Nigeria Country Risk Views

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Which Currencies Are Most Vulnerable?

One of our clients, a pan-African investment bank, recently asked us which African currencies are most vulnerable at the moment. We judged the vulnerability using three-month forecasts against the US...

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West Africa: 2014 Growth Snapshot

BMI forecasts that West Africa will outperform the rest of Sub-Saharan Africa in terms of real GDP growth in 2014. This will be driven by buoyant economic activity in heavyweights Côte d'Ivoire...

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Budget: Initial Thoughts

Finance Minister Ngozi Ikonjo-Iweala presented the 2014 federal budget on December 19 2013. Below are our initial thoughts on the key assumptions underpinning the budget.

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Long-Term Risks To The Naira

The Nigerian naira has recovered from its 2013 lows of around NGN164.00/US$ in September to trade at NGN158.53/US$ on the interbank market at the time of writing on December 4. Although this recovery...

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The Global Impact Of US Syria Strike

US airstrikes against Syria would have consequences beyond the Middle East. Despite their opposition, Russia and China may see some unexpected benefits, while North Korea will be nervous.

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