2014 Elections In Indonesia And India: The Macro View


BMI View: Two of Asia's emerging market heavyweights - Indonesia and India - are gearing up for general elections in 2014. While it is too early to pick the eventual winners, the respective outcomes will have a huge bearing on the future trajectory of economic growth in both countries. In this article, we flesh out our initial thoughts on possible election scenarios, and what they might mean for both economies over the long term.

Two of Asia's emerging market heavyweights - Indonesia and India - are gearing up for general elections in 2014. In Indonesia, legislative elections will be held in April, with presidential polls following shortly thereafter in July. India has yet to announce specific dates, but with the current 15th Lok Sabha (parliament) completing its constitutional term on May 31, it appears likely that the country will head to the ballot box in Q114 or early Q214. While it is too early to pick the eventual winners, the respective outcomes will have a huge bearing on the future trajectory of economic growth in both countries. In this article, we flesh out our initial thoughts on possible election scenarios, and what they might mean for India and Indonesia's macroeconomic fortunes.

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This article is tagged to:
Sector: Country Risk
Geography: Asia, Indonesia, India