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 The Ukraine Defence & Security Report -
- Independent 5-year Defence and Security industry forecast for Ukraine.
- Original Defence and security market research and the defence & security sector trend analysis for the Ukrainian Defence and Security industry.
- Competitive intelligence, Ukrainian defence & security company rankings and SWOT analyses on international and domestic defence & security companies in Ukraine.
The Ukraine Defence & Security Report has been researched at source in 2008, and features latest-available data covering all headline indicators; 5-year industry forecasts for Ukraine through end-2012; company rankings and competitive landscapes covering national and multinational arms and components manufacturers, electronic and software producers, and companies providing defence solutions, as well as analysis of latest industry developments, trends and regulatory changes in Ukraine.
Business Monitor International's Ukrainian Defence & Security Report provides professionals, consultancies, government departments, regulatory bodies and researchers with independent forecasts and regional competitive intelligence on the Ukrainian defence & security industry. |
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Key Benefits of Report -
- Benchmark BMI’s Independent 5-Year Defence & Security Industry Forecast on Ukraine to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and strategic business planning in the Ukrainian defence and security market.
- Target Business Opportunities & Risks in the Ukrainian Defence & Security Sector through reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes, and major deals, projects and investments in Ukraine
- Exploit The Latest Competitive Ukrainian Defence & Security Intelligence & Company SWOTS on your peers and competitors through company rankings by sales, market share, investments and leading products and services.
CoverageSWOT AnalysisSnapshot evaluation of the major issues affecting security, the defence sector, economy and politics, with issues subdivided into ‘strengths’ ‘weaknesses’ ‘opportunities’ and ‘threats’. Political Risk Assessment Drawing on BMI’s twenty-year heritage of Country Risk analysis, this comprehensively evaluates the key risks to domestic politics and
foreign relations, focusing on issues most likely to affect either domestic security or the defence sector. Security Risk AnalysisBMI’s proprietary Security Ratings provide a reliable – and country comparable – guide to conflict, terrorism and criminal risk, backed up by our analyst’s latest assessment of each component. Furthermore, drawing on our Country Risk expertise, we assess the state’s vulnerability to a serious – or prolonged – terrorist campaign. Defence Industry Assessment Overview of industry landscape and key players; public/private structure, size and value of industry sector; assessment of business operating environment and latest regulatory developments; indepth review of recent procurement trends and developments. BMI 5-Year ForecastsHistoric data series and 5-year forecasts to end-2011 for key industry indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast. Defence expenditure (local currency and US$bn); defence expenditure (% of total budget); defence expenditure (% of GDP); defence expenditure per capita, US$; defence budget (local currency and US$bn); employment in arms production (‘000s); employment in arms production (% of labour force); arms imports (US$mn); arms imports (% of total imports); arms exports (US$mn); arms exports (% of total exports)
BMI 5-year forecast and analysis of all headline macroeconomic indicators, including real GDP growth, inflation, fiscal balance, trade balance, current account and external debt. Company Profiles Company profiles, including senior executives and full contact details, business activity, products and services, foreign direct investments and projects. |
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BMI's Executive Summary
[TOP]
During 2007 Ukraine continued to experience a political crisis that threatened to undermine the country's
defence and security fundamentals. The confrontation between the forces loyal to the 'Orange
Revolution' and President Viktor Yuschenko, on the one hand, and those aligned with the old order
represented by Prime Minister Viktor Yanukovich on the other, was the dominant theme of the year.
Within that broad split, there were other smaller factional rivalries and disputes being played out in a
potentially very volatile picture. Support for Yuschenko remained strongest among Ukrainian speakers in
the west of the country, predisposed to look towards Europe and the development of the market economy
as the natural path for Ukraine's future. Support for Yanukovich remained strongest among Russian
speakers in the east, for whom the alliance with Moscow and a centrally planned economy loomed large.
In May the two sides pitted police and interior ministry troop units against each other, brining the country
to the brink of military conflict. However in subsequent negotiations the factions agreed to new
parliamentary elections held at the end of September: after the vote, having resolved some of their
internal squabbles the Orange parties looked set to muster a small majority for Yulia Tymoshenko to
return to the role of Prime Minister. While there has been an improvement, BMI believes political
instability is still a major concern going forward.
In terms of defence alliances, and reflecting its internal political divisions, Ukraine has oscillated in recent
years between NATO on the one hand, and a close alliance with Russia on the other. By late 2007,
reflecting the shifting internal political situation in the country, Ukraine was once more indicating its
interest in eventual NATO membership. Officials at NATO headquarters in Brussels said they were
waiting for a clear signal from Ukraine before any significant membership moves could be made.
Ukrainian military expenditure patterns have remained fairly constant in recent years. In 2006, the
Ukrainian Ministry of Defence announced that it would allocate UAH8.9bn in 2006 for defence, which
accounted for 1.74% of GDP. Of this figure, 17% of the total defence budget was to be allocated to arms
development, modernisation, procurement and maintenance.
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Contents [TOP]
Chapter 1 - Executive Summary
Security
Defence Industry
Military Expenditure
Arms Trade
Chapter 2 - SWOT Analysis
Ukraine Security SWOT
Ukraine Defence Industry SWOT
Ukraine Political Overview SWOT
Ukraine Economic Industry SWOT
Ukraine Business Environment Industry SWOT
Chapter 3 - Political Overview
General Overview
Governance
Domestic Political Outlook
Chapter 4 - Security Risk Analysis
BMI’s Security Ratings
Table: Ukraine Regional Risk Ratings
Table: State Terrorism Vulnerability Index
Regional Security: Europe
Overview
Internal Terrorism
International Terrorism
Criminal Activities
Ukraine Physical Safety Risk Rating
Ukraine Terrorism Risk Rating
Ukraine Conflict Risk Rating
Chapter 5 - Security Risk Profile
External Security Risks
Geo-Strategic Concerns
Relationship With Russia
United States, Europe And NATO
European Union
CIS
Border Security
Serpents/Zmeiny Islands
Tuzla Island
Chapter 6 - Military Structure and Defence Industry
Armed Forces – Historical Overview
Regional Armed Forces (including conscripted) 2005
Army
Navy
Air Force
International Deployment
Table: Ukraine Foreign Developments
Industry Trends & Developments
Arms Trade Overview
Procurement Trends & Developments
Chapter 7 - Industry Forecast Scenario
Table: Ukraine Defence Sector Historical Data & Forecasts
Key Risks To BMI Forecasts
Chapter 8 - Macroeconomic Forecast
Improved Outlook, In The Short Term
Risks To Outlook
Table: Ukraine: Macroeconomic Data And Forecasts
Chapter 9 - BMI Forecast Modelling
How we generate our industry forecasts
Chapter 10 - Defence Industry
Sources
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Competitive Landscape for European Defence & Security: Sample of
Companies Ranked
[TOP]
Rankings and Competitive Landscapes by production and sales; market share and change on
previous year; number of employees, ownership structure and year established.
Also includes analysis of company expansion, export and investment strategies.
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[TOP]
BMI's European Defence & Security Reports are based on an extensive
network of multilateral organisations, government departments, automotive industry associations, chambers of commerce and company reports. Information
sources include:
* Central Intelligence Agency (CIA)
* EBRD
* Eurostat
* Institute of War and Peace Reporting, London
* International Institute of Strategic Studies (IISS), London
* Ministry of Defence, Bulgaria
* Ministry of Defence, Cyprus
* Ministry of Defence, Czech Republic
* Ministry of Defence, France
* Ministry of Defence, Germany
* Ministry of Defence, Greece
* Ministry of Defence, Hungary
* Ministry of Defence, Poland
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* Ministry of Defence, Romania
* Ministry of Defence, Russia
* Ministry of Defence, UK
* Ministry of Defence, Ukraine
* National Institute of Statistics, Romania
* NATO
* Office of National Statistics, UK
* Russian-European Centre for Economic Policy
* UN Department of Political Affairs, New York
* United Nations (UN), New York
* US Department of Defence, Washington
* US State Department, Washington
* World Bank
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Read about our other Defence & Security Reports
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 Business Monitor International
A Market Leader in Country Risk, Industry Intelligence and Company Research Mermaid House, 2 Puddle Dock, Blackfriars, London EC4V 3DS, UK | BUSINESS MONITOR INTERNATIONAL's country risk analysis and forecasts, market research on leading industries, and multinational company research is relied upon by corporates, banks, government departments and multilateral organisations in over 125 countries around the world. Country Risk Analysis and Forecasts
BMI has for 25 years specialised in political risk analysis, financial markets analysis, and macroeconomic forecasts on 175 global markets. Industry Intelligence and Market Research
BMI's industry research covers Automotives; Banking; Chemicals; Defence & Security; Food & Drink; Freight Transport; Information Technology; Infrastructure; Insurance; Mining; Oil & Gas; Petrochemicals; Pharmaceuticals & Healthcare; Power; Telecommunications, and Tourism. Company Research
BMI maintains a fully-researched 55,000-site database of multinational company subsidiaries located across global markets. |
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