UK Defencesecurity Industry Forecast

The UK Defence & Security Report

    • Independent 5-year Defence and Security industry forecast for UK.
    • Original Defence and security market research and the defence & security sector trend analysis for the British Defence and Security  industry.
    • Competitive intelligence, British defence & security company rankings and SWOT analyses on international and domestic defence & security companies in UK.

The UK Defence & Security Report has been researched at source in 2008, and features latest-available data covering all headline indicators; 5-year industry forecasts for UK through end-2012; company rankings and competitive landscapes covering national and multinational arms and components manufacturers, electronic and software producers, and companies providing defence solutions, as well as analysis of latest industry developments, trends and regulatory changes in UK.

Business Monitor International's British Defence & Security Report provides professionals, consultancies, government departments, regulatory bodies and researchers with independent forecasts and regional competitive intelligence on the British defence & security industry.

Key Benefits of Report

    • Benchmark BMI’s Independent 5-Year Defence & Security Industry Forecast on UK to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and strategic business planning in the British defence and security market.
    • Target Business Opportunities & Risks in the British Defence & Security Sector through reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes, and major deals, projects and investments in UK
    • Exploit The Latest Competitive British Defence & Security Intelligence & Company SWOTS on your peers and competitors through company rankings by sales, market share, investments and leading products and services.

 

Coverage

SWOT Analysis

Snapshot evaluation of the major issues affecting security, the defence sector, economy and politics, with issues subdivided into ‘strengths’ ‘weaknesses’ ‘opportunities’ and ‘threats’.

Political Risk Assessment

Drawing on BMI’s twenty-year heritage of Country Risk analysis, this comprehensively evaluates the key risks to domestic politics and
foreign relations, focusing on issues most likely to affect either domestic security or the defence sector.

Security Risk Analysis

BMI’s proprietary Security Ratings provide a reliable – and country comparable – guide to conflict, terrorism and criminal risk, backed up by our analyst’s latest assessment of each component. Furthermore, drawing on our Country Risk expertise, we assess the state’s vulnerability to a serious – or prolonged – terrorist campaign.

Defence Industry Assessment

Overview of industry landscape and key players; public/private structure, size and value of industry sector; assessment of business operating environment and latest regulatory developments; indepth review of recent procurement trends and developments.

BMI 5-Year Forecasts

Historic data series and 5-year forecasts to end-2011 for key industry indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast. Defence expenditure (local currency and US$bn); defence expenditure (% of total budget); defence expenditure (% of GDP); defence expenditure per capita, US$; defence budget (local currency and US$bn); employment in arms production (‘000s); employment in arms production (% of labour force); arms imports (US$mn); arms imports (% of total imports); arms exports (US$mn); arms exports (% of total exports)

BMI 5-year forecast and analysis of all headline macroeconomic indicators, including real GDP growth, inflation, fiscal balance, trade balance, current account and external debt.

Company Profiles

Company profiles, including senior executives and full contact details, business activity, products and services, foreign direct investments and projects.

Executive Summary

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Executive Summary
The long awaited transition at the top of the British government, with Gordon Brown taking over the Prime Minister’s job from Tony Blair, was due to happen at the end of June. With the Labour Party remaining in power, a significant degree of policy continuity was expected. On the other hand, however, Brown will need to make some important adjustments if his party is to do well in the next general elections, which must be held by 2009 at the latest. Over recent quarters, Labour has taking a hammering in a series of local elections and in opinion polls. The electorate remains further troubled by Blair’s seemingly unquestioning alliance with the Bush Administration in the US. There are currently no major conventional military threats to the UK. However, the country’s fear of an international terrorist attack was realised on July 7 2005 when four bombs were detonated across London’s transport system by an al-Qaeda cell. A similar attack was launched two weeks later but the bombs failed to explode, signalling the organisation’s commitment to continue its campaign on British soil. Security levels were then at a maximum, with an increased presence of armed forces in public areas. The government presently assesses the current threat level as ‘severe’, suggesting that an attack is ‘highly likely’. The defence industry is benefiting from a range of multinational programmes and major procurement projects within the UK. Rationalisation and internationalisation of the industry continue, and the announcement of an agreement over the second tranche of the Eurofighter’s Typhoon is good news for the British defence industry and employment levels generally. The MoD also made a large number of procurements during 2006-2007, reflecting the UK’s continued commitment to the US-led war on terror. Plans to restructure the defence industry to meet the long-term needs of the armed forces could lead to the UK becoming less sensitive to where platforms and systems are built. Involvement in multinational programmes is expected to increase UK arms exports over coming years. These projects should enable UK firms to gain defence contracts for the supply of components, subsystems and structures. Regardless of the strength of the UK defence industry, there are perpetual reports that the British Armed Forces deployed in Iraq and Afghanistan are inadequately equipped – a significant domestic demand exists should the funds be found. The government is on the back foot in terms of both its domestic and foreign policies. It has had to choose a new leader whilst struggling to maintain party unity, and whilst reeling from the criticisms of its position during last year’s Israeli invasion of Lebanon, together with the discovery of an alleged al-Qaeda plot to explode commercial airliners leaving British airports. Its armed forces are stretched and reportedly ill-equipped, and its defence industry, whilst one of the world’s most advanced, is limited by the government’s investment in the industry.

Competitive Landscape for European Defence & Security: Sample of  
Companies Ranked

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Rankings and Competitive Landscapes by production and sales; market share and change on previous year; number of employees, ownership structure and year established. Also includes analysis of company expansion, export and investment strategies.

Network of Defence & Security Sources

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BMI's European Defence & Security Reports are based on an extensive network of multilateral organisations, government departments, automotive industry associations, chambers of commerce and company reports. Information sources include:

 

Read about our other Defence & Security Reports

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Business Monitor International

Business Monitor International
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BUSINESS MONITOR INTERNATIONAL's country risk analysis and forecasts, market research on leading industries, and multinational company research is relied upon by corporates, banks, government departments and multilateral organisations in over 125 countries around the world.

Country Risk Analysis and Forecasts
BMI
has for 25 years specialised in political risk analysis, financial markets analysis, and macroeconomic forecasts on 175 global markets.

Industry Intelligence and Market Research
BMI's industry research covers Automotives; Banking; Chemicals; Defence & Security; Food & Drink; Freight Transport; Information Technology; Infrastructure; Insurance; Mining; Oil & Gas; Petrochemicals; Pharmaceuticals & Healthcare; Power; Telecommunications, and Tourism.

Company Research
BMI maintains a fully-researched 55,000-site database of multinational company subsidiaries located across global markets.