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Pakistan Oil & Gas Report |
Was: $1030.00 | |
| Now: $875.00 | ||
| You save: $155.00 (15%) |
The Pakistan Oil & Gas Report
- Independent 10-year oil and gas industry forecasts for Pakistan .
- Original oil and gas market research and oil and gas sector trend analysis for Pakistan ’s oil and gas industry.
- Competitive intelligence, Pakistani oil and gas company rankings and SWOT analyses on international and domestic oil and gas companies in Pakistan .
The Pakistan Oil & Gas Report has been researched at source in 2008, and features latest available data and forecasts for Pakistan to end- covering headline indicators for oil & gas, LNG, coal and power; company rankings and competitive landscapes covering oil & gas exploration and production in Pakistan , refining, oil & gas distribution and fuels retailing; and analysis of latest industry developments, trends and regulatory issues within Pakistan .
Business Monitor International's Pakistan Oil & Gas Report provides professionals, consultancies, government departments, regulatory bodies and researchers with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Pakistani oil and gas industry.
Key Benefits of Report
- Benchmark BMI’s Independent 10-Year Oil & Gas Industry Forecast for Pakistan to test consensus views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Pakistani oil and gas market.
- Target Business Opportunities & Risks in the Pakistani Oil & Gas Sector through reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes, and major deals, projects and investments in Pakistan .
- Exploit The Latest Competitive Pakistani Oil & Gas Intelligence & Company SWOTS on your competitors and peers through company rankings by sales, market share and ownership structure - includes multi national and national companies in Pakistan .
Coverage
Executive Summary
Summary of BMI’s key forecasts and industry analysis, covering oil and gas reserves, supply, demand, refining, coal and power, and primary energy, plus analysis of landmark company developments and key changes in the regulatory environment.
Regional Overview
Regional perspective on size and value of industry sector; comparative rankings by production, refining, imports and exports; overview of industry landscape and key players; assessment of business operating environment and latest regulatory developments.
Business Environment Rankings
A unique comparative study undertaken by BMI on the relative business climates across all regional markets covered. A rankings table highlights the merits of each market from an investor angle, giving scores for indicators such as Oil & Gas Supply and Demand Growth, Oil & Gas Reserves, Licensing Framework and the local Competitive Environment, as well as Economic and Political Risk.
Oil Market Outlook
BMI analyses and forecasts oil prices out to , monitoring supply and demand in terms of oil production and consumption across the region.
BMI 10-Year Industry Forecast
Historic data series and 10-year forecasts to end- for all key industry indicators (see list below), supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast, including:
- Oil reserves (bn barrels), production, consumption, refinery capacity and throughputs (000 b/d)
- Oil exports (000 b/d), value of oil exports (US$mn - BMI base case) - Oil price (US$/bbl, OPEC basket)
- Value of oil exports at constant US$30/bbl and constant US$60/bbl (US$mn)
- Proven gas reserves (tcm), production and consumption (bcm)
- Gas exports/(imports) (bcm)
- Value of gas exports/(imports) (US$mn); value of gas exports/(imports) at constant US$30/bbl and US$60/bbl (US$mn)
- Value of petroleum exports (US$mn); value of petroleum exports at constant US$30/bbl and US$60/bbl (US$mn)
BMI 10-Year Macroeconomic Forecast
BMI forecasts for all headline macroeconomic indicators, including real GDP growth, inflation, fiscal balance, trade balance, current account and external debt.
Competitive Landscape & Rankings
Comparative company analyses and rankings by US$ sales, % share of total sales, number of employees, year established, market cap/NAV, ownership structure, oil production (‘000 b/d) and % market share, downstream capacity (‘000 b/d) and % market share.
Company Profiles & SWOTS
Company profiles, including SWOT analyses, senior executives and full contact details, business activity, products and services, foreign direct investments and projects.
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Pakistan Oil & Gas Report |
Was: $1030.00 | |
| Now: $875.00 | ||
| You save: $155.00 (15%) |
Chapter - Executive Summary |
Chapter - SWOT Analysis |
| Pakistan Political SWOT |
| Pakistan Economic SWOT |
| Pakistan Business Environment SWOT |
Chapter - Pakistan Energy Market Overview |
| IPI Pipeline |
Chapter - Regional Energy Market Overview |
| Oil Supply And Demand |
| Table: Asia Pacific Oil Consumption (000b/d) |
| Table: Asia Pacific Oil Production (000b/d) |
| Oil: Downstream |
| Table: Asia Pacific Oil Refining Capacity (000b/d) |
| Gas Supply And Demand |
| Table: Asia Pacific Gas Consumption (bcm) |
| Table: Asia Pacific Gas Production (bcm) |
| Liquefied Natural Gas |
| Table: Asia Pacific LNG Exports/(Imports) (bcm) |
Chapter - Business Environment Ranking |
| Asia Pacific Region |
| Composite Scores |
| Table: Regional Upstream Business Environment Rating |
| Table: Regional Downstream Business Environment Rating |
| Upstream Scores |
| Downstream Scores |
| Pakistan Upstream Rating ''“ Overview |
| Pakistan Upstream Rating ''“ Potential Returns |
| Pakistan Upstream Rating ''“ Risks To Potential Returns |
| Pakistan Downstream Rating ''“ Overview |
| Pakistan Downstream Rating ''“ Potential Returns |
| Pakistan Downstream Rating ''“ Risks To Potential Returns |
Chapter - Business Environment |
| Legal Framework |
| Infrastructure |
| Labour Force |
| Foreign Investment Policy |
| Tax Regime |
| Security Risk |
Chapter - Industry Forecast Scenario |
| Oil And Gas Reserves |
| Oil Supply And Demand |
| Gas Supply And Demand |
| LNG |
| Refining And Oil Products Trade |
| Revenues/Import Costs |
| Table: Pakistan Oil & Gas ''“ Historical Data & Forecasts |
| Other Energy |
| Table: Pakistan Other Energy ''“ Historical Data & Forecasts |
| Key Risks To Forecast Scenario |
| Long-Term Energy Outlook |
Chapter - Macroeconomic Outlook |
| Table: Pakistan ''“ Economic Activity |
Chapter - Competitive Landscape |
Executive Summary |
| Table: Key Players ''“ Pakistan Oil & Gas Sector |
| Overview/State Role |
| Table: Key Upstream Players |
| Table: Key Downstream Players |
Chapter - Company Monitor |
| Oil and Gas Development Company Ltd (OGDCL) |
| Pakistan Petroleum Ltd (PPL) |
| Pakistan State Oil Company Ltd (PSO) |
| Pakistan Oilfields Ltd |
| Shell Pakistan |
| BP ''“ Summary |
| PEL ''“ Summary |
| Mari Gas ''“ Summary |
| Chevron ''“ Summary |
| Eni ''“ Summary |
| Petronas ''“ Summary |
| Premier Oil ''“ Summary |
| National Refinery ''“ Summary |
| OMV ''“ Summary |
| MOL ''“ Summary |
| Others ''“ Summary |
Chapter - Glossary Of Terms |
Chapter - Oil & Gas Ratings: Revised Methodology |
| Introduction |
| Ratings Overview |
| Table: BMI Oil & Gas Business Environment Ratings: Structure |
| Indicators |
| Table: BMI Oil & Gas Business Environment Upstream Ratings: Methodology |
| Table: BMI Oil & Gas Business Environment Downstream Ratings: Methodology |
Chapter - Oil & Gas Outlook: Long-Term Forecasts |
| Regional Oil Demand |
| Table: Asia Pacific Oil Consumption (000b/d) |
| Regional Oil Supply |
| Table: Asia Pacific Oil Production (000b/d) |
| Regional Refining Capacity |
| Table: Asia Pacific Oil Refining Capacity (000b/d) |
| Regional Gas Demand |
| Table: Asia Pacific Gas Consumption (bcm) |
| Regional Gas Supply |
| Table: Asia Pacific Gas Production (bcm) |
| Pakistan Country Overview |
| Methodology & Risks To Forecasts |
Chapter - BMI Forecast Modelling |
| How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts |
| Energy Industry |
| Cross checks |
| Sources |
|
Pakistan Oil & Gas Report |
Was: $1030.00 | |
| Now: $875.00 | ||
| You save: $155.00 (15%) |
The latest Pakistan Oil & Gas Report from BMI forecasts that the country will account for just 1.38% of Asia Pacific regional oil demand by 2013, while providing 0.86% of its supply. Asia Pacific regional oil use of 21.40mn barrels per day (b/d) in 2001 reached an estimated 25.87mn b/d in 2008. It should average 25.79mn b/d in 2009, then rise to around 29.12mn b/d by 2013.
Regional oil production was just under 8.41mn b/d in 2001, and averaged an estimated 8.41mn b/d in 2008. It is set to increase to 8.74mn b/d by 2013.
In terms of natural gas, in 2008 the region consumed an estimated 440bn cubic metres (bcm) and demand of 551bcm is targeted for 2013. Production of an estimated 364bcm in 2008 should reach 486bcm in 2013, but implies net imports easing from an estimated 76bcm per annum in 2008 to 65bcm in 2013. This is in spite of many Asian gas producers being major exporters.
Pakistan’s share of gas consumption in 2008 was an estimated 7.09%, while its share of production is put at 8.58%. By 2013, its share of gas consumption is forecast to be 7.13%, with the country accounting for 7.83% of supply.
In terms of the OPEC basket of crudes, the average price in Q109 was an estimated US$45.78 per barrel (bbl), down 13% from the US$52.51/bbl recorded during the previous three months. During the second quarter, there has been little change to our view of oil market developments. BMI is forecasting an average OPEC basket price of US$51.30/bbl, with the March gains being retained in April, before further recovery to a possible US$57.00 is seen by June. For 2009, we are still assuming an average OPEC basket price of US$52.00/bbl (-45% year-on-year). The BMI full year forecast implies Brent crude at US$53.73, WTI averaging US$54.90/bbl and Urals at US$52.66 for 2009.
For the whole of 2009, the BMI assumption for gasoline is an average US$56.89/bbl, with the price peaking at a forecast monthly average of US$64.75 in December 2009. The overall y-o-y fall in 2009 gasoline prices is put at 44.1%. For gasoil in 2009, the BMI forecast is for an average price of US$69.35/bbl, assuming a monthly high of US$94.48/bbl in December.
The full-year outturn represents a 42.8% fall from the 2008 level. The monthly average jet fuel price is forecast to range from US$53.75 in February to US$96.76/bbl in December, proving an annual level of US$71.78/bbl. This compares with US$124.95/bbl in 2008.
Pakistan’s real GDP growth for 2009 is forecast by BMI at 2.5%, down from 5.8% in 2008. In 2010, growth is put at 3.5%, followed by 4.3% in 2011, and 4.8% in 2012/2013. Several state-controlled oil and gas companies are in the throes of privatisation and already work with international oil companies (IOCs) in the upstream segment. We foresee oil and gas liquids production of no more than 75,000b/d by 2013, with the country also able to pump an estimated 75,000b/d in 2009. Consumption beyond 2009 is forecast to increase by around 3.5% per annum to 2013, implying demand of 401,000b/d by the end of the forecast period. The import requirement would therefore be approximately 326,000b/d by 2013. Gas demand is set to rise from an estimated 31.2bcm in 2008 to 39.2bcm by 2013, requiring imports of at least 1.2bcm.
Between 2008 and 2018, we are forecasting a decrease in Pakistan oil production of 19.1%, with crude volumes falling steadily to 55,000b/d in 2018. Oil consumption between 2008 and 2018 is set to increase by 27.1%, with growth slowing to an assumed 3.0% per annum towards the end of the period and the country using 468,000b/d by 2018. Gas production is expected to rise from around 31.2bcm in 2008 to a possible 45.0bcm by 2017/2018. With demand growth of 60.5%, this requires imports rising to 5.1bcm by the end of the forecast period. Details of BMI’s 10-year forecasts can be found in the appendix to this report, which provides global, regional and country-specific projections.
Pakistan now ranks fourth, ahead of Malaysia, in BMI’s updated Upstream Business Environment rating, reflecting a reasonable resource position, better-than-average output growth outlook and falling state involvement. The country sits five points ahead of China, and may not be able to keep it at bay over the longer term. Pakistan now ranks 10th, behind Vietnam and the Philippines, in BMI’s Downstream Business Environment rating, reflecting its refinery capacity expansion plans, average oil and gas demand growth outlook and low level of retail site intensity.
|
Pakistan Oil & Gas Report |
Was: $1030.00 | |
| Now: $875.00 | ||
| You save: $155.00 (15%) |
Africa |
| Algeria, Angola, Congo, Egypt, Equatorial Guinea, Gabon, Libya, Nigeria, South Africa and Sudan |
Asia |
| Australia, China, Hong Kong, India, Indonesia, Japan, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, South Korea, Taiwan, Thailand and Vietnam |
Caribbean |
| Trinidad & Tobago |
Europe |
| Azerbaijan, Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia, Czech Republic, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Italy, Kazakhstan, Norway, Poland, Romania, Russia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Turkmenistan, Ukraine and United Kingdom |
Latin America |
| Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Mexico, Peru and Venezuela |
Middle East |
| Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Turkey and United Arab Emirates |
North America |
| Canada and United States |
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