India Oil & Gas Report
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Now: $875.00
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India Oil & Gas Report

The India Oil & Gas Report

The India Oil & Gas Report has been researched at source in 2008, and features latest available data and forecasts for India to end- 2017 covering headline indicators for oil & gas, LNG, coal and power; company rankings and competitive landscapes covering oil & gas exploration and production in India , refining, oil & gas distribution and fuels retailing; and analysis of latest industry developments, trends and regulatory issues within India .

Business Monitor International's India Oil & Gas Report provides professionals, consultancies, government departments, regulatory bodies and researchers with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Indian oil and gas industry.

Key Benefits of Report

Coverage

Executive Summary

Summary of BMI’s key forecasts and industry analysis, covering oil and gas reserves, supply, demand, refining, coal and power, and primary energy, plus analysis of landmark company developments and key changes in the regulatory environment.

Regional Overview

Regional perspective on size and value of industry sector; comparative rankings by production, refining, imports and exports; overview of industry landscape and key players; assessment of business operating environment and latest regulatory developments.

Business Environment Rankings

A unique comparative study undertaken by BMI on the relative business climates across all regional markets covered. A rankings table highlights the merits of each market from an investor angle, giving scores for indicators such as Oil & Gas Supply and Demand Growth, Oil & Gas Reserves, Licensing Framework and the local Competitive Environment, as well as Economic and Political Risk.

Oil Market Outlook

BMI analyses and forecasts oil prices out to 2017 , monitoring supply and demand in terms of oil production and consumption across the region.

BMI 10-Year Industry Forecast

Historic data series and 10-year forecasts to end- 2017 for all key industry indicators (see list below), supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast, including:

BMI 10-Year Macroeconomic Forecast

BMI forecasts for all headline macroeconomic indicators, including real GDP growth, inflation, fiscal balance, trade balance, current account and external debt.

Competitive Landscape & Rankings

Comparative company analyses and rankings by US$ sales, % share of total sales, number of employees, year established, market cap/NAV, ownership structure, oil production (‘000 b/d) and % market share, downstream capacity (‘000 b/d) and % market share.

Company Profiles & SWOTS

Company profiles, including SWOT analyses, senior executives and full contact details, business activity, products and services, foreign direct investments and projects.

India Oil & Gas Report
Was: $1030.00
Now: $875.00
You save: $155.00 (15%)
Table of Contents

Chapter - Executive Summary

Chapter - SWOT Analysis

India Political SWOT
India Economic SWOT
India Business Environment SWOT

Chapter - India Energy Market Overview

Chapter - Regional Energy Market Overview

Oil Supply And Demand
Table: Asia Pacific Oil Consumption (000b/d)
Table: Asia Pacific Oil Production (000b/d)
Oil: Downstream
Table: Asia Pacific Oil Refining Capacity (000b/d)
Gas Supply And Demand
Table: Asia Pacific Gas Consumption (bcm)
Table: Asia Pacific Gas Production (bcm)
Liquefied Natural Gas
Table: Asia Pacific LNG Exports/(Imports) (bcm)

Chapter - Business Environment Ranking

Asia Pacific Region
Composite Scores
Table: Regional Upstream Business Environment Rating
Table: Regional Downstream Business Environment Rating
Upstream Scores
Downstream Scores
India Upstream Rating ''“ Overview
India Upstream Rating ''“ Potential Returns
India Upstream Rating ''“ Risks To Potential Returns
India Downstream Rating ''“ Overview
India Downstream Rating ''“ Potential Returns
India Downstream Rating ''“ Risks To Potential Returns

Chapter - Business Environment

Legal Framework
Infrastructure
Labour Force
Foreign Investment Policy
Tax Regime
Security Risk

Chapter - Industry Forecast Scenario

Oil And Gas Reserves
Oil Supply And Demand
Gas Supply And Demand
LNG
Refining And Oil Products Trade
Revenues/Import Costs
Table: India Oil & Gas ''“ Historical Data & Forecasts
Other Energy
Table: India Other Energy ''“ Historical Data & Forecasts
Key Risks To BMI'''s Forecast Scenario
Long-Term Energy Outlook

Chapter - Macroeconomic Outlook

Table: India ''“ Economic Activity

Chapter - Competitive Landscape

Executive Summary

Table: Key Players ''“ India Oil & Gas Sector
Overview/State Role
Table: Key Upstream Players
Table: Key Downstream Players

Chapter - Company Monitor

Oil & Natural Gas Corporation (ONGC)
Indian Oil Corporation (IOC)
Hindustan Petroleum Company Ltd (HPCL)
Bharat Petroleum Corporation Ltd (BPCL)
Reliance Industries
GAIL (India)
Cairn India
Oil India ''“ Summary
BP ''“ Summary
BG ''“ Summary
Shell ''“ Summary
Total ''“ Summary
Oilex ''“ Summary
GSPC ''“ Summary
Eni ''“ Summary
Essar ''“ Summary

Chapter - Glossary of Terms

Chapter - Oil & Gas Ratings: Revised Methodology

Introduction
Ratings Overview
Table: BMI Oil & Gas Business Environment Ratings: Structure
Indicators
Table: BMI Oil & Gas Business Environment Upstream Ratings: Methodology
Table: BMI Oil & Gas Business Environment Downstream Ratings: Methodology

Chapter - Oil & Gas Outlook: Long-Term Forecasts

Regional Oil Demand
Table: Asia Pacific Oil Consumption (000b/d)
Regional Oil Supply
Table: Asia Pacific Oil Production (000b/d)
Regional Refining Capacity
Table: Asia Pacific Oil Refining Capacity (000b/d)
Regional Gas Demand
Table: Asia Pacific Gas Consumption (bcm)
Regional Gas Supply
Table: Asia Pacific Gas Production (bcm)
India Country Overview
Methodology & Risks To Forecasts

Chapter - BMI Forecast Modelling

How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Energy Industry
Cross Checks
Sources
India Oil & Gas Report
Was: $1030.00
Now: $875.00
You save: $155.00 (15%)
Executive Summary

The latest India Oil & Gas Report from BMI forecasts that the country will account for 12.79% of Asia Pacific regional oil demand by 2013, while providing 10.58% of supply. Asia Pacific regional oil use of 21.40mn barrels per day (b/d) in 2001 reached an estimated 25.87mn b/d in 2008. It should average 25.79mn b/d in 2009, then rise to around 29.12mn b/d by 2013.

Regional oil production was just under 8.41mn b/d in 2001, and averaged an estimated 8.41mn b/d in 2008. It is set to increase to 8.74mn b/d by 2013.

In terms of natural gas, in 2008 the region consumed an estimated 440bn cubic metres (bcm) and demand of 551bcm is targeted for 2013. Production of an estimated 364bcm in 2008 should reach 486bcm in 2013, but implies net imports easing from an estimated 76bcm per annum in 2008 to 65bcm in 2013. This is in spite of many Asian gas producers being major exporters.

India’s share of gas consumption in 2008 was an estimated 9.77%, while its share of production is put at 9.07%. By 2013 its share of gas consumption is forecast to be 10.43%, with the country accounting for 10.71% of supply.

In terms of the OPEC basket of crudes, the average price in Q109 was an estimated US$45.78 per barrel (bbl), down 13% from the US$52.51/bbl recorded during the previous three months. During the second quarter, there has been little change to our view of oil market developments. BMI is forecasting an average OPEC basket price of US$51.30/bbl, with the March gains being retained in April, before further recovery to a possible US$57.00 is seen by June. For 2009, we are still assuming an average OPEC basket price of US$52.00/bbl (-45% year-on-year). The BMI full year forecast implies Brent crude at US$53.73, WTI averaging US$54.90/bbl and Urals at US$52.66 for 2009.

For the whole of 2009, the BMI assumption for gasoline is an average US$56.89/bbl, with the price peaking at a forecast monthly average of US$64.75 in December 2009. The overall y-o-y fall in 2009 gasoline prices is put at 44.1%. For gasoil in 2009, the BMI forecast is for an average price of US$69.35/bbl, assuming a monthly high of US$94.48/bbl in December.

The full-year outturn represents a 42.8% fall from the 2008 level. The monthly average jet fuel price is forecast to range from US$53.75 in February to US$96.76/bbl in December, proving an annual level of US$71.78/bbl. This compares with US$124.95/bbl in 2008.

Indian real GDP growth is now forecast by BMI at 5.0% for 2009, down from 6.3% in 2008. We are assuming 5.0% growth in 2010, 6.4% in 2011, followed by 7.0% in 2012/2013. State oil firm Oil & Natural Gas Corporation (ONGC) is charged with maximising domestic oil production, which in 2008 averaged an estimated 785,000b/d. Thanks to its efforts and those of UK-based Cairn Energy, we see production peaking at around 950,000b/d by 2011. Oil consumption is forecast to increase by 4-5% per annum to 2013, implying demand of 3.72mn b/d by 2013. The import requirement would therefore be approximately 2.80mn b/d by the end of the forecast period. Gas consumption is set to rise from an estimated 43bcm in 2008 to 57bcm, with domestic supply up from an estimated 33bcm in 2008 to at least 52bcm by 2013.

Between 2008 and 2018, we are forecasting an increase in Indian oil production of 9.55%, with crude volumes peaking in 2011 at 950,000b/d, then falling steadily to 860,000b/d in 2018. Oil consumption between 2008 and 2018 is set to increase by 48.66%, with growth slowing to an assumed 2.0% per annum towards the end of the period and the country using 4.27mn b/d by 2018. Gas production is expected to rise from around 33bcm in 2008 to a possible 65bcm by 2018 (+97.0%).

With demand growth of 70.5%, India is likely to be importing up to 10bcm per annum of gas by the end of the period, largely in the form of LNG. Details of BMI’s 10-year forecasts can be found in the appendix to this report, which provides global, regional and country-specific projections.

India now ranks third, behind Vietnam, in BMI’s updated Upstream Business Environment rating, with a strong resource position being offset somewhat by extensive state involvement, a limited competitive landscape and only a moderate risk environment. The country sits well ahead of Pakistan and Malaysia, but 13 points behind Australia. The country is now equal first with China in BMI’s updated Downstream Business Environment rating, reflecting its status as a high-growth energy market with strongly positive population and demand trends, plus a low level of retail site intensity. It is four points ahead of Singapore, with scope to pull still further away from the more mature Asian energy economy.

India Oil & Gas Report
Was: $1030.00
Now: $875.00
You save: $155.00 (15%)
Read about our other Oil & Gas Reports

Africa

Algeria, Angola, Congo, Egypt, Equatorial Guinea, Gabon, Libya, Nigeria, South Africa and Sudan

Asia

Australia, China, Hong Kong, Indonesia, Japan, Malaysia, Pakistan, Philippines, Singapore, South Korea, Taiwan, Thailand and Vietnam

Caribbean

Trinidad & Tobago

Europe

Azerbaijan, Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia, Czech Republic, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Italy, Kazakhstan, Norway, Poland, Romania, Russia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Turkmenistan, Ukraine and United Kingdom

Latin America

Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Mexico, Peru and Venezuela

Middle East

Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Turkey and United Arab Emirates

North America

Canada and United States
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Industry Intelligence and Market Research
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Company Research
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