Country Risk Articles

Desperate Times, Desperate Measures

The 200bps rate hike and new rules for foreign exchange will have a negative impact on real GDP growth in Ghana. We are unconvinced that the moves will arrest the decline of the cedi, but we do...

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Regional Equity Strategy

A number of African equity markets are poised for further losses as US tapering causes money to be pulled out - the Johannesburg All-Share Index looks weak, especially technically. We are removing...

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Which Currencies Are Most Vulnerable?

One of our clients, a pan-African investment bank, recently asked us which African currencies are most vulnerable at the moment. We judged the vulnerability using three-month forecasts against the US...

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West Africa: 2014 Growth Snapshot

BMI forecasts that West Africa will outperform the rest of Sub-Saharan Africa in terms of real GDP growth in 2014. This will be driven by buoyant economic activity in heavyweights Côte d'Ivoire...

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