Europe Country Risk Views

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European Energy Grip Loosening

Russia's economic and political influence in Europe is in decline as its grip on Europe's energy markets diminishes. While the country will remain a major supplier of European energy for the...

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Government Under Pressure On All Fronts

Armenia's government will have to confront a number of obstacles in the coming months, with an 18% hike in consumer gas prices likely to increase political tensions as well as rile the impoverished...

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Regional FX & Fixed Income Strategy

Our Spain-over-Italy 5-year credit default swap (CDS) view, initiated on July 31, was underpinned by our belief that political risk in Italy was inadequately priced into fixed income markets. However...

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Complacency Sowing Seeds Of Disaster

Despite all of the tough rhetoric, the 2014 French budget represents no more than a modest adjustment to government spending, coupled with further tax hikes. We believe that having passed through the...

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Equities: Bullish Small Caps

On September 13 we placed a bullish Spanish IBEX small cap equity view in our asset class strategy, upon the break of resistance at 4,000, and the index has already rallied 2.7% since then. We have...

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