Europe Country Risk Views

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Equities: Bullish Small Caps

On September 13 we placed a bullish Spanish IBEX small cap equity view in our asset class strategy, upon the break of resistance at 4,000, and the index has already rallied 2.7% since then. We have...

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On The Verge Of Another Crisis

The Belarusian economy is set to suffer a prolonged period of economic instability and decline as a result of a decline in global potash prices and an escalating trade war with Russia. If Russo-...

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Bailout Number Three On The Horizon

BMI View: The Greek government will likely seek to negotiate a third financial bailout once the current programme expires in 2014. Although this may be relatively straightforward to secure,...

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The Global Impact Of US Syria Strike

US airstrikes against Syria would have consequences beyond the Middle East. Despite their opposition, Russia and China may see some unexpected benefits, while North Korea will be nervous.

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Central Bank Gamble Won't Pay Off

Although the Central Bank of Turkey has indicated its rate hiking cycle has come to an end, it has not done enough to restore confidence in its monetary policy and stabilise the lira. With under...

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Global Commodities Strategy

The Q313 rally in industrial metal prices has limited room to run and we think the time to re-enter a bearish industrial metals view in our strategy table is approaching. This is underpinned by our...

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