Mexico

In-depth country-focused analysis on Mexico's economic, political and operational risk environment, complemented by detailed sector insight

Our comprehensive assessment of Mexico's operating environment and the outlook for its leading sectors are formed by bringing together a wealth of data on global markets that affect Mexico, as well as the latest industry developments that could impact Mexico's industries. This unique integrated approach has given us an impeccable track-record for predicting important shifts in the markets, ensuring you’re aware of the latest market opportunities and risks in Mexico before your competitors.

Mexico Country Risk

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Core Views We remain optimistic toward Mexico's long-term growth outlook on the back of a booming manufacturing sector, an increasingly strong private consumer and favourable demographics. The...

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Mexico Industry Coverage (24)

Agribusiness

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BMI View: Overall, the long-term outlook for the Mexican agriculture sector looks less optimistic than previous years. Consumer demand growth is largely slowing, particularly in key areas like...

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Autos

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Light vehicle sales in Mexico increased 7.7% y-o-y over the year, to 1,063,363 units. We had forecast passenger car sales to increase 6.6% and LCV sales to increase 8.0% in 2013. Despite a slight...

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Commercial Banking

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Commercial Banking Sector Indicators Date Total assets Client loans Bond portfolio Other Liabilities and capital Capital Client deposits Other...

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Consumer Electronics

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BMI View: BMI projects Mexican consumer electronics spending was US$13.8bn in 2013. Despite a mixed economic outlook, consumers are expected to continue to spend on flat-panel TV sets, tablet...

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Defence & Security

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We maintain our stance that security policy is likely to be the Achilles heel of President Enrique Peña Nieto's administration. Although the government announced that in February 2013, Mexico...

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Food & Drink

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BMI View: While we maintain a strong conviction that economic activity in Mexico will pick up significantly this year, the recovery could be more muted than we initially anticipated. Although...

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Freight Transport

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We have revised up our real GDP growth forecasts for Mexico from 3.5% to 3.9% in 2014. The latest release of GDP data show that manufacturing in Mexico grew 2.9% year-on-year during the third quarter...

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Information Technology

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BMI View: Mexico stands out as the second largest IT market in Latin America behind Brazil. Its proximity to the US is a big advantage, ensuring consumers and businesses gain access to the...

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Infrastructure

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BMI View: We are maintaining our expectation that 2014 should see a recovery in the Mexican construction industry, following a housing market crash and public sector inertia in 2013 , which...

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Insurance

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BMI View : In terms of important metrics such as overall penetration (premiums as a percentage of GDP), non-life penetration and life density (premiums per capita), Mexico's insurance sector has...

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Medical Devices

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Espicom Industry View: The Mexic an medical device market ranks second in Latin America. Espicom forecasts a high 2013-2018 CAGR of 15.0% in US dollar terms, taking the market to US$8.0bn....

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Metals

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BMI forecasts that Mexico's strong domestic macroeconomic fundamentals over our forecast period through 2017 will lead to solid growth in both steel production and consumption. We see steel-...

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Mining

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BMI View: We expect Mexico's mining sector to experience steady growth in the coming years as mining companies are attracted to large precious and base metals resources. We forecast the value of...

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Oil & Gas

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BMI View: We see the recently passed Mexican energy sector reform as the start of a fundamental paradigm shift for the country's hydrocarbon s sector. While it does not challenge the national...

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Petrochemicals

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In our view, growth in the Mexican petrochemicals sector could be stimulated by liberalisation of the upstream energy sector. President Enrique Pena Nieto's reforms would allow more private sector...

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Pharmaceuticals & Healthcare

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BMI View: We identified Mexico as 'the most promising emerging pharmaceutical market' in September 2013, Shortly after this, the approval of the energy reform bill reinforced our view that, over...

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Power

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BMI View: While we emphasise that much will depend on secondary legislation, the passage of Mexico's long-awaited Energy Bill could potentially unlock greater private investment in the domestic...

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Real Estate

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BMI View: We are forecasting Mexico's commercial real estate industry to show a consistent, yet unremarkabl e performance over 2013 , with rental rates across all sub-sectors expected to...

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Renewables

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BMI View: We have been following President Enrique Peña Nieto's reform drive closely over the last six months and we maintain the view that breaking state-owned Comisión Federal...

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Retail

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BMI View: Mexico's retail sector is booming, with healthy economic growth ensuring that 80% of households will be in the middle-income wage bracket of US$10,000+ by 2018. Six out of 12 headline...

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Shipping

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We remain optimistic toward Mexico's long-term growth outlook on the back of a booming manufacturing sector, an increasingly strong private consumer and favourable demographics. As a result we retain...

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Telecommunications

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BMI View : Mexico's telecoms market is underdeveloped in relation to many of its regional peers. Low penetration rates, high tariffs and a lack of competition afflict the market as Am...

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Tourism

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BMI believes Mexico's tourism industry has enormous long-term potential, largely owing to its proximity to the US. However, there are concerns with regard to rising levels of insecurity and the...

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Water

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BMI View: In Mexico, there are a number of issues inhibiting the water sector, particularly pollution, primarily due to a lack of sewage networks and water treatment facilities. There are...

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