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Russia Infrastructure Report |
Was: $1030.00 | |
| Now: $875.00 | ||
| You save: $155.00 (15%) |
The Russia Infrastructure Report
- Independent 5 year Infrastructure industry forecasts for Russia.
- Original Infrastructure market research and Infrastructure sector trend analysis for Russia.
- Competitive intelligence, Russian Infrastructure company rankings and SWOT analyses on international and domestic Infrastructure companies in Russia.
The Russia Infrastrucure Report has been researched at source, and features latest-available data covering public procurement and spending on all major infrastructure and construction projects, including transportation and logistics by land, sea and air; power plants and utilities, and commercial construction and property development; 5-year industry forecasts through end-; company rankings and competitive landscapes covering leading multinational and national contractors; and analysis of latest industry trends, opportunities, projects and regulatory changes.
Business Monitor International’s Russian Infrastructure Reports provide industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on Russian infrastructure and construction.
Key Benefits of Reports
- Benchmark BMI’s Independent 5-year Infrastructure Industry Forecasts to test other views – a key input for successful budgetary and planning in the Russian strategic Infrastructure market.
- Target Business Opportunities & Risks in the Russian Infrastructure Sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Russia.
- Exploit the Latest Competitive Infrastructure Intelligence & company SWOTS on your competitors and peers through company rankings by sales, market share and ownership structure – includes multi-national and national companies
Coverage
Executive Summary
Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering Infrastructure Report and construction, regulatory changes, major investments and projects, and significant multinational and national company developments.
Industry Trends And Developments
Analysis of latest projects across the Infrastructure Report sector – transport, utilities, commercial construction – including market overview which provides an outline of the key elements driving developments.
Industry Environment Ranking
BMI’s regional comparative analysis of the Infrastructure Report sector, evaluating sector-specific issues within the broader Country Risk context, including each state’s overall economic and political stability.
SWOT Analysis
SWOT (strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, threats) of the state’s business environment, Infrastructure Report sector, politics and economics, which carefully evaluates the short- and medium-term issues facing the industry.
BMI 5-Year Industry & Macro Forecast
Historic data series and 5-year forecasts to end- for all key industry and economic indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key risks to the main forecast. Indicators include:
Industry value (US$bn); contribution to GDP (%); Infrastructure Report, procurement and spending on major projects (US$bn); cement production (mn tonnes); housing completions (‘000 units), sector employment (‘000); population growth (mn); nominal GDP (US$bn); real GDP growth (%); industrial production index (% y-o-y average); consumer price index (%y-o-y average); current account (US$bn), external debt (US$bn).
Competitive Landscape & Company Profiles
Comparative company analyses and rankings by sales, % market share, employees, registration date and ownership structure. Company profiles include fully researched senior executives and contact details, business activity and leading products and services.
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Russia Infrastructure Report |
Was: $1030.00 | |
| Now: $875.00 | ||
| You save: $155.00 (15%) |
Chapter - Executive Summary |
| Market Overview |
| Russia |
| Global Overview |
| Weeding Out Possible White Elephants |
| Mega-Urban Regions: Opportunities And Challenges For Infrastructure |
| Table: The World's 30 Largest Urban Agglomerations |
| The Economic Implications Of Urbanisation |
| Table: The World's Richest Cities In 2020 By GDP |
| Table: The World's Fastest-Growing Urban Areas |
Chapter - SWOT Analysis |
| Russia Infrastructure Industry SWOT |
| Russia Political SWOT |
| Russia Economic SWOT |
| Russia Business Environment SWOT |
Chapter - Major Infrastructure Developments And Key Projects |
| Transport Infrastructure Overview |
| New And Ongoing Projects |
| Airports |
| Ports |
| Roads And Bridges |
| Railways |
| Table: Russia – Major Infrastructure Projects - Transport Infrastructure |
| Energy And Utilities Infrastructure Overview |
| New And Ongoing Projects |
| Power Plants And Transmission Grids |
| Pipelines |
| Water |
| Table: Russia – Major Infrastructure Projects - Utilities Infrastructure |
| Construction Overview |
| New And Ongoing Projects |
| Residential Construction |
| Commercial Construction |
| Industrial Construction |
| Tourism Construction |
| Table: Russia – Major Infrastructure Projects - Construction Infrastructure |
| Special Events |
| Special Events |
| Sochi 2014 Winter Olympic |
| Table: Planned Olympic Sports Venues |
| Table: Russia--Infrastructure Industry Forecast |
Chapter - Business Environment |
| Regional Overview – Europe |
Chapter - Business Environment Rating |
| Limits Of Potential Returns |
| Risk To Realisation Of Potential Returns |
| Project Finance Ratings |
| Table: Design And Construction Rating |
| Table: Commissioning And Operating Rating |
| Table: Overall Project Finance Rating |
| Foreign Direct Investment |
| Labour Force |
| Legal Framework |
| Tax Regime |
| Corruption |
Chapter - Macroeconomic Outlook |
| Table: Russia - Economic Activity |
Chapter - Political Outlook |
| Table: Thailand Political Overview |
Chapter - Company Monitor |
| Mirax Group |
| Russian Railways (RDZ) |
Chapter - Country Snapshot: Russia Demographic Data |
| Section 1: Population |
| Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030 |
| Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown, 2005-2030 |
| Section 2: Education And Healthcare |
| Table: Education, 2002-2005 |
| Table: Vital Statistics, 2005-2030 |
| Section 3: Labour Market And Spending Power |
| Table: Employment Indicators, 2001-2006 |
| Table: Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2012 (US$) |
| Table: Average Annual Wages, 2000-2006 |
| How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts |
| Construction Industry |
| Sources |
Chapter - Business Environment Ratings |
| Introduction |
| Ratings Overview |
| Table: Infrastructure Business Environment Indicators |
| Project Finance Ratings Methodology |
| Indicator |
| Definition |
| Rationale |
| Operating Risks – Commercial Construction |
| Operating Risks – Energy and Utilities |
| Operating Risks –Transport |
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Russia Infrastructure Report |
Was: $1030.00 | |
| Now: $875.00 | ||
| You save: $155.00 (15%) |
Russia’s construction industry, and therefore by extension its infrastructure sector, will feel the full impact of the global economic downturn in 2009. In BMI’s Q209 Russia Infrastructure Report we are forecasting a contraction in the construction industry value of 8.36%, reaching a value of US$73.96bn.
Following the release of new data for the year 2008 from the Russian statistical agency Goskomstat, we have revised our forecasts for Russia's construction industry. We now have historic data to 2008, with our model forecasting data from 2009 to 2013.
The new data released by the agency revealed a real growth rate of 13.2% year-on-year (y-o-y) in Russia's construction industry in 2008, reaching a nominal value of US$94bn. BMIhad forecasted a growth rate of 10.3%, showing us to have been slightly more bearish about the potential of the industry.
Although the real growth rate in the construction industry increased y-o-y in 2008, we believe the industry will contract in 2009. This can be attributed in part to BMIforecasts for a contraction in the value of gross fixed capital formation in Russia, with the real growth rate forecast to be -5% in 2009.
In reality, this reduction in gross fixed capital formation, and in turn in the value of the construction industry, has been illustrated by reduced activity of the private sector during Q408 and the first quarter of 2009. In February 2009, the Moscow Times reported that US$13bn worth of infrastructure projects had been delayed or cancelled since September 2008 as a result of private companies' inability to access financing, a situation that we believe will continue for at least the first half of 2009. The declining activity in the industry can be illustrated by the slump in the country's residential and commercial construction sectors, which have seen a number of projects cancelled or delayed, e.g. the 600m high Russia Tower in Moscow. Indeed, the decline in the country's cement sector and the cancelling of expansion plans in the industry illustrates the already visible decline in industry activity.
This is further compounded by forecasts for Russia's economy, which BMIis expecting to contract by 4% in 2009, down from growth of 5.6% y-o-y in 2008. As a result of these factors, we believe that the construction industry value will also stagnate, with little increase in the nominal value. Calculating in a high level of inflation, we are consequently forecasting a negative growth rate of 8.36% y-o-y for 2009.
There are certain upside risks to our forecasts, however, and these comes from the level of public sector spending, and its ability to compensate for the deterioration of private sector involvement. In October 2008 Prime Minister Vladimir Putin reiterated the government's commitment to a RUB13.5trn (US$389bn) investment in transport infrastructure to 2015, despite the deteriorating global macroeconomic outlook and volatility in the Russian economy. The government is prepared to shoulder at least half of the cost, and therefore we believe that activity in Russia's construction industry may be sustained by the government's efforts. Indeed, as the impact of this spending trickles down, combined with an easing macroeconomic climate, we believe that from 2010 onwards, positive growth will return to Russia's construction industry, stabilising at between 4.6% y-o-y and 5.6% from 2011 until the end of our forecast period.
BMI’s Q209 Russia Infrastructure Report debuts our new Project Finance Ratings. The ratings provide a globally-comparative, numerically-based assessment of the risks facing major infrastructure projects which will in turn affect the source, availability and cost of finance. Of 20 countries assessed in Europe, Russia places 17th with a score of 49.1. The low score is a result of high inflation, corruption and a poor legal framework, which raises risks to project finance operations for both sponsors and creditors.
|
Russia Infrastructure Report |
Was: $1030.00 | |
| Now: $875.00 | ||
| You save: $155.00 (15%) |
Africa |
| Algeria, Angola, Cameroon, Cote d`Ivoire, Egypt, Libya, Morocco, Nigeria, South Africa and Uganda |
Asia |
| Australia, China, Hong Kong, India, Indonesia, Japan, Malaysia, Pakistan, Philippines, Singapore, South Korea, Taiwan, Thailand and Vietnam |
Europe |
| Bosnia-Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Czech Republic, Estonia, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Kazakhstan, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Ukraine and United Kingdom |
Latin America |
| Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Mexico, Peru and Venezuela |
Middle East |
| Bahrain, Iran, Israel, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Turkey, United Arab Emirates and Yemen |
North America |
| United States |
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