Russia Country Risk Views

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Crisis: Likely To Stop With Crimea

Russia's decision to assume de facto control of Crimea over the weekend has substantially raised political risks in Ukraine. While our core view is that Russia will consolidate control in Crimea and...

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Will Russia Invade?

We still believe direct military aggression by Russia in Ukraine is unlikely at this stage. However, we cannot completely rule it out, particularly if the violence between Ukrainian and ethnic...

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Yanukovych's Support Base Crumbling

Ukraine's parliament passed new concessions to anti-government protestors on January 29, providing amnesty to protestors detained in the recent period of civil unrest. While the laws ostensibly...

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Regional Equity Strategy

We are up 1.5% on our bullish Spanish small caps view since it was entered in our asset class strategy on January 9 (played through the IBEXS index), and see potential for further gains over the next...

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Yanukovych Risks Losing Support Base

The political upheaval in Ukraine has intensified, with protests in Kiev showing few signs of losing momentum over the near term. Police attempts to disperse the protests with violence have been...

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Emerging Europe 2013 Retrospective

In December last year we outlined nine trends that we expected to play out across Emerging Europe in 2013 (see 'Key Themes For 2013: Emerging Europe', December 13 2012), and although not quite year-...

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EU Integration Dead In The Water

The collapse of historic Association Agreement talks between the EU and Ukraine points towards a path of long-term economic and political stagnation for Ukraine. While closer ties with Russia may be...

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