Africa Country Risk Key Analysis

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Referendum Demand Will Raise Tensions

Opposition leader Raila Odinga's escalating protest movement will increase political and ethnic tensions in Kenya. Calls for a referendum are controversial, but no poll is likely to take place.

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Small Fiscal Deficit Belies Profligacy

Increased spending, much of which relates to upcoming elections, is as much to blame for Nigeria's recent fiscal deterioration as lower-than-planned oil production. The deficit will remain small at...

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Kenyan SMEs Set To Outperform

Small and medium enterprises (SMEs) face challenges across Sub-Saharan Africa, but those in Kenya are better placed than most to grow and succeed. An improving business environment, a technologically...

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Regional Eurobond Yields To Rise

Although Sub-Saharan African yields have broadly been on the decline during the first half of 2014, we remain of the view that the asset class offers little value. We expect yields across the board...

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Banking Sector: Slow Turnaround Ahead

The modest improvements in Egypt's economic and political situation will provide relief to the country's banking sector. The injection of USD16bn in Gulf aid over the past year has served to...

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African Lions: Is Ghana A Bellwether?

Ghana's current economic malaise could be replicated in other 'African Lions' over the coming months and years. We will be watching out for a number of red flags for growth: surging imports,...

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