|
Argentina Defence & Security Report |
Was: $1030.00 | |
| Now: $875.00 | ||
| You save: $155.00 (15%) |
The Argentina Defence & Security Report
- Independent 5-year Defence and Security industry forecast for Argentina.
- Original Defence and security market research and the defence & security sector trend analysis for the Argentinian Defence and Security industry.
- Competitive intelligence, Argentinian defence & security company rankings and SWOT analyses on international and domestic defence & security companies in Argentina.
The Argentina Defence & Security Report has been researched at source in 2007, and features latest-available data covering all headline indicators; 5-year industry forecasts for Argentina through end-; company rankings and competitive landscapes covering national and multinational arms and components manufacturers, electronic and software producers, and companies providing defence solutions, as well as analysis of latest industry developments, trends and regulatory changes in Argentina.
Business Monitor International's Argentinian Defence & Security Report provides professionals, consultancies, government departments, regulatory bodies and researchers with independent forecasts and regional competitive intelligence on the Argentinian defence & security industry.
Key Benefits of Report
- Benchmark BMI’s Independent 5-Year Defence & Security Industry Forecast on Argentina to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and strategic business planning in the Argentinian defence and security market.
- Target Business Opportunities & Risks in the Argentinian Defence & Security Sector through reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes, and major deals, projects and investments in Argentina
- Exploit The Latest Competitive Argentinian Defence & Security Intelligence & Company SWOTS on your peers and competitors through company rankings by sales, market share, investments and leading products and services.
Coverage
SWOT Analysis
Snapshot evaluation of the major issues affecting security, the defence sector, economy and politics, with issues subdivided into 'strengths', 'weaknesses', 'opportunities' and 'threats'.
Political Risk Assessment
Drawing on BMI’s twenty-year heritage of Country Risk analysis, this comprehensively evaluates the key risks to domestic politics and
foreign relations, focusing on issues most likely to affect either domestic security or the defence sector.
Security Risk Analysis
BMI’s proprietary Security Ratings provide a reliable – and country comparable – guide to conflict, terrorism and criminal risk, backed up by our analyst’s latest assessment of each component. Furthermore, drawing on our Country Risk expertise, we assess the state’s vulnerability to a serious – or prolonged – terrorist campaign.
Defence Industry Assessment
Overview of industry landscape and key players; public/private structure, size and value of industry sector; assessment of business operating environment and latest regulatory developments; indepth review of recent procurement trends and developments.
BMI 5-Year Forecasts
Historic data series and 5-year forecasts to end- for key industry indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast. Defence expenditure (local currency and US$bn); defence expenditure (% of total budget); defence expenditure (% of GDP); defence expenditure per capita, US$; defence budget (local currency and US$bn); employment in arms production (‘000s); employment in arms production (% of labour force); arms imports (US$mn); arms imports (% of total imports); arms exports (US$mn); arms exports (% of total exports)
BMI 5-year forecast and analysis of all headline macroeconomic indicators, including real GDP growth, inflation, fiscal balance, trade balance, current account and external debt.
Company Profiles
Company profiles, including senior executives and full contact details, business activity, products and services, foreign direct investments and projects.
|
Argentina Defence & Security Report |
Was: $1030.00 | |
| Now: $875.00 | ||
| You save: $155.00 (15%) |
Chapter - Executive Summary |
| Argentina Security SWOT |
| Argentina Defence Industry SWOT |
| Argentina Political SWOT |
| Argentina Economic SWOT |
| Argentina Business Environment SWOT |
Chapter - Political Overview |
| Security Risk Analysis |
| BMI's Security Ratings |
| Table: Latin America Security Ratings |
| Table: Latin America State Vulnerability To Terrorism Index |
| Regional Security: Latin America |
| Overview |
| Trends And Developments |
| Argentina Security Risk Rating |
| Conflict Risk |
| Terrorism Risk |
| Physical Safety Risk |
| Rise Of Political Gangs |
Chapter - Security Overview |
| Internal Security Situation |
| Drugs Trafficking |
| Military And Human Rights |
| Latest Developments |
| External Security Situation |
| Table: Regional Insurgent Groups |
| Argentina-Brazil Relations |
| Argentina-Uruguay Relations |
| Argentina-US Relations |
| Argentina-Chile Relations |
| Argentina-UK Relations |
| Relations With Asia |
| Latest Developments |
Chapter - Armed Forces And Government Spending |
| Armed Forces |
| Table: Regional Armed Forces (including conscripted) 2006 |
| International Deployment |
| Table: Foreign Deployments |
| Weapons Of Mass Destruction |
Chapter - Market Overview |
| Arms Trade Overview |
| Industry Trends And Developments |
| Table: Key Players – Argentina Defence Sector |
| Procurement Trends And Developments |
| Air Force Procurements |
| Naval Developments |
| Latest Developments |
Chapter - Industry Forecast Scenario |
| Army Enlargements |
| Table: Argentina Defence Sector – Historical Data & Forecasts |
| Government Expenditure |
| Table: Argentina Defence Expenditure – Historical Data & Forecasts |
| Macroeconomic Forecast |
| Table: Argentina – Economic Activity |
Chapter - Company Profile |
| Lockheed Martin Aircraft Argentina SA (LMAASA) |
Chapter - Country Snapshot: Argentina Demographic Data |
| Section 1: Population |
| Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030 |
| Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown, 2005-2030 |
| Section 2: Education And Healthcare |
| Table: Education |
| Table: Life Expectancy, 2005-2030 |
| Section 3: Labour Market And Spending Power |
| Table: Employment Indicators, 2001-2006 |
| Table: Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2012 (US$) |
| Table: Average Annual Manufacturing Wages, 1995-2001 |
Chapter - BMI Forecast Modelling |
| How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts |
| Defence Industry |
| Sources |
|
Argentina Defence & Security Report |
Was: $1030.00 | |
| Now: $875.00 | ||
| You save: $155.00 (15%) |
A key issue in late 2008 was how Argentina would navigate through the emerging global economic slowdown, and what social and political tensions its chosen path might generate. Since taking office in the December 2007 elections the new government of President Cristina Fernández de Kirchner had suffered a significant loss of political support and had come under mounting fiscal pressure. Her popularity rating had fallen from over 50% when she took office to 23% ten months later in October 2008. In the most probable scenario for the year ahead, economic growth would disappear or turn negative (in fact BMI was in late 2008 forecasting 0.6% growth in 2009 and 0.9% contraction in 2010). In the worst-case scenario some analysts were not excluding the possibility of a further debt default in 2009. This was formally denied by economy minister Carlos Fernández who in November 2008 said that ‘the state has the necessary resources to meet its debt obligations even taking into account the difficult conditions in the international financial markets.’ The minister also claimed that the local economy would keep growing although ‘at rates that are possibly not as high as those seen in recent years’. However, the pricing of Argentine bonds suggested that investors did not exclude the possibility of a new default. A hard landing for the economy would have implications for social and political stability: after all, the last default in 2001-2002 was accompanied by the collapse of an elected government and serious rioting, criminality and social disorder.
That said, BMI also notes that Argentina’s defence and security position has undoubtedly improved over the last decade. At the end of 2007 the country had undergone another successful democratic transition with peaceful general elections. Despite criticism of the Kirchner family’s tight hold on political power, (Cristina succeeded her husband, Nestor Kirchner, in the Presidency), various underlying factors were undoubtedly favourable when compared to the country’s recent past.
First and foremost, Argentina enjoyed a period of strong economic growth since 2003, a vitally important counterpoint to the social and economic collapse of 2001-2002. This growth, and the consequent improvement in living standards, helped reduce social tensions and ease the crime wave that had become a serious threat to internal security. Inequalities of income and wealth, together with crime in the major cities, remain an important issue, but these problems are less overpowering and perhaps more manageable now than they were before. The question now is how far these gains will be eroded by a new period of economic difficulty.
Secondly, despite some ongoing regional rivalries, Argentina remains fundamentally at peace with its immediate neighbours, a situation which has not always been the case. There is some concern over growing arms purchases by Chile, but relations are much improved (the two countries almost went to war in the late 1970s). Argentina continues to seek a counterweight to Brazilian regional influence, largely through friendship with Venezuela, but ultimately co-operation rather than competition has predominated along the Buenos Aires-Brasilia axis. An ongoing dispute with Uruguay over cellulose plants on the border between the two remains a significant irritant. Outside the region, we expect Argentina to continue opposing the British presence in the Falkland/Malvinas Islands with some diplomatic vigour, but a return to military action such as during the 1982 occupation, which had disastrous consequences, is not on the cards. Finally, in the critical relationship with the US, pragmatism is likely to dominate.
Third, a country which has suffered serious threats from both domestic and international terrorism, and where there has often been a damaging backlash leading to authoritarianism and human rights violations, is currently enjoying a relatively trouble-free period. The last known domestic terrorist activities occurred in 2005 with small-scale attacks on retail outlets run by US multinationals (Citibank, McDonalds, Blockbuster). The last major attack attributed to international terrorism, the bombing of a Jewish community centre which killed 85 people, took place in 1994. The authorities continue to believe that Lebanon-based Hizbullah, backed by Iran, was involved, although this has been denied. Clearly terrorist groups may be regrouping ‘under the radar’ and the danger from this quarter can never be discounted: but for the immediate future the threat level looks to be low.
BMI's Latin America Defence & Security Reports are based on an extensive network of multilateral organisations, government departments, defence & security industry associations, chambers of commerce and company reports. Information sources include:
|
Argentina Defence & Security Report |
Was: $1030.00 | |
| Now: $875.00 | ||
| You save: $155.00 (15%) |
Africa |
| Egypt, Libya, South Africa, Sudan and Uganda |
Asia |
| Australia, China, India, Indonesia, Japan, Malaysia, North Korea, Pakistan, Philippines, Singapore, South Korea, Taiwan, Thailand and Vietnam |
Europe |
| Belarus, Bosnia-Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Czech Republic, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Italy, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Poland, Romania, Russia, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Ukraine, United Kingdom and Uzbekistan |
Latin America |
| Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Mexico and Venezuela |
Middle East |
| Iran, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Syria, Turkey, United Arab Emirates and Yemen |
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