lending and deposit rates); inflation (retail price inflation, consumer price inflation); exchange rate policy in Lithuania; Lithuanian currency controls; influence of foreign direct investment inflows; exchange rates and foreign exchange reserves
  • Balance of Payments in Lithuania
    Merchandise trade (exports, imports, trade balance); current account balance
  • Foreign Direct Investment in Lithuania
    Foreign direct investment approvals and inflows; the foreign investment climate
  • Lithuanian External Debt
    Debt profile (short- and long-term debt; public and private sector exposure)

Key Benefits

  1. Rely upon BMI's 100% independent Forecast Scenarios for Lithuania and underlying assumptions - we take no advertising and are privately-owned.
  2. Exploit the benefits of BMI's comprehensive and reliable macroeconomic Lithuania database, sourced and fully maintained by BMI from an extensive network of private sector, government and multilateral contacts.
  3. Gain key insights into the current and future direction of Lithuanian government economic policy

Lithuania's Business Environment:

How internationally competitive is Lithuania's regulatory environment, and what changes can be expected?

BMI assesses levels of transparency, flexibility of labour market, tax burden, development of the banking sector and credit availability, infrastructure and IT, foreign investment regime and trade liberalisation in Lithuania.

Lithuania Business Environment Contents

  • Lithuania's Business Environment Risk Rating with SWOT Analysis
    Short and long-term business environment risk ratings for Lithuania, benchmarked against ratings for Europe and neighbouring countries.
  • Country Competitiveness for Lithuania
    Competitiveness of Lithuania's business operating environment in supporting corporate growth and profitability over the 5-year forecast horizon, compared with regional neighbours.

Coverage of Key Business Environment Issues in Lithuania's Domestic Environment

Transparency, cronyism and corruption; labour market flexibility; corporate tax burden; interest rate levels; access of private sector to lines of credit; sophistication of banking sector and stock market; levels of business confidence; infrastructure and IT

  • Foreign Direct Investment in Lithuania
    Analysis of foreign investment regime, foreign ownership laws; attractiveness of business environment to foreign investors; review of major foreign direct investments over the last 24 months, and of strategic sectors attracting most interest
  • Foreign Trade with Lithuania
    Analysis of trading environment, government trade policy, liberalisation measures, tariffs and membership of trade areas

Lithuania's Key Industry Sectors

Which industry sectors in Lithuania will grow fastest, and where are the major investment opportunities in the Lithuanian market?

BMI targets investment opportunities in Lithuania's high growth industries, including automotives, food and drink, infrastructure, oil and gas, pharmaceuticals and healthcare, telecommunications and IT.

Coverage of Lithuania's Key Industry Sectors - Lithuanian Market Overview

Size, value and structure of industry; impact of liberalisation and privatisation on sector performance and prospects; friendliness of business environment

  • Latest Developments in Lithuania
    Review of latest projects, deals, privatisations, mergers and acquisitions, and implications for sector performance; company rankings for national and multinational companies in Lithuania; main industry players by local sales, employee size, market share and main brands, products and services
  • 5-year Industry Forecast for Lithuania
    Historic dataset (2003-2007) and BMI forecasts through end-2012, covering headline industry data broken out by sub sector

Key Benefits

  1. Target strategic sector-by-sector opportunities in Lithuania's high growth industries, attracting public expenditure and foreign investment; identify key players and competitors driving growth, investment and business opportunities.
  2. Benefit from competitive intelligence on top national and multinational companies operating in Lithuania's major industry sectors, including analysis of recent trends in sales and market share, company strategies, product launches and latest deals.

Who buys the Europe Business Forecast Reports?

The Lithuania Business Forecast Report is an essential tool for CEOs, Chairmen, Finance Directors/CFOs, Managing Directors, Marketing/Sales Directors with commercial interests in Lithuania.

Our Business Forecast Reports are relied upon by corporates, banks, government departments and multinational organisations around the world.

Business Monitor International's Business Forecast Report subscribers include:

Abbott International, Air Liquide, Akzo Nobel, Alcatel, Alpha Cement Group, Atlas Copco, BASF, British American Tobacco Company, Coca-Cola HBC, Colgate Palmolive Romania, Deloitte & Touche, Ericsson Telecommunications Bulgaria Ltd, Ernst & Young, Exxonmobil Ltd, Heineken Brewery, Hewlett- Packard Slovakia, S.r.o, Indesit Company, Microsoft Software, Novartis Pharma Services Inc, Omnitel, Opus Land Development SA, Provident Financial, Raiffeisen Bank, Robert Bosch Elektronika Kft., Siemens Srl, Xerox Ltd 

 

" BMI's Business Forecast Report has proved to be what we were seeking for our strategic planning process. The most useful sections for our purpose are the Central Economic Forecast and the Key Economic Sectors, which will support my team to update our strategic planning for the next 5 years. "
Chief Operating Officer, PSV Company, Romania.

BMI's Executive Summary for Lithuania

[TOP]

Soft Landing Likely

Economic growth accelerated in Q307 and inflation recorded rates not seen for a decade, re-igniting concerns about overheating. The government has dismissed concerns that the economy could be headed for a hard landing. But underlying vulnerabilities are increasing and could potentially impede the process of catching up with the country's EU peers, though the economy is not yet in a danger zone.

In the political arena, the four-party minority government remains vulnerable but has a reasonable chance of remaining in office until elections next autumn. The government has announced plans for a modest fiscal tightening in 2008-2009, though a bigger reduction in the fiscal stance and the introduction of credit-restraining measures are arguably needed to cool the economy and combat inflation. With elections less than a year away neither the government nor opposition parties appear to have the appetite for policy tightening and pressure is building for more, not less, public spending.

The likelihood of the economy experiencing an orderly slowdown has increased as a result of the tightening of global credit conditions and reappraisal of risk following the US subprime crisis. While GDP growth is expected to remain strong in the near term, the economy should start to cool significantly in H208 as borrowing costs increase, capacity constraints begin to bind and rising labour costs reduce profitability and non-oil export growth. We forecast a reduction in the pace of real output growth to 6.8% in 2008, from an upwardly revised 9.5% in 2007, and foresee a further slowdown to 5.7% in 2009.

Consumer price inflation is expected to climb to at least 6.7% in 2008, from 5.6% in 2007, on the back of a new round of excise tax hikes, a further increase in domestic gas prices and strong, but slowing, domestic demand and wage growth. The current account deficit is projected to increase further, to 14.2% of GDP due in part to robust domestic demand and high international commodity prices. Business conditions are broadly favourable given the booming local economy. But input costs are rising and emerging labour shortages and overheating risks remain key concerns.

Read about our other Business Forecast Reports  

Asia

Australia, Bangladesh, China, Hong Kong, India, Indonesia, Malaysia, Pakistan, Philippines, Singapore, South Korea, Sri Lanka, Taiwan, Thailand, Vietnam

Europe

Bosnia & Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Caucasus, Croatia, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Estonia, Greece, Hungary, Kazakhstan & Central Asia, Latvia, Lithuania, Macedonia, Poland, Romania, Russia, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Turkey, Ukraine

Middle East

Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Lebanon & Syria, Kuwait, Oman & Yemen, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, UAE

Africa

Angola, Botswana, Cameroon, Cote d'Ivoire, Egypt, Ethiopia, Francophone West Africa, Ghana, Kenya, Mozambique, Namibia, Nigeria, North Africa, South Africa, Sudan, Tanzania, Uganda, Zambia, Zimbabwe

North & South America

Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, East Caribbean, Mexico, Peru, Trinidad & Tobago, Venezuela, West Caribbean

 

Business Monitor International

Business Monitor International
A Market Leader in Country Risk, Industry Intelligence and Company Research

Mermaid House, 2 Puddle Dock, Blackfriars, London EC4V 3DS, UK

BUSINESS MONITOR INTERNATIONAL's country risk analysis and forecasts, market research on leading industries, and multinational company research is relied upon by corporates, banks, government departments and multilateral organisations in over 125 countries around the world.

Country Risk Analysis and Forecasts
BMI
has for 25 years specialised in political risk analysis, financial markets analysis, and macroeconomic forecasts on 175 global markets.

Industry Intelligence and Market Research
BMI's industry research covers Automotives; Banking; Chemicals; Defence & Security; Food & Drink; Freight Transport; Information Technology; Infrastructure; Insurance; Mining; Oil & Gas; Petrochemicals; Pharmaceuticals & Healthcare; Power; Telecommunications, and Tourism.

Company Research
BMI maintains a fully-researched 55,000-site database of multinational company subsidiaries located across global markets.