Middle East Country Risk Key Analysis

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Regional Fixed Income Strategy

We believe that the majority of recent gains in fixed income markets in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region are now behind us, and we reaffirm our neutral-bearish outlook on debt markets...

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Returning To Growth In 2014

We forecast Iran's economy to expand by 2.8% and 3.4% in real terms in 2014 and 2015, respectively, from our estimate of a 3.5% contraction in 2013. Iran and the 5+1 powers (the United States, Russia...

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Key Themes Of 2014

Growth in the Middle East and North Africa region will remain subject to downside political risks over 2014. We expect the major themes over the coming year to include; a slight convergence in growth...

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Hamas Weakened, But Likely To Survive

The Hamas movement governing the Gaza Strip in the Palestinian territories has limited options available to alleviate its current economic and diplomatic isolation. Although we expect Hamas to retain...

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Interim Nuclear Deal: Key Implications

BMI View: Iran and the 5+1 powers clinched a landmark interim deal on the Islamic Republic's nuclear programme on November 24, paving the way for a partial easing of sanctions. However, we caution...

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