Africa Country Risk Key Analysis

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West Africa: 2014 Growth Snapshot

BMI forecasts that West Africa will outperform the rest of Sub-Saharan Africa in terms of real GDP growth in 2014. This will be driven by buoyant economic activity in heavyweights Côte d'Ivoire...

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Budget: Initial Thoughts

Finance Minister Ngozi Ikonjo-Iweala presented the 2014 federal budget on December 19 2013. Below are our initial thoughts on the key assumptions underpinning the budget.

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Key Themes Of 2014

Growth in the Middle East and North Africa region will remain subject to downside political risks over 2014. We expect the major themes over the coming year to include; a slight convergence in growth...

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Long-Term Risks To The Naira

The Nigerian naira has recovered from its 2013 lows of around NGN164.00/US$ in September to trade at NGN158.53/US$ on the interbank market at the time of writing on December 4. Although this recovery...

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Defeat Of The M23: First Thoughts

The crushing defeat inflicted by UN-backed Congolese troops on the M23 rebels offers hope that Kinshasa may succeed in imposing government control over the chaotic province of North Kivu. It remains...

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Headwinds Growing For Economy

We are below-consensus, forecasting that South Africa's economy will growth by just 2.5% in 2014 (versus Bloomberg consensus of 3.0%). Our view is predicated on several concerning factors including...

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