Country Risk Articles

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Growth Model Under Pressure

We continue to forecast a slowdown in Russian economic growth, which should arrive at 2.0% in 2013, down from 3.4% in 2012, with a slight acceleration to 2.5% expected in 2014.As households come...

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European Energy Grip Loosening

Russia's economic and political influence in Europe is in decline as its grip on Europe's energy markets diminishes. While the country will remain a major supplier of European energy for the...

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Regional FX & Fixed Income Strategy

Our Spain-over-Italy 5-year credit default swap (CDS) view, initiated on July 31, was underpinned by our belief that political risk in Italy was inadequately priced into fixed income markets. However...

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The Global Impact Of US Syria Strike

US airstrikes against Syria would have consequences beyond the Middle East. Despite their opposition, Russia and China may see some unexpected benefits, while North Korea will be nervous.

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