Russia Country Risk Views

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Regional Equity Strategy

We are up 1.5% on our bullish Spanish small caps view since it was entered in our asset class strategy on January 9 (played through the IBEXS index), and see potential for further gains over the next...

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Yanukovych Risks Losing Support Base

The political upheaval in Ukraine has intensified, with protests in Kiev showing few signs of losing momentum over the near term. Police attempts to disperse the protests with violence have been...

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Emerging Europe 2013 Retrospective

In December last year we outlined nine trends that we expected to play out across Emerging Europe in 2013 (see 'Key Themes For 2013: Emerging Europe', December 13 2012), and although not quite year-...

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EU Integration Dead In The Water

The collapse of historic Association Agreement talks between the EU and Ukraine points towards a path of long-term economic and political stagnation for Ukraine. While closer ties with Russia may be...

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Growth Model Under Pressure

We continue to forecast a slowdown in Russian economic growth, which should arrive at 2.0% in 2013, down from 3.4% in 2012, with a slight acceleration to 2.5% expected in 2014.As households come...

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European Energy Grip Loosening

Russia's economic and political influence in Europe is in decline as its grip on Europe's energy markets diminishes. While the country will remain a major supplier of European energy for the...

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Regional FX & Fixed Income Strategy

Our Spain-over-Italy 5-year credit default swap (CDS) view, initiated on July 31, was underpinned by our belief that political risk in Italy was inadequately priced into fixed income markets. However...

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