Nigeria Country Risk Key Analysis

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Small Fiscal Deficit Belies Profligacy

Increased spending, much of which relates to upcoming elections, is as much to blame for Nigeria's recent fiscal deterioration as lower-than-planned oil production. The deficit will remain small at...

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Regional Eurobond Yields To Rise

Although Sub-Saharan African yields have broadly been on the decline during the first half of 2014, we remain of the view that the asset class offers little value. We expect yields across the board...

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African Lions: Is Ghana A Bellwether?

Ghana's current economic malaise could be replicated in other 'African Lions' over the coming months and years. We will be watching out for a number of red flags for growth: surging imports,...

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Regional Equity Strategy

A number of African equity markets are poised for further losses as US tapering causes money to be pulled out - the Johannesburg All-Share Index looks weak, especially technically. We are removing...

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