Country Risk Articles

Pages

Worst Not Over For Equities

Despite falling 7.5% since December 16, we see further downside to Turkish equities, as deteriorating macro fundamentals and heightened political uncertainty are likely to weigh heavily on stocks in...

Read article ›
Major Implications Of AKP Rift

The power struggle within Turkey's ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) has major short- and long-term implications for political stability, macroeconomic trajectory and investor sentiment....

Read article ›
Emerging Europe 2013 Retrospective

In December last year we outlined nine trends that we expected to play out across Emerging Europe in 2013 (see 'Key Themes For 2013: Emerging Europe', December 13 2012), and although not quite year-...

Read article ›
Regional FX & Fixed Income Strategy

Our Spain-over-Italy 5-year credit default swap (CDS) view, initiated on July 31, was underpinned by our belief that political risk in Italy was inadequately priced into fixed income markets. However...

Read article ›
The Global Impact Of US Syria Strike

US airstrikes against Syria would have consequences beyond the Middle East. Despite their opposition, Russia and China may see some unexpected benefits, while North Korea will be nervous.

Read article ›
Central Bank Gamble Won't Pay Off

Although the Central Bank of Turkey has indicated its rate hiking cycle has come to an end, it has not done enough to restore confidence in its monetary policy and stabilise the lira. With under...

Read article ›
Global Commodities Strategy

The Q313 rally in industrial metal prices has limited room to run and we think the time to re-enter a bearish industrial metals view in our strategy table is approaching. This is underpinned by our...

Read article ›

Pages

Filter results

By Geography

By Sector

By Information Type