BMI's Executive Summary

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The Sector At A Glance

Key Insights On The Freight Transport Sector Of Qatar

Qatar is becoming the world’s largest liquid natural gas (LNG) exporter – and has decided that to deliver those exports it needs the world’s largest LNG tanker fleet. The country was in the final stages of its massive LNG-ship acquisition programme, it was reported in August. The Qatar Ship Acquisition Team (QSAT) was understood to have given an indication on the vessels its plans to contract for the huge Qatargas-4 project, which Qatar Petroleum is developing in partnership with energy major Shell. Sources said six to eight vessels would be required. In our new Qatar Freight Transport Report, Business Monitor International (BMI) concludes that maritime cargo volume, measured in million tonnes, will grow on average by 9% per annum over the next five years.

Various factors support this prediction. The single most important is the size of new LNG production expected to come onstream over the next few years, including the Qatargas-4 and RasGas-3 projects. The emirate’s economic strong economic growth rate, expected to average 7.4% over the 2006-2010 forecast period, and the general growth of trade will also be contributor factors.

The overall outlook for the freight business is encouraging. According to our projections, air cargo will grow at 10.7% per annum on average, based on good performances by both Qatar Airways and Gulf Air. We estimate that road haulage will grow by 7.7%, just a little ahead of the growth of the economy, while pipeline throughput should be up by 7.6% on average. Across all modes, freight growth will average 8.6% per annum. On the edge of a new gas-led export boom, and with fairly open markets, Qatar leads the Middle East and Africa (MEA) freight transport business environment ranking with a score of 46, compared to a theoretical maximum of 70 and a regional average of 37.8.

The total value of transport and communications GDP will rise to US$2.5bn in nominal terms by 2010, representing 3.8% of Qatar’s GDP. The transport and communications sector employed 15,445 people, or 3.5% of the labour force, last year. We see the figures rising to 17,900 by 2010.

Contents

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Chapter 1 - Executive Summary

Chapter 2 - SWOT Analysis

Dolphin Natural Gas Pipeline SWOT

Qatar Economy SWOT

Qatar Politics SWOT

Chapter 3 - Business Environment Overview

Regional Overview

Business Environment Ranking

Economics – Long-Term Risk

Politics – Long-Term Risk

Freight Transport Growth

Transport Infrastructure Growth

Regulatory Environment

Competitive Environment

Transport Intensity Index

Political Risk Summary

Economic Risk Summary

Business Environment Risk Summary

Legal Code/Corruption

Labour Force

Chapter 4 - Industry Trends And Developments

Road

Air

Sea

Pipelines

Chapter 5 - Industry Forecast Scenario

Macroeconomic Outlook

Table: Economic Activity

Chapter 6 - Country Snapshot: Qatar Demographic Data

Section 1: Population:

Table: Demographic Indicators (2005)

Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown

Section 2: Education & Healthcare

Table: Education

Table: Healthcare: Vital Statistics

Table: Healthcare: Expenditure

Section 3: Labour Market And Spending Power

Table: Employment Indicators

Table: Consumption And Stratification

Table: Wages Per Year

Transport Outlook

Table: Freight Carried (domestic and international):

Table: Qatar Macro Indicators

Chapter 7 - Trade Environment

Chapter 8 - Market Overview

Multimodal

Infrastructure

Road

Air

Company Profiles

Water

Company Profiles

Pipelines

Chapter 9 - BMI Forecast Modelling

How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts

Transport Industry

Sources

Chapter 10 - Appendix: Regional Demographic Data

Table: The Long View: Data Over The Economic Cycle (2000-2007)

Table: Population

Table: Household Spending Per Capita, US$

Table: Private Consumption Per Capita, US$ PPP

Table: Market Size, GDP, US$bn

Competitive Landscape for Middle East & Africa Freight Transport Reports: Sample of Companies Ranked

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Analysis of latest projects across the freight transport sector – road, rail, air, sea, logistics – including market overview which provides an outline of the key elements driving development. SWOT analysis of the state’s business environment, transport sector, politics and economics, which carefully evaluates the short- and medium-term issues facing the industry.

Network of Middle Eastern & African Freight Transport Sources

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BMI's Middle Eastern & African Freight Transport Reports are based on an extensive network of multilateral organisations, government departments, freight transport industry associations, chambers of commerce and company reports. Information sources include: