France

In-depth country-focused analysis on France's economic, political and operational risk environment, complemented by detailed sector insight

Our comprehensive assessment of France's operating environment and the outlook for its leading sectors are formed by bringing together a wealth of data on global markets that affect France, as well as the latest industry developments that could impact France's industries. This unique integrated approach has given us an impeccable track-record for predicting important shifts in the markets, ensuring you’re aware of the latest market opportunities and risks in France before your competitors.

France Country Risk

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Core Views: While the rest of the eurozone is showing early signs of recovery, the French economy continues to lag behind the region. While the improving regional economic outlook may provide some...

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France Industry Coverage (20)

Agribusiness

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BMI View: We believe the grain s sector in France will continue to outperform other agribusiness segments in terms of production growth. This will be reinforced by the ongoing reforms of...

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Autos

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BMI View: In 2014, we forecast a 0.9% drop in vehicle sales. This comes from a 1% forecasted decline in the passenger car segment and 0.3% fall in commercial vehicle (CV) sales.We expected pent-...

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Commercial Banking

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Commercial Banking Sector Indicators  Date Total assets Client loans Bond portfolio Other Liabilities and capital Capital Client deposits Other...

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Defence & Security

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BMI expects French defence expenditure to reach USD49.9bn in 2014. On average, we expect France to spend USD50.6bn on defence annually over the next three years. We foresee defence spending...

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Food & Drink

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BMI View:   France's economy is still lagging substantially behind regional peers. The outlook for French households did not improve significantly over Q114, however, with unemployment...

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Freight Transport

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BMI View: We believe the French economy will show signs of a protracted recovery in 2014, but is expected to struggle with long-standing labour issues and uncompetitive exports. These...

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Information Technology

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BMI View:   W e downgraded the outlook for the French IT market in Q4 2014 due to a deterioration in the economic outlook. We were already forecasting slow medium term growth as a result of...

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Infrastructure

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BMI View :  We have further downgraded our construction industry real growth forecast for France in 2014 to -4.2% on the back of weaker than expected industry data for H114 and overall economic...

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Insurance

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BMI View : At first glance, the prospects for France ' s massive insurance sector look very uninspiring. After years of stagnation in premiums, in both of the major segments, it remains unlikely...

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Medical Devices

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Espicom Industry View : Although France continues to rank among the top five largest medical device markets in the world , growth rates are modest by global standards. The continuing drive...

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Metals

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BMI View: France's metals sector is set for an extended period of very modest gro wth through to the end of our forecast period in 2018 , as major producers hold back on investment. Steel...

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Oil & Gas

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BMI View: Low-levels of upstream and investment and a high import burden will persist in France absent a reversal of a government opposition to shale gas exploration. Some senior officials and...

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Petrochemicals

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The French petrochemicals industry's road to full recovery is likely to be slow and fraught with obstacles as the industry faces structural challenges, a lack of competitiveness and tenuous growth in...

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Pharmaceuticals & Healthcare

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BMI View:   Falling government consumption does not bode well for the pharmaceutical industry. We believe that in order to maintain appropriate pharmaceutical spending levels, the government will...

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Power

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BMI View:   On July 30 the French cabinet passed the first substantial energy bill. The long awaited act is the first concrete step to fulfil the electoral promises by President Francois Hollande...

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Real Estate

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Although overall 2013 was a bad year for the commercial real estate sector in France, signs of recovery were evident in H213, and this upswing has carried over into 2014. This can be seen in the...

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Renewables

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BMI View:   While we are maintaining our forecasts for the non-hydropower renewable energy sector in France this quarter, the passing of the long-awaited energy bill at the end of July 2014 marks...

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Telecommunications

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BMI View:   The launch of Free Mobile in Q112 has had a major impact on competitive dynamics in France, adding to pressure on revenues from regulatory measures such as MTR cuts. These...

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Tourism

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  BMI View: France ' s mature tourism market means there is less potential for new market entrants, but the enduring popularity of the country and strong political support of the government towards...

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Water

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Continuing investment into France's water sector is resulting in substantial improvements across all areas as well as providing a flow of opportunities for investment. The well-regulated sector is...

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