Ukraine Country Risk Views

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Inflection Point Reached In Crisis

Russian President Vladimir Putin's call for the postponement of May 11 referendums on independence in east and south Ukraine marks a step towards a de-escalation of tensions in Ukraine

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IMF Loan No Guarantee Of Stability

While the approval of a USD17.0bn Stand-By Arrangement from the IMF (including USD3.2bn for immediate disbursal) is positive for Ukraine's near-term debt servicing prospects, we remain sceptical that...

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IMF Deal Brings Political Challenges

The Ukrainian government looks increasingly likely to secure IMF financing, allowing the government to avoid default over the coming months. However, the conditions attached will be politically...

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Crisis: Likely To Stop With Crimea

Russia's decision to assume de facto control of Crimea over the weekend has substantially raised political risks in Ukraine. While our core view is that Russia will consolidate control in Crimea and...

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