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Geopolitical Risk Will Linger In Brent

We have revised up our 2014 and 2015 average Brent forecasts to USD109.8/bbl and USD108.0/bbl respectively. A stalemate in the Iraq conflict will see lingering geopolitical risk to supply propping up...

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Growth Forecasts Revised Downward

We have modestly revised downward Iraq's 2014 and 2015 real GDP growth forecasts. Increasing political instability will result in a marked decline in the expansion of the domestic economy, however...

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Small Fiscal Deficit Belies Profligacy

Increased spending, much of which relates to upcoming elections, is as much to blame for Nigeria's recent fiscal deterioration as lower-than-planned oil production. The deficit will remain small at...

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4G Delay Confirms Risk Outlook

The postponement of the 4G auction confirms our short-term telecoms risk outlook. We believe regulatory headwind are unlikely to dissipate anytime soon under the military Junta and this will upset...

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Kenyan SMEs Set To Outperform

Small and medium enterprises (SMEs) face challenges across Sub-Saharan Africa, but those in Kenya are better placed than most to grow and succeed. An improving business environment, a technologically...

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