Europe Country Risk Articles

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Sub 1.0% Growth In 2013

BMI View: While weak economic data out of Germany supports our below-consensus real GDP growth forecast for 2012, the collapse in business and consumer confidence has prompted us to revise down our...

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Conflict Crib Sheet And FAQ

The conflict in Syria has been deadlocked for some time, but the momentum appears to have shifted in favour of the rebels fighting the regime of President Bashar al-Assad. Assad has proved more...

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Key Themes For 2013: Emerging Europe

Central and Eastern Europe will benefit from the gradual global recovery in various ways. In our 2013 outlook we identify key trends and themes we anticipate over the next 12 months. Central and...

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Fiscal Risks Rising

BMI View: Romania's long-term fiscal reform agenda is being threatened by growing domestic antipathy to austerity and a weaker EU. At present we forecast a narrowing of the fiscal deficit over the...

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Turkmenistan

We forecast Turkmen consumer price inflation to average 7.0% in 2012 and 6.3% in 2013, down from an estimated 7.0% in 2011. Economic growth will ease this year, to 8.0% by our forecasts from an...

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