Ghana Country Risk Key Analysis

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Closing Bullish Cedi View

We have decided to remove a bullish view on the Ghanaian cedi from our Asset Class Strategy table, with a loss of 3.65% on a total return basis. The view (initiated on August 5) was based on the...

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Regional Eurobond Yields To Rise

Although Sub-Saharan African yields have broadly been on the decline during the first half of 2014, we remain of the view that the asset class offers little value. We expect yields across the board...

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African Lions: Is Ghana A Bellwether?

Ghana's current economic malaise could be replicated in other 'African Lions' over the coming months and years. We will be watching out for a number of red flags for growth: surging imports,...

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Will Ghana Seek External Assistance?

Macroeconomic stability is under threat in Ghana, due to the twin deficits on the fiscal account and current account. The government will seek some form of external assistance, the most likely option...

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Desperate Times, Desperate Measures

The 200bps rate hike and new rules for foreign exchange will have a negative impact on real GDP growth in Ghana. We are unconvinced that the moves will arrest the decline of the cedi, but we do...

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