Chile Defencesecurity Industry Forecast

The Chile Defence & Security Report

    • Independent 5-year Defence and Security industry forecast for Chile.
    • Original Defence and security market research and the defence & security sector trend analysis for the Chilean Defence and Security  industry.
    • Competitive intelligence, Chilean defence & security company rankings and SWOT analyses on international and domestic defence & security companies in Chile.

The Chile Defence & Security Report has been researched at source in 2008, and features latest-available data covering all headline indicators; 5-year industry forecasts for Chile through end-2012; company rankings and competitive landscapes covering national and multinational arms and components manufacturers, electronic and software producers, and companies providing defence solutions, as well as analysis of latest industry developments, trends and regulatory changes in Chile.

Business Monitor International's Chilean Defence & Security Report provides professionals, consultancies, government departments, regulatory bodies and researchers with independent forecasts and regional competitive intelligence on the Chilean defence & security industry.

Key Benefits of Report

    • Benchmark BMI’s Independent 5-Year Defence & Security Industry Forecast on Chile to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and strategic business planning in the Chilean defence and security market.
    • Target Business Opportunities & Risks in the Chilean Defence & Security Sector through reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes, and major deals, projects and investments in Chile
    • Exploit The Latest Competitive Chilean Defence & Security Intelligence & Company SWOTS on your peers and competitors through company rankings by sales, market share, investments and leading products and services.

 

Coverage

SWOT Analysis

Snapshot evaluation of the major issues affecting security, the defence sector, economy and politics, with issues subdivided into ‘strengths’ ‘weaknesses’ ‘opportunities’ and ‘threats’.

Political Risk Assessment

Drawing on BMI’s twenty-year heritage of Country Risk analysis, this comprehensively evaluates the key risks to domestic politics and
foreign relations, focusing on issues most likely to affect either domestic security or the defence sector.

Security Risk Analysis

BMI’s proprietary Security Ratings provide a reliable – and country comparable – guide to conflict, terrorism and criminal risk, backed up by our analyst’s latest assessment of each component. Furthermore, drawing on our Country Risk expertise, we assess the state’s vulnerability to a serious – or prolonged – terrorist campaign.

Defence Industry Assessment

Overview of industry landscape and key players; public/private structure, size and value of industry sector; assessment of business operating environment and latest regulatory developments; indepth review of recent procurement trends and developments.

BMI 5-Year Forecasts

Historic data series and 5-year forecasts to end-2011 for key industry indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast. Defence expenditure (local currency and US$bn); defence expenditure (% of total budget); defence expenditure (% of GDP); defence expenditure per capita, US$; defence budget (local currency and US$bn); employment in arms production (‘000s); employment in arms production (% of labour force); arms imports (US$mn); arms imports (% of total imports); arms exports (US$mn); arms exports (% of total exports)

BMI 5-year forecast and analysis of all headline macroeconomic indicators, including real GDP growth, inflation, fiscal balance, trade balance, current account and external debt.

Company Profiles

Company profiles, including senior executives and full contact details, business activity, products and services, foreign direct investments and projects.

BMI's Executive Summary

[TOP]

2007 was another quite tough year for President Bachelet on the domestic front. She was struggling with fairly low opinion poll ratings, and opposition to her economic, transport, and education policies. She also faced bickering within the ruling coalition, industrial action in the copper industry and student demonstrations, some of which on occasion turned violent. That said, BMI regards all these things as fairly normal for the kind of robust democracy that Chile has become in the almost two decades since the end of military rule. The underlying defence and security position of the country remained comparatively strong, and in our opinion unaffected by short-term political factors.

The President has also perhaps been given less credit than she deserves for managing the country's sometimes complicated regional relations. With territorial disputes with Peru and Bolivia to the north, some largely resolved but still sensitive issues with Argentina to the east, a regional diplomatic and political challenge from President Hugo Chávez-inspired Venezuelan radicalism, and a dependence on imported energy, there are plenty of pitfalls for any Chilean government to negotiate. Bachelet has however managed to improve relations with both Peru and Bolivia, and has worked to put together a regional 'Arc of the Pacific' to counter Venezuela's influence.

In our view Chile has very few internal or external military threats that cannot be contained. The Chilean procurement programme, however, is raising concerns among the country's neighbours, particularly Bolivia and Peru. Large-scale modernisation plans for the armed forces are currently underway, sourcing advanced weapons systems from abroad. Furthermore, the Ministry of Defence is eager to encourage greater co-operation between the services, which are largely independent. The country's defence industry is small, but should benefit from offset agreements in the near future. Although the defence industry is not as advanced or sizeable as that of Brazil, it is perhaps equivalent to that of Argentina. The number of employees within Chile's defence industry totals approximately one half of those in Brazil, and is roughly equal to those in Argentina. In addition to small arms and ammunition, Chile now manufactures armoured and soft-skinned vehicles, artillery, ballistic rocket systems, anti-aircraft equipment, infantry support weapons, naval and air craft, aerial bombs and rockets, and radar and electronic equipment.

Contents

[TOP]

Chapter 1 - Executive Summary

SWOT Analysis

Chile Political SWOT

Chile Security SWOT

Chile Defence Industry SWOT

Chile Economic SWOT

Chile Business Environment SWOT

Chapter 2 - Political Overview

Domestic Political Outlook

Reshuffle Revival? Electoral Engineering?

Hostage To Fortune

Pinochet's Legacy

External Political Outlook

Bachelet Decides

Energetic Diplomacy

All At Sea?

Chapter 3 - Security Risk Analysis

BMI’s Security Ratings

Risk Ratings

Table: Regional Risk Ratings

Table: State Terrorism Vulnerability Index

Regional Security: Latin America

US-Latin America Relations

Regional Arms Race

Narcotics And Security

Chile Security Risk Rating

Chile Conflict Risk

Chile Terrorism Risk

Chile Physical Safety Risk

Chapter 4 - Security Overview

Internal Security Situation

External Security Situation

Chile-Argentina Relations

Chile-Peru Relations

Chile-Bolivia Relations

Chapter 5 - Military Structure & Defence Industry

Armed Forces

Regional Armed Forces (including conscripted) 2006

International Deployment

Table Foreign Deployments

Weapons Of Mass Destruction

Market Overview

Arms Trade Overview

Imports

Exports

Industry Trends & Developments

Procurement Trends & Developments

Chapter 6 - Industry Forecast Scenario

Table: Chile Defence Sector – Historical Data & Forecasts

Table: Chile Defence Sector – Historical Data & Forecasts

Key Risks To BMI’s Forecast Scenario

Chapter 7 - Macroeconomic Forecast

Fundamentally Sound Moderation

Risks To Outlook

Table: Economic Activity – Historical Data And Forecasts

Chapter 8 - Competitive Landscape

Table: Key Players – Chile Defence Sector

Chapter 9 - Company Profiles

Astilleros y Maestranzas de la Armada

Empresa Nacional de Aeronáutica (ENAER)

Fábrica y Maestranzas del Ejercito

Chapter 10 - BMI Forecast Modelling

How we generate our industry forecasts

Defence Industry

Sources

Chapter 11 - Appendix A: Risk Ratings Methodology

Conflict Risk Methodology

Terrorism Risk Methodology

Physical Safety Risk Methodology

Overall Risk Rating

State Vulnerability Index Methodology

Competitive Landscape for Latin America Defence & Security: Sample of  
Companies Ranked

[TOP]

Rankings and Competitive Landscapes by production and sales; market share and change on previous year; number of employees, ownership structure and year established. Also includes analysis of company expansion, export and investment strategies.

Network of Defence & Security Sources

[TOP]

BMI's Latin America Defence & Security Reports are based on an extensive network of multilateral organisations, government departments, automotive industry associations, chambers of commerce and company reports. Information sources include:

 

Read about our other Defence & Security Reports

Asia Europe Middle East & Africa North & South America
UK
UAE
[top]

 

Business Monitor International

Business Monitor International
A Market Leader in Country Risk, Industry Intelligence and Company Research

Mermaid House, 2 Puddle Dock, Blackfriars, London EC4V 3DS, UK

BUSINESS MONITOR INTERNATIONAL's country risk analysis and forecasts, market research on leading industries, and multinational company research is relied upon by corporates, banks, government departments and multilateral organisations in over 125 countries around the world.

Country Risk Analysis and Forecasts
BMI
has for 25 years specialised in political risk analysis, financial markets analysis, and macroeconomic forecasts on 175 global markets.

Industry Intelligence and Market Research
BMI's industry research covers Automotives; Banking; Chemicals; Defence & Security; Food & Drink; Freight Transport; Information Technology; Infrastructure; Insurance; Mining; Oil & Gas; Petrochemicals; Pharmaceuticals & Healthcare; Power; Telecommunications, and Tourism.

Company Research
BMI maintains a fully-researched 55,000-site database of multinational company subsidiaries located across global markets.