Africa Country Risk Views

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Headwinds Growing For Economy

We are below-consensus, forecasting that South Africa's economy will growth by just 2.5% in 2014 (versus Bloomberg consensus of 3.0%). Our view is predicated on several concerning factors including...

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Running On Fumes

The combination of stagnating oil production and faltering public investment spending has sent Equatorial Guinea's economy into a crisis, and we expect the country's GDP to contract by 1.9% in 2013...

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Westgate Attack: Key Implications

The ability of al-Shabaab to launch a complex and large-scale attack against a shopping centre in Nairobi indicates that military defeats in Somali have led the group to focus on civilian targets...

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