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Referendum Demand Will Raise Tensions

Opposition leader Raila Odinga's escalating protest movement will increase political and ethnic tensions in Kenya. Calls for a referendum are controversial, but no poll is likely to take place.

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Growth Forecasts Revised Downward

We have modestly revised downward Iraq's 2014 and 2015 real GDP growth forecasts. Increasing political instability will result in a marked decline in the expansion of the domestic economy, however...

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