Country Risk Key Analysis

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RBI To Continue Monitoring Inflation

India's headline consumer price inflation (CPI) eased in August, coming in at 7.8% year-on-year (y-o-y), from July's print of 8.0%, largely owing to a fall in core CPI. Despite the fall in headline...

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Balance Of Payments Crisis Risks Rising

Falling oil prices, restricted access to Western capital and lack of reform are pushing Russia towards a balance of payments crisis. A near-term crisis will probably be averted as tensions with the...

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Global Strategy

The ECB has embarked on additional monetary easing at the September meeting, earlier than we had expected. The ECB's almost knee-jerk reaction to the longstanding deterioration in headline inflation...

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Budget Shortfall To Remain Wide In 2015

High inflation and political considerations in advance of the October 2015 presidential election will see Argentine public expenditures tick up as a percentage of GDP in the coming quarters. At the...

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Outlook Remains Highly Positive

Qatar's economic prospects remain the most positive in the region. We forecast real GDP growth of 5.7% for 2014, accelerating to 6.6% in 2015 as the new Barzan gas development comes on-stream. The...

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