The Bulgaria Freight Transport Report

    • Independent 5-year Freight Transport industry forecasts for Bulgaria.
    • Original Freight Transport market research and Freight Transport sector trend analysis for the Bulgaria Freight Transport industry.
    • Competitive intelligence, Bulgarian Freight Transport company rankings and SWOT analyses on international and domestic Freight Transport companies in Bulgaria.


The Bulgaria Freight Transport Report has been researched at source, and features latest-available data covering commercial transport and logistics by road, rail, air and water; 5-year industry forecasts through end-2012; company rankings and competitive landscapes covering leading multinational and national operators; and analysis of latest industry trends, opportunities, projects and regulatory changes.

Business Monitor International’s Bulgarian Freight Transport Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Bulgarian freight transport and logistics industry.

Key Benefits of Reports

    • Benchmark BMI’s Independent 5-year Freight Transport Industry Forecasts on Bulgaria to test other views – a key input for successful budgetary and planning in the strategic Bulgarian Freight Transport market.
    • Target Business Opportunities & Risks in the Bulgarian Freight Transport sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Bulgaria.
    • Exploit the Latest Competitive Bulgarian Freight Transport intelligence & company SWOTS on your competitors and peers through company rankings by sales, market share and ownership structure – includes multi national and national companies in Bulgaria.

Coverage

Executive Summary

Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering Freight Transport and logistics, regulatory changes, major investments and projects, and significant multinational and national company developments.

SWOT Analysis

SWOT (strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, threats) analysis of the state’s business environment, transport sector, politics and economics, which carefully evaluates the short- and medium-term issues facing the industry.

Business Environment Rankings

BMI’s regional comparative analysis of the transport sector, evaluating sector-specific issues alongside the broader Country Risk context; including sector growth, political and economic stability, the competitive environment and trade volume expansion.

Industry Trends And Developments

Analysis of latest projects across the Freight Transport sector – road, rail, air, sea, logistics – including market overview which provides an outline of the key elements driving development.

BMI 5-Year Industry Forecast

Historic data series and 5-year forecasts to end-2012 for all key industry and macroeconomic indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast, including:

  • Port freight total (tonnes mn); Seaborne freight (tonnes mn)
  • Riverborne freight (tonnes mn); Airport freight (tonnes mn)
  • Total traffic by mode (tonnes/km); Freight industry value (US$bn)
  • Contribution to GDP (%); Sector employment (‘000); Population growth (mn); Nominal GDP (US$bn); Real GDP growth (%)
  • Consumer price index (%y-o-y average); Total imports (US$bn) and exports (US$bn); Current account (US$bn); import and export value by goods category (US$bn, % of total), top trade destinations/ sources (US$bn, % of total).

Competitive Landscape & Profiles

Company profiles, including SWOT (strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats) analyses, fully researched senior executives and full contact details and business activity.

BMI's Executive Summary

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The Sector At A Glance

Key Insights On The Freight Transport Sector Of Bulgaria

Bulgaria will take loans and provide guarantees for EUR815mn (US$1.02bn) in 2007, its first year of EU membership, for infrastructure projects financed by the bloc, the government said in October 2006. Five of the eight projects are part of a EUR7.6bn (US$10bn) investment plan aimed at fixing Bulgaria's dilapidated roads, railways, sewage and waste disposal sites and other infrastructure until 2015. One of the biggest items is a road upgrade for which Bulgaria will receive EUR380mn. Other deals include repairs to roads and sewage systems in small towns across the country. In fact, taking into account the gradual improvement of the highway system, in BMI’s newly released Bulgaria Freight Transport 2007 report, we conclude that freight carried by road will grow by an annual average of 7.0% in the 2007-2011 period.

A number of factors underpin this projection. We believe that tonne/kms will now start to increase, driven by improvements in both GDP and trade volumes, as the rate of decline of average length of haul slows significantly or stops. Bulgaria’s EU accession on January 1 2007, will be clearly supportive, helping link the country closer to continental road networks. Public-private partnership (PPP) models will help unlock additional investment funds for motorway construction. Plans are well advanced for a second US$303mn bridge over the Danube River, linking the country’s port of Vidin with Romania's Calafat by mid-2010. And the outlook for Bulgarian economic growth is encouraging, with GDP set to expand by an annual average of 5.5% over the next five years.

Looking across all freight transport modes, we now project airfreight to grow at the strongest pace (8.2% per annum), followed by inland waterways freight traffic (8.1% pa), oil and gas pipelines (7.2%), road haulage (7.0%), maritime freight (6.4%) and rail (6.2%). Taken together all freight, measured in million tonne-km (mntkm) will grow by an annual average of 6.5% per annum in 2007-2011, ahead of GDP.

The total value of transport and communications GDP will rise to US$6.82bn in nominal terms by 2011, representing 14.4% of Bulgaria’s GDP. The transport and communications sector employed 198,400 people, or 7.4% of the labour force, in 2006. Against the backdrop of a falling population, we see that figure reducing holding roughly steady to 2011.

Contents

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Chapter 1 - Executive Summary

Chapter 2 - SWOT Analysis

Bulgaria’s Freight Transport Industry SWOT

Chapter 3 - Business Environment Overview

Europe Business Environment Ranking

Business Environment Ranking

Economics – Long-term Risk

Politics – Long-term Risk

Freight Transport Growth

Transport Infrastructure Growth

Regulatory Environment

Competitive Environment

Transport Intensity Index

Political Risk Summary

Economic Risk Summary

Business Environment Risk Summary

Legal Code/Corruption

Red Tape

Labour Force

Chapter 4 - Industry Trends And Developments

Rail

Air

Sea

Pipelines

Chapter 5 - Industry Forecast Scenario

Macroeconomic Outlook

Table: GDP, Population & Output

Transport Outlook

Table: Bulgaria Transport & Communications Sector Data & Forecasts

Freight carried (domestic and international):

Chapter 6 - Country Snapshot: Bulgaria Demographic Data

Section 1: Population:

Table: Demographic Indicators (2005)

Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown

Section 2: Education & Healthcare

Table: Education

Table: Healthcare: Vital Statistics

Table: Healthcare: Expenditure

Section 3: Labour Market And Spending Power

Table: Employment Indicators

Table: Consumption and Stratification

Table: Wages per year

Foreign Trade Regime

Overview

Trade Agreements

Tariffs

Table: Bulgarian Imports By Category (US$mn)

Table: Bulgarian Exports By Category (US$mn)

Table: Top Export Destinations

Table: Export Trade, % y-o-y

Table: Top Import Sources

Table: Import Trade, % y-o-y

Chapter 7 - Market Overview38

Competitive Landscape: Multimodal

Company Profiles

Road

Infrastructure

Competitive Landscape: Road

Rail

Infrastructure

Competitive Landscape: Rail

Company Profiles

Air

Infrastructure

Competitive Landscape: Aviation

Water

Infrastructure

Competitive Landscape: Maritime

Company Profiles

Pipelines

Competitive Landscape: Pipelines

Chapter 8 - BMI Forecast Modelling

How we generate our industry forecasts

Transport Industry

Sources

Chapter 9 - Appendix: Regional Demographic Data

Wages (ave labour force per annum), US$ PPP

Population

Household Spending Per Capita, US$

Private Consumption Per Capita, US$ PPP

Market Size, GDP, US$bn

Competitive Landscape for Europe Freight Transport Reports: Sample of Companies Ranked

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Analysis of latest projects across the freight transport sector – road, rail, air, sea, logistics – including market overview which provides an outline of the key elements driving development. SWOT analysis of the state’s business environment, transport sector, politics and economics, which carefully evaluates the short- and medium-term issues facing the industry.

Network of European Freight Sources

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BMI's European Freight Transport Reports are based on an extensive network of multilateral organisations, government departments, freight transport industry associations, chambers of commerce and company reports. Information sources include:

 

Read about our other Freight Transport Reports

Asia Europe Middle East & Africa Latin America
UK
UAE
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