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Canada Oil & Gas Report |
Was: $1030.00 | |
| Now: $875.00 | ||
| You save: $155.00 (15%) |
The Canada Oil & Gas Report
- Independent 10-year oil and gas industry forecasts for Canada .
- Original oil and gas market research and oil and gas sector trend analysis for Canada ’s oil and gas industry.
- Competitive intelligence, Canadian oil and gas company rankings and SWOT analyses on international and domestic oil and gas companies in Canada .
The Canada Oil & Gas Report has been researched at source in 2008, and features latest available data and forecasts for Canada to end- covering headline indicators for oil & gas, LNG, coal and power; company rankings and competitive landscapes covering oil & gas exploration and production in Canada , refining, oil & gas distribution and fuels retailing; and analysis of latest industry developments, trends and regulatory issues within Canada .
Business Monitor International's Canada Oil & Gas Report provides professionals, consultancies, government departments, regulatory bodies and researchers with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Canadian oil and gas industry.
Key Benefits of Report
- Benchmark BMI’s Independent 10-Year Oil & Gas Industry Forecast for Canada to test consensus views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Canadian oil and gas market.
- Target Business Opportunities & Risks in the Canadian Oil & Gas Sector through reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes, and major deals, projects and investments in Canada .
- Exploit The Latest Competitive Canadian Oil & Gas Intelligence & Company SWOTS on your competitors and peers through company rankings by sales, market share and ownership structure - includes multi national and national companies in Canada .
Coverage
Executive Summary
Summary of BMI’s key forecasts and industry analysis, covering oil and gas reserves, supply, demand, refining, coal and power, and primary energy, plus analysis of landmark company developments and key changes in the regulatory environment.
Regional Overview
Regional perspective on size and value of industry sector; comparative rankings by production, refining, imports and exports; overview of industry landscape and key players; assessment of business operating environment and latest regulatory developments.
Business Environment Rankings
A unique comparative study undertaken by BMI on the relative business climates across all regional markets covered. A rankings table highlights the merits of each market from an investor angle, giving scores for indicators such as Oil & Gas Supply and Demand Growth, Oil & Gas Reserves, Licensing Framework and the local Competitive Environment, as well as Economic and Political Risk.
Oil Market Outlook
BMI analyses and forecasts oil prices out to , monitoring supply and demand in terms of oil production and consumption across the region.
BMI 10-Year Industry Forecast
Historic data series and 10-year forecasts to end- for all key industry indicators (see list below), supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast, including:
- Oil reserves (bn barrels), production, consumption, refinery capacity and throughputs (000 b/d)
- Oil exports (000 b/d), value of oil exports (US$mn - BMI base case) - Oil price (US$/bbl, OPEC basket)
- Value of oil exports at constant US$30/bbl and constant US$60/bbl (US$mn)
- Proven gas reserves (tcm), production and consumption (bcm)
- Gas exports/(imports) (bcm)
- Value of gas exports/(imports) (US$mn); value of gas exports/(imports) at constant US$30/bbl and US$60/bbl (US$mn)
- Value of petroleum exports (US$mn); value of petroleum exports at constant US$30/bbl and US$60/bbl (US$mn)
BMI 10-Year Macroeconomic Forecast
BMI forecasts for all headline macroeconomic indicators, including real GDP growth, inflation, fiscal balance, trade balance, current account and external debt.
Competitive Landscape & Rankings
Comparative company analyses and rankings by US$ sales, % share of total sales, number of employees, year established, market cap/NAV, ownership structure, oil production (‘000 b/d) and % market share, downstream capacity (‘000 b/d) and % market share.
Company Profiles & SWOTS
Company profiles, including SWOT analyses, senior executives and full contact details, business activity, products and services, foreign direct investments and projects.
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Canada Oil & Gas Report |
Was: $1030.00 | |
| Now: $875.00 | ||
| You save: $155.00 (15%) |
Chapter - Executive Summary |
| SWOT Analysis |
| Canada Political SWOT |
| Canada Economic SWOT |
Chapter - Canada Energy Market Overview |
| Global Oil Market Outlook |
| Storing Up Trouble |
| Revised Forecasts |
Chapter - Global Oil Market Review |
| One-Way Traffic |
| Table: Global Oil Consumption (000b/d) |
| 12-Month Demand Outlook |
| Table: Global Oil Production (000b/d) |
| 12-Month Supply Outlook |
| Longer-Term Supply And Demand |
| Oil Price Assumptions |
| Table: Crude Price Assumptions 2008/2009 |
| Table: Oil Price Forecasts |
Chapter - Global Oil Products Price Outlook |
| Table: Oil Product Price Assumptions 2009 (US$/bbl) |
| Table: Oil Product Price Forecasts (US$/bbl) |
Chapter - Global Oil Products Market Review |
| Regional Energy Market Overview |
| Oil Supply And Demand |
| Table: Developed Markets Oil Consumption (000b/d) |
| Table: Developed Markets Oil Production (000b/d) |
| Oil: Downstream |
| Table: Developed Markets Oil Refining Capacity (000b/d) |
| Gas Supply And Demand |
| Table: Developed Markets Gas Consumption (bcm) |
| Table: Developed Markets Gas Production (bcm) |
| Liquefied Natural Gas |
| Table: Developed Markets LNG Imports/(Exports) (bcm) |
Chapter - Industry Forecast Scenario |
| Oil And Gas Reserves |
| Oil Supply And Demand |
| Gas Supply And Demand |
| LNG |
| Refining And Oil Products Trade |
| Revenues/Import Costs |
| Table: Canada Oil & Gas – Historical Data & Forecasts |
| Other Energy |
| Table: Canada Other Energy – Historical Data & Forecasts |
| Key Risks To BMI's Forecast Scenario |
| Long-Term Oil & Gas Outlook |
Chapter - Macroeconomic Outlook |
| Table: Canada – Economic Activity |
Chapter - Competitive Landscape |
| Table: Key Players – Canadian Oil & Gas Sector |
| Overview/State Role |
| Table: Key Upstream Players |
| Table: Key Downstream Players |
Chapter - Company Monitor |
| EnCana – Summary |
| Petro-Canada – Summary |
| ConocoPhillips – Summary |
| Chevron – Summary |
| Devon Energy – Summary |
| Syncrude – Summary |
| Suncor – Summary |
| Shell Canada – Summary |
| BP – Summary |
| Husky – Summary |
| Imperial Oil – Summary |
| StatoilHydro – Summary |
| Total – Summary |
| Murphy Oil – Summary |
| Nexen – Summary |
| Occidental – Summary |
| Gazprom – Summary |
| Others – Summary |
Chapter - Glossary of Terms |
| Oil & Gas Ratings: Revised Methodology |
| Introduction |
| Ratings Overview |
| Table: BMI Oil & Gas Business Environment Ratings: Structure |
| Indicators |
| Table: BMI Oil & Gas Business Environment Upstream Ratings: Methodology |
| Table: BMI Oil & Gas Business Environment Downstream Ratings: Methodology |
Chapter - Oil & Gas Outlook: Long-Term Forecasts |
| Global Oil Demand |
| Table: Global Oil Demand (000b/d) |
| Table: Global Oil Production (000b/d) |
| Global Oil Supply |
| Global Gas Demand |
| Table: Global Gas Demand (bcm) |
| Global Gas Supply |
| Table: Global Gas Production (bcm) |
| Regional Oil Demand |
| Table: North America Oil Consumption (000b/d) |
| Regional Oil Supply |
| Table: North America Oil Production (000b/d) |
| Regional Refining Capacity |
| Table: North America Oil Refining Capacity (000b/d) |
| Regional Gas Demand |
| Table: North America Gas Consumption (bcm) |
| Regional Gas Supply |
| Table: North America Gas Production (bcm) |
| Canada Country Overview |
| Methodology & Risks To Forecasts |
Chapter - BMI Forecast Modelling |
| How we generate our industry forecasts |
| Energy Industry |
| Cross checks |
| Sources |
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Canada Oil & Gas Report |
Was: $1030.00 | |
| Now: $875.00 | ||
| You save: $155.00 (15%) |
The new Canada Oil & Gas Report from BMI forecasts that the country will account for 10.47% of North American regional oil demand by 2013, while contributing 36.28% to supply. In North America, overall oil consumption reached an estimated 21.68mn barrels per day (b/d) in 2008. It is set to rise to around 21.78mn b/d by 2013. North American regional oil production in 2008 averaged an estimated 10.18mn b/d. It is set to rise to 11.30mn b/d by 2013.
In terms of natural gas, North America in 2008 consumed an estimated 754bn cubic metres (bcm), with demand of 807bcm targeted for 2013, representing 7.5% growth. Production of an estimated 731bcm in 2008 should rise to 726bcm in 2013, which implies net imports rising to some 81bcm by the end of the period. Canada’s share of gas consumption in 2007 was 12.63%, while it contributed 25.31% to regional production. By 2013, its share of gas consumption is forecast to be 12.79%, with 25.62% of regional supply.
In terms of the OPEC basket of crudes, the average price in Q4 2008 was an estimated US$52.53 per barrel (bbl), down sharply from the US$113.49 recorded during the previous three months. The full-year 2008 average is put by BMI at US$94.08/bbl, representing a 36% year-on-year (y-o-y) increase. North Sea Brent, WTI and Russian Urals are believed to have averaged US$97.06, US$99.33 and US$94.56/bbl respectively during 2008. For 2009, we are now assuming an average OPEC basket price of US$52/bbl (- 45% y-o-y), with Q109 expected to deliver US$40.00. The new full year forecast implies Brent crude at US$55.65, WTI averaging US$56.63/bbl and Urals at US$52.48 for 2009. For 2010, we expect to see a recovery to US$58.00/bbl for the OPEC price, gaining further ground to US$65.00 in 2011 and US$70.00/bbl in 2012. We are now using a long-term price assumption of US$70.00 for 2013-2018, down from our previous assumption of US$90.00/bbl.
In 2009, we see monthly average global wholesale gasoline prices ranging from US$38.90 in January to a high of US$64.90 reached in August and in December, providing a full-year average of US$56.20 – just over 55% of the 2008 outturn. The 2009 BMI gasoil forecast is for an average price of US$67/bbl, assuming a monthly low of US$46.40 in January and a high of US$77.30/bbl in December. The full-year outturn represents a 45% downturn from the 2008 level. For 2009, the monthly average jet fuel price is forecast to range from US$47.90 in January to US$79.80/bbl in August, proving an annual level of US$69.20/bbl.
Canadian real GDP is forecast by BMI to fall by 1.4% in 2009, down from growth of an estimated 0.6% in 2008. We are assuming an average annual 2.4% growth in 2009-13. The country’s oil demand is expected to average 2.26mn b/d in 2009, before rising to 2.28mn b/d by 2013. Oil output looks set to reach 4.10mn b/d by 2013, subject to oil sands development. The Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers (CAPP) predicts that oil sands production will reach 3.5mn b/d by 2015 and 4.0mn b/d by 2020, accounting for more than 80% of Canadian oil production.
Between 2007 and 2018, we are forecasting an increase in Canadian oil production of 23.9%, with output rising steadily from an estimated 3.25mn b/d in 2008 to 4.10mn b/d at the end of the 10-year forecast period. Given oil consumption forecast to decrease by 1.6%, exports should rise from an estimated 0.97mn b/d to 1.83mn b/d during the forecast period. Gas production should fall from the estimated 2008 level of 185bcm to 168bcm in 2018. Demand is forecast to rise from 95bcm to 111bcm, leaving net exports falling to 57bcm, largely to the US. Details of BMI’s 10-year forecasts can be found in the appendix to this report, which provides global, regional and country-specific projections.
BMI’s long-term political risk rating for Canada is 94.3, well above the Developed Markets average of 85.8, and behind only Norway. Our long-term economic risk rating is 70.4, which compares with a Developed Markets average of 68.9 and puts Canada well ahead of the US and most developed European countries. Canada has a privatised energy sector that boasts a large, competitive upstream oil and gas segment featuring domestic independents and integrated companies, plus direct and indirect participation by international oil companies (IOCs). The downstream segment is shared by IOC-controlled domestic companies and former state company Petro-Canada, which Suncor agreed to acquire for CAD19.6bn (US$15.9bn) in March 2009.
|
Canada Oil & Gas Report |
Was: $1030.00 | |
| Now: $875.00 | ||
| You save: $155.00 (15%) |
Africa |
| Algeria, Angola, Congo, Egypt, Equatorial Guinea, Gabon, Libya, Nigeria, South Africa and Sudan |
Asia |
| Australia, China, Hong Kong, India, Indonesia, Japan, Malaysia, Pakistan, Philippines, Singapore, South Korea, Taiwan, Thailand and Vietnam |
Caribbean |
| Trinidad & Tobago |
Europe |
| Azerbaijan, Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia, Czech Republic, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Italy, Kazakhstan, Norway, Poland, Romania, Russia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Turkmenistan, Ukraine and United Kingdom |
Latin America |
| Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Mexico, Peru and Venezuela |
Middle East |
| Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Turkey and United Arab Emirates |
North America |
| United States |
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