Europe Country Risk Articles

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Sub 1.0% Growth In 2013

BMI View: While weak economic data out of Germany supports our below-consensus real GDP growth forecast for 2012, the collapse in business and consumer confidence has prompted us to revise down our...

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Hostage Crisis: Key Implications

BMI View: The hostage crisis in eastern Algeria is a blow to the country’s investment appeal, and demonstrates that the Sahel region is an increasingly important front in the war against...

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Recession In 2013

We believe that Ukraine has now entered recession and do not expect to see a recovery in 2013. We have downgraded our real GDP forecast to -0.5%, from a previous forecast of 1.0%, underpinned by a...

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Conflict Crib Sheet And FAQ

The conflict in Syria has been deadlocked for some time, but the momentum appears to have shifted in favour of the rebels fighting the regime of President Bashar al-Assad. Assad has proved more...

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Key Themes For 2013: Emerging Europe

Central and Eastern Europe will benefit from the gradual global recovery in various ways. In our 2013 outlook we identify key trends and themes we anticipate over the next 12 months. Central and...

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Fiscal Risks Rising

BMI View: Romania's long-term fiscal reform agenda is being threatened by growing domestic antipathy to austerity and a weaker EU. At present we forecast a narrowing of the fiscal deficit over the...

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